Haney Moves Up and Challenges Prograis as the Fave
Boxing is the “sweet science,” but judging is an art. That’s why we often have controversial decisions, which are many of Devin Haney’s recent wins. To many, he did not beat Vasiliy Lomachenko. But he did. Now, he moves up a weight class to challenge Regis Prograis for his WBC super lightweight title as the -390 favorite. While we can debate Haney’s “mixed” results, our Devin Haney vs Regis Prograis pick is clear as day.
🥊 Devin Haney vs Regis Prograis 🥊
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
The Fans are Betting Against Haney?
Sometimes, people can conflate their dislike for someone as a logical reason to bet against them. That is a mistake here, as we’re seeing Haney’s line go up from its opener of -450 to -390 now. Of course, a lot of sharp bettors (not the emotional ones) are also responsible for this. But the public could be squarely against Haney.
After all, Haney looked challenged against the smaller Lomachenko. So what would Prograis, who is two sizes bigger than “Loma,” do to Haney? His boxing betting odds have dropped from +330 to +290. With Haney’s close calls, Prograis could finally be the guy to beat him. But it will likely come via a decision or a late KO, as the total of over 10.5 rounds at -600 indicates.
Haney is the Master of Decisions
And beating Haney via the scorecards seems like a ludicrous boxing pick . Crazier things have happened. Prograis only had five decision victories, and some were marginal. He eked it out against Danielito Zorrilla most recently. And Josh Taylor handed him his only defeat via a majority decision. Haney, on the other hand, has won half his fights this way.
The undefeated 25-year-old has won his last seven bouts via a decision. He edged Lomachenko and beat George Kambosos twice. In many of these decisions, he did just enough to win. He beat Lomachenko 115-113, Kambosos 116-112 the first time, and Jorge Linares 116-12 in 2021.
In these bouts, his opponents had their moments. They even rallied toward the end, which is why a lot of fans were not impressed with Haney. Still, they forget that he went up on the scorecards in wide fashion and just managed the bout like a smart boxer would do. Therefore, he’s the logical Devin Haney vs Regis Prograis pick .
Prograis is a Threat But That’s All He Is
But if lightweight boxers like Lomachenko and Linares can get inside Haney and even hurt him, someone like Prograis might just finish him. After all, Prograis has an 86.2% knockout percentage in his victories. However, most of these have come via a combination and not so much with one punch.
Prograis is a pressure fighter and will swarm his opponents until they wilt. His super lightweight boxing style has produced many KOs as he throws punches in bunches and in different angles. He can be hard to defend against. But it’s been done before, as Taylor showed. And Haney has one undeniable advantage: speed.
Being the “smaller” boxer, Haney could dictate the match based on beating Prograis to the punch. He can keep him at bay with his jabs and straight punches. Haney holds a three-inch reach advantage over Prograis. And he’s dealt with smaller and quicker boxers. So, while Prograis has the power edge, it may be scarier in thought than in reality.
And the Pick is…
It’s tough to simply pick the favorite. But touting a losing boxer has no value. Haney will, as he usually does, build an early lead over his opponent and then weather Prograis’s storm. Instead of betting the favorite straight, the best Devin Haney vs Regis Prograis pick is a prop bet on the former to win via a decision. Bet: Devin Haney to Win By Decision (-225).
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