Bayern Munich Gaining Ground on Union Berlin
For a minute, it looked like Bayern Munich coach Julian Nagelsmann might get sacked. Weeks later, Bayern are just one point behind leaders Union Berlin. Matchday 12 could see Bayern or even SC Freiburg top the table should Union lose again. There are also two matchups between Champions League clubs in an excellent Bundesliga Matchweek. Let’s take a look at the Bundesliga Matchday 12 odds as we preview the biggest matches of the week.
Games of the Week:
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer Leverkusen
Date, time (TV):
Location: Red Bull Arena,Leipzig
Both RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen face Madrid clubs in the Champions League this week. Leipzig host Real Madrid on Tuesday, while Leverkusen head to Spain to face Atletico Madrid on Wednesday. Then, Leipzig and Leverkusen will meet in the Bundesliga on Saturday with both teams in need of all three points. They have both been underachievers so far this season and made midseason coaching changes already. Marco Rose’s Leipzig come into Saturday in eighth place, while Leverkusen are in a lowly 15th.
Leipzig completed a three-goal comeback last weekend and will hope to get off to a better start here. They’re priced at -120 odds to win on Saturday and should get Timo Werner back in time from an illness. Leverkusen striker Patrick Schick has struggled this season and it’s unclear whether he’ll be available due to injury. Regardless, Bayer are priced at +295 Bundesliga Matchday 12 odds. Last season, the away team won both meetings but this has been a strangely low scoring fixture recently.
Just one of the last six meetings has finished with more than two goals. Three of those six have finished in 1-1 draws and a draw shows +300 odds here. Both teams have leaky defenses and have conceded well over a goal per game in the Bundesliga so far. So expect both sides to have chances. Over three goals is priced at -125 odds as a result.
Bayern Munich vs. Mainz
Date, time (TV):
Location: Allianz Arena, Munich
With four consecutive wins in all competitions heading into Wednesday’s Champions League match at Barcelona, Bayern Munich are starting to look like themselves again. Julian Nagelsmann has righted the ship after an uncharacteristically slow start to the season. Now, the ten-time defending champions are just one point behind leaders Union Berlin in the Bundesliga standings. Bayern will try to overtake them on Saturday when they host Mainz.
Mainz aren’t to be taken lightly. They beat FC Koln 5-0 last Friday and have three straight wins in all competitions. Plus, Mainz have managed a victory over Bayern Munich in each of the last two seasons. Both of those wins came at home, though, as winning in Munich is a different story. That’s something Mainz haven’t done since 2016 and they’re showing long +950 odds to end the drought.
Thomas Muller should be back for the Bavarians on Saturday but Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting has filled in admirably. Choupo-Moting has scored in Bayern’s last three matches and Jamal Musiala in their last two. Bayern have also scored at least two goals in their last seven matches and Bayern over 2½ sits at -140 odds. They’re also -400 favorites to get a sixth straight win over Mainz at the Allianz Stadium.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Dortmund
Date, time (TV):
Location: Deutsche Bank Park
This is the second Bundesliga match this weekend that features two current Champions League clubs. While it may be a challenge for Eintracht to win their UCL group, they’ve been the Bundesliga’s best team over the last five Matchdays. Their four wins in that span is the most of any team. However, they’ll take on a tough Borussia Dortmund team that showed no mercy to Stuttgart last Saturday. Dortmund won 5-0 and it’s the most they’ve scored in any game this season, so far.
Jude Bellingham scored a double for Dortmund but it’s Youssoufa Moukoko who’s Dortmund’s leading scorer in the Bundesliga. The youngster has only played 448 Bundesliga minutes but has managed to score four goals. Meanwhile, Daichi Kamada and Jesper Lindstrom are ones to watch on Frankfurt. In what’s typically an entertaining fixture, the Bundesliga Matchday 12 odds price BVB as +130 road favorites. Dortmund won both meetings last season as this fixture produced 12 goals in two matches.
Bettors should also note that Eintracht Frankfurt haven’t beaten Borussia Dortmund at home since 2016.
Meanwhile, Frankfurt sit at +200 odds and a draw is listed at +265 odds. Both teams to score has been a virtual lock in this fixture for years. An incredible 12 of the last 13 matches have finished with both teams on the scoresheet. Bettors should also note that Eintracht Frankfurt haven’t beaten Borussia Dortmund at home since 2016.
Union Berlin vs. Borussia Monchengladbach
Date, time (TV):
Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei
There’s certainly no shortage of intriguing matches on the Bundesliga schedule this weekend. It’s a big week for Union Berlin as they take on SC Braga in the Europa League on Thursday. Then, they then host Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Leaders Union are coming off a disappointing 2-1 loss to VfL Bochum. Meanwhile, last week was an awful one for Monchengladbach. They lost to second division Darmstadt in the DFB Pokal and followed it up with a 3-1 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt.
Union Berlin are still unbeaten at home this season and show +120 odds to win on Sunday. They’re also unbeaten in their last four matches vs. Monchengladbach. The visitors are priced at +235 odds and a draw sits at +240. Despite Monchengladbach’s rough patch, they’re still very dangerous. Marcus Thuram has scored in his last three Bundesliga matches and as a team Monchengladbach have averaged over two goals per game in their last five.
Both teams have scored in five of the six previous Bundesliga matches between these two sides. Over 2½ goals shows -120 odds and occurred in both meetings last season. Even after their loss last weekend, Union Berlin still have the best defensive record in the Bundesliga. They’ve conceded just eight times in 11 matches.
Other Matches of Interest
Schalke 04’s return to the Bundesliga hasn’t gone according to plan. They’ve lost their last six matches in all competitions and are now in last place. Meanwhile, SC Freiburg can potentially climb to first place with a win, depending on other results. Whether Freiburg have tired legs after a Thursday Europa League match remains to be seen. Regardless, Freiburg head on the road as -115 favorites.
The most competitive match of the weekend is expected to be FC Koln vs. Hoffenheim. Hosts Koln are +170 underdogs while Hoffenheim sit at +160 odds to win. Both teams were humbled last weekend so it’ll be interesting to see how they respond.Follow us on Twitter