DFB-Pokal Final Preview: SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig Betting
Leipzig’s Third Appearance in Four Years
Freiburg or Leipzig Set for First DFB-Pokal Triumph
This year’s edition of the DFB-Pokal final will mean a first-time winner as SC Freiburg takes on RB Leipzig. This is Freiburg’s first ever appearance in the final, while Leipzig have now made three of the last four but lost in their previous two appearances. We’ll run through the important factors bettors should be aware of in this SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig betting preview.
DFB-Pokal Final – SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig Game Info:
- Location: Olympiastadion, Berlin, Germany
- Date & Time: Saturday May 21st, 2:00 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN+, fubo.TV
Head-to-Head
Last Five Meetings:
- Mar 2022: Leipzig 1-1 Freiburg
- Oct 2021: Freiburg 1-1 Leipzig
- Mar 2021: Freiburg 0-3 Leipzig
- Nov 2020: Leipzig 3-0 Freiburg
- May 2020: Leipzig 1-1 Freiburg
Three of the last five meetings between SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig have finished in draws and the other two were RB Leipzig wins. Both meetings this season finished in 1-1 draws, with Freiburg covering the spread in both games.
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig betting has been dominated by Freiburg over the last few years despite the fact that Freiburg are winless in the last five matches. Freiburg have covered the goal-line in seven of their last nine matches vs. Leipzig.
Freiburg Punch Ticket to Europa League
- Form (All Competitions): L,L,W,D,W
- Injuries and Suspensions: F Noah Weisshaupt (Shoulder), F Kevin Schade (Abdominal), M Yannik Keitel (Toe)
SC Freiburg were just points away from their first ever UEFA Champions League berth but dropped their final two Bundesliga games to Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen. Next season, they’ll play in the Europa League group stage for just the second time in their history.
They’ve never made the DFB-Pokal final and just getting here is a huge achievement for Christian Streich’s team. Vincenzo Grifo led the way this season with thirteen goals and seven assists in all competitions but Freiburg didn’t have a ten-goal scorer in the Bundesliga.
The SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig betting odds list Freiburg as +290 underdogs, with just above a 25 percent implied chance of victory on Saturday. All of Freiburg’s five wins in the DFB-Pokal this season have come away from home and they were solid on the road in the Bundesliga this season. So, a neutral site shouldn’t affect them too much but the size of the moment may. While a few reserve players are injured, their starting eleven is completely healthy.
RB Leipzig in Pursuit of First Major Trophy
- Form (All Competitions): D,W,L,L,W
- Injuries and Suspensions: M Amadou Haidara (MCL)
RB Leipzig qualified for the Champions League for the fourth season in a row by the skin of their teeth. Fourth-place Leipzig finished just one point ahead of Union Berlin but they have played well since Domenico Tedesco was hired.
It was disappointing for Leipzig to go out in the Europa League semi-final vs. Rangers. Regardless, they have another opportunity to win their first major trophy in the German DFB-Pokal final. On paper, Leipzig have an excellent team, headlined by attackers like Christopher Nkunku, Dani Olmo and Andre Silva. Peter Gulacsi is also one of the best keepers in the Bundesliga.
It’d be a disappointment for Leipzig to drop a third DFB-Pokal final in as many tries and they come into the match as -120 favorites. They’ve been favored twice vs. SC Freiburg this season but have drawn both times. Only Amadou Haidara is on the injury list for Leipzig so they’ll be able to field a strong squad on Saturday.
What to Watch For
This is an exciting occasion as neither team has won a major trophy, let alone a DFB-Pokal. RB Leipzig started off the season poorly but a win would cap off an excellent second half of the year for them and build some momentum heading into next year. Meanwhile, Freiburg were the surprise of the season in the Bundesliga and will certainly be a popular underdog pick and rooting interest.
DFB-Pokal final odds list Leipzig as ½-goal favorites and they’re priced as more likely to cover than Freiburg. A draw looks appealing on first glance at +290 odds, especially since three of the last five have finished in draws.
Leipzig have dominated the DFB-Pokal this season by outscoring their opponents 13-1 and keeping clean sheets in four of five matches. They made the semi-final of the UCL two years ago and they’ve been knocking on the doorstep of a trophy as this is is their second DFB-Pokal final appearance in a row. Freiburg shouldn’t be counted out as they’ve proven time and time again to be capable of winning as underdogs.
The O/U, which is 2½, is a tough call as all of the last nine meetings have finished with either two or three goals scored.
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