RB Leipzig Qualify for UCL Knockout Stage
RB Leipzig lost to Mainz in the Bundesliga last weekend but got their third win in four Champions League matches on Tuesday. Leipzig beat Crvena Zvezda 2-1 and qualified for the knockout stage with two games to spare. This Sunday, Leipzig host SC Freiburg, who haven’t been in good form for the last few weeks. That said, we’ll preview the potential RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg lineups and run through the odds for the match.
RB Leipzig and SC Freiburg met three times last soccer season, in all competitions. Leipzig won all three games and got a 5-1 win over Freiburg in the DFB-Pokal semifinal despite going down to ten men. The RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg lineups were strong for their 2022 DFB-Pokal final matchup. That match finished 1-1 as RB Leipzig won their first DFB-Pokal title in a penalty kick shootout. Leipzig are unbeaten in their last nine games vs. Freiburg, with a 5-4-0 record.
Leipzig Grab Midweek Win
RB Leipzig fell 2-0 to Mainz last weekend in the Bundesliga following a 1-0 loss to Wolfsburg in the DFB-Pokal. Leipzig’s second round DFB-Pokal loss means they will not be champions for a third straight season. In lieu of a three-defender formation, Marco Rose went with four at the back for Leipzig’s Champions League match at Crvena Zvezda on Tuesday.
Leipzig looked solid in the match and had a two-goal advantage. Xavi Simons went on a brilliant solo run and curled a shot past the Crvena Zvezda keeper. In the second half, Lois Openda doubled Leipzig’s lead. Janis Blaswich made some massive stops in goal for Leipzig but he couldn’t keep out Benjamín Heinrich’s own goal. Regardless, RB Leipzig came away from Belgrade with a 2-1 win.
It remains to be seen whether Rose will stick with four at the back for this match. Regardless, bettors should note that Leipzig will be missing Dani Olmo, Willi Orban and Yussuf Poulsen for this one. Timo Werner is questionable with an illness. Still, with Simons and Openda in the lineup, Leipzig are one of the most dangerous Bundesliga teams.
Freiburg’s Form Up and Down
SC Freiburg were in action on Thursday in the Europa League vs. TSC Backa Topola. Freiburg came away with an easy 5-0 win, which was a stark contrast to last weekend’s Bundesliga match. Last Saturday vs. Borussia Monchengladbach, Freiburg got out to an early lead as Lucas Höler finished off a pass from Merlin Rohl. However, they conceded three times before the half to go down 3-1.
Noah Weisshaupt got a goal back for Freiburg in the 70th minute and the hosts won a penalty right at the death. Vincenzo Grifo stepped up and buried it as Freiburg came back from two goals down to secure a draw. Freiburg’s start to the Bundesliga season has been underwhelming, as they’re 4-2-4 and in eighth place.
Bundesliga predictions typically list Freiburg as a team that should finish in a European place this season. They’ve finished in the top six in each of the last two seasons and are close to securing a knockout stage berth in the Europa League. Heading into this one, Weisshaupt has scored in each of Freiburg’s last two games. Roland Sallai, Maximilian Philipp and Christian Gunter are out injured for this one.
Match Analysis & Odds
The RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg lineups could be as follows:
Leipzig – GK: Janis Blaswich, RB: Benjamin Heinrichs, CB: Mohamed Simakan, CB: Castello Lukeba, LB: David Raum, M: Emil Forsberg, M: Kevin Kampl, M: Xaver Schlager, M: Xavi Simons, ST: Lois Openda, ST: Benjamin Sesko
Freiburg – GK: Noah Atubolu, RB: Kiliann Sildillia, CB: Philipp Lienhart, CB: Matthias Ginter, LB: Lukas Kubler, RM: Ritsu Doan, CM: Maximilian Eggestein, CM: Nicolas Hofler, LM: Noah Weisshaupt, ST: Vincenzo Grifo, ST: Lucas Höler
The Bundesliga lines and odds price RB Leipzig as -220 home favorites. Leipzig are still unbeaten at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga. Meanwhile, Freiburg are +500 underdogs and haven’t beaten Leipzig for over four years. A draw sits at +400 odds and both of Leipzig’s draws this season have come in their last five games.
Bettors can take RB Leipzig -1, -1.5 at -105 odds for this one and they outscored Freiburg 9-2 in three meetings last season. Freiburg +1, +1.5 displays -115 odds and they’ve lost three of their five Bundesliga road matches so far. They’ve been outscored 11-3 in those matches but show -170 odds to get on the scoresheet here. Both over and under three goals are priced at -110 odds for Sunday’s match.