Topsy-Turvy Bundesliga Season So Far
SC Freiburg is on top of the Bundesliga table later than the opening weekend for the first time in history. They narrowly missed out on the top four last season but they’re making real noise in 2022-23 so far. It’s still early on but this season has been full of surprises to this point. While Freiburg occupies the top spot, RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen languish in 11th and 14th, respectively. Let’s take a look at the Bundesliga Matchday 6 odds and preview another fine slate of games this weekend.
RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund as they try to bounce back from an embarrassing 4-0 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt. Second-place Dortmund is a formidable foe but Leipzig won both meetings last season, scoring six goals in the process; however, Leipzig has started the 2022-23 season much as they started last. They’ve been disappointed with just one win in five matches.
Still, Leipzig is +130 favorites for Saturday’s pick’em, the most intriguing game on the Matchday 6, Bundesliga 2022 schedule. That’s despite Leipzig playmaker Dani Olmo’s ligament injury, which will keep him out until October. Defender Lukas Klostermann and forward Yussuf Poulsen are also expected to be out for Leipzig.
The addition of Nico Schlotterbeck to Dortmund’s defense has made them look much more compact. They’ve managed two consecutive 1-0 victories and have conceded under a goal per game so far. Regardless, Dortmund are +180 underdogs heading into Saturday and a draw shows a +305 price. The last five meetings in all competitions have finished with three or more goals scored. The over/under total currently stands at three with both sides priced at -110 odds.
It’s a big week for Bayern Munich. They open up with Inter Milan in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday and face Stuttgart on Saturday. The Bavarians drew 1-1 with Union Berlin last weekend and are in a relatively unfamiliar third place in the league. Our Bundesliga preview shows that this is expected to be the most lopsided match of the weekend. However, Bayern has drawn two consecutive Bundesliga matches for the first time since March.
Bayern is -600 favorites vs. a Stuttgart team that has failed to win a match so far this season. Stuttgart have, however, been good at avoiding defeat and drawn four times in five matches. They drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich in May and another draw is priced at +850 odds. Stuttgart is winless in their last six matches vs. Bayern Munich and is priced at astronomical +1300 odds to win Saturday.
Despite both of Bayern’s last two matches ending in 1-1 draws, the over/under goals total is four for this match. Amazingly, the over is implied to be more likely, at -115 odds. Stuttgart’s only loss this season was by a one-goal margin to first-place Freiburg. So, it’s not too surprising that they’re -115 favorites to cover the 2½-goal spread. Stuttgart will be missing wingback Joshua Vagnoman due to suspension in this one.
Mainz will try to make it four wins in four road matches as they head to Hoffenheim on Saturday. Incredibly, Mainz has already equaled their road win total from last season. Their perfect away start is in doubt, though, as the Bundesliga Matchday 6 odds price Hoffenheim as +125 favorites.
Hoffenheim enter the weekend in seventh place and narrowly lost 1-0 to Borussia Dortmund last weekend. They’ll look to bounce back from getting shut out for the first time this season. Mainz, who are shaping up to be European contenders, show +200 odds to win again. Karim Onisiwo has scored three times in five games for the fifth-place side.
Mainz has won the last three meetings and managed to score two goals in each one. Both matches finished 2-0 last season but another shutout win would come as a bit of a surprise. A draw is priced at +290 odds in one of the most intriguing matches of the weekend.
Impressively, Union Berlin continued their undefeated start to the season with a 1-1 draw vs. Bayern Munich. Fourth place Union has the second-best goal difference in the league, at +8, heading into Matchday 6. They’re on the road on Sunday vs. another undefeated team, FC Koln. Both teams are in action on Thursday as Koln faces Nice in the Conference League and Union Berlin takes on Union Saint-Gilloise in the Europa League.
It’ll be interesting to see how short rest affects both teams as they try to protect their unbeaten records. This is expected to be an incredibly close match as Koln is priced at +155 odds and Union show +175 odds. Home side FC Koln picked up a 4-2 win over Wolfsburg last weekend but have drawn three of their last four matches. A draw currently sits at +260 odds and this fixture finished in one last season.
Notably, Union Berlin has never lost to FC Koln. They carry a record of six wins and two draws into this match. Plus, they’ve never been shut out by FC Koln but Union over 1½ goals is listed at just +150 odds.
SC Freiburg can tighten their grip on first place with a win over Borussia Monchengladbach on Sunday. Four different Freiburg players already have two or more goals and they’ve averaged two goals per game thus far. Freiburg is priced at +110 odds to win a fourth consecutive match.
On the other hand, the Bundesliga Matchday 6 odds list Gladbach as +245 underdogs. Borussia Monchengladbach scored just one goal in their last two matches and lost 1-0 to Mainz last weekend. Defender Ko Itakura picked up a red card which will see him miss this match. Last season, this was an incredibly high-scoring fixture as both matches finished with six goals.
At home, they drew 3-3 and Freiburg picked up an incredible 6-0 win on the road. The odds slightly favor another shootout, as over three goals currently show -115 odds. There were rumors surrounding GK Yann Sommer’s future but Borussia Monchengladbach’s number one stayed put through the transfer window. With Sommer in net, they’ve only conceded more than one goal once so far this season. Goals or not, expect this game to be a good one.Follow us on Twitter