Can Anyone Contend With Bayern Munich?
The Bundesliga outright odds has been Bayern Munich’s to lose over the last decade, but could that change this season? The Bavarian giants figure to have a busy offseason with lots of incoming and outgoing transfers and the lack of continuity could perhaps help other teams.
Possibly the most underrated top-five league, the Bundesliga will have five teams playing in the Champions League next season. That’s the most of any league, as Eintracht Frankfurt snuck into the UCL with their recent Europa League win. With Bayern favorites once again, let’s take a look at the latest Bundesliga outright odds for the 2022-23 season.
Busy Offseason for Bayern
Julien Nagelsmann’s first season as Bayern Munich manager was a success as they won another Bundesliga title in 2021-22. The Bavarians have been a soccer betting lock to win the league for the last decade. They’ve won a record ten consecutive Bundesliga titles and will be looking to extend their streak and contend for the Champions League.
It should come as no surprise that the Bundesliga outright odds list Bayern as heavy favorites for 2022-23. They’re currently priced at -500 despite Robert Lewandowski expressing his desire to leave the club. Lewandowski has won 19 trophies in eight seasons with Bayern Munich and has been arguably the best striker in the world during that time. At 33, Lewandowski is looking for a new challenge and has been heavily linked to FC Barcelona.
If Bayern allows him to leave, the replacement will have massive shoes to fill. Bayern is currently linked with Liverpool’s Sadio Mane, Stuttgart’s Sasa Kalajdzic, and Ajax’s player Sebastian Haller. Mane is likely to make the switch and would be a main goals coring outlet for the Bavarians but he’s not quite Lewandowski. Forward Serge Gnabry is another candidate to leave in the transfer window and center-back Niklas Sule has already made the switch to Dortmund.
Nagelsmann has already brought in two young talents to boost his side in Ajax’s Noussair Mazraoui and Ryan Gravenberch. Gravenberch is a 20-year-old midfielder with loads of potential, while Mazraoui will challenge for the starting right-back role. Even with all of the changes this offseason, Bayern is still in an excellent position to contend for an 11th straight title.
If Lewandowski does leave Bayern Munich, it’d mean the Bundesliga’s two best strikers are gone. That’s because former Borussia Dortmund star Erling Haaland made the switch to Manchester City in a blockbuster transfer. Dortmund did, however, play a sizable chunk of last season without Haaland as injuries kept him out of 10 matchups.
To replace Haaland, Dortmund has already signed young RB Salzburg star Karim Adeyemi. Adeyemi scored four goals in the Champions League last season and is already a German international, at age 20. Dortmund has already made headway in solving their biggest issue, defense.
BVB poached the talented Niklas Sule from Bayern Munich and brought in Nico Schlotterbeck from upstart SC Freiburg. They could form a solid center-back partnership and improve a defense that conceded over a goal and a half per game last season. In fact, second-place Dortmund gave up the most goals of any top-eight club last season.
A title challenge will hinge on defensive improvement and keeping star midfielder Jude Bellingham. Marco Rose’s side is priced at +800 odds to win the Bundesliga title.
There are no other Bundesliga teams with shorter than +1000 odds to win the title but RB Leipzig comes close. The reigning DFB-Pokal champions sit at +1200 to win their first Bundesliga title and have a lot of talent. The windfall from an expected big money Christopher Nkunku transfer could help strengthen the side even further.
Leipzig gave up the joint-fewest goals in the Bundesliga last season, along with Bayern Munich, and has an excellent keeper in Peter Gulacsi. Keeping young Croatian defender Josko Gvardiol is also a must if Leipzig is to challenge this season.
Dani Olmo and Dominik Szoboszlai have both dealt with injuries but are creative midfield forces when healthy. Adding more goalscoring threats could make this Leipzig team downright scary.
The Dark Horse
It was a huge boost for Bayer Leverkusen when striker Patrik Schick signed a new contract that runs until 2027. More prolific than anyone not named Lewandowski last season, the Czech international scored 24 goals in just 27 matches. Leverkusen just signed his understudy as well, 19-year-old Czech striker Adam Hlozek.
Flush with young talent, Leverkusen will undoubtedly make a lot of mistakes but have a high upside. Teenager Florian Wirtz was one of the best playmakers in the league last season before he tore his ACL. If Leverkusen can stay in contention until he returns from his injury, the sky may be the limit. Left-winger Moussa Diaby also reached double-digit goals and assists last season. The 22-year-old completes an excellent attacking trio with Schick and Wirtz when they’re all healthy.
Despite all of the upside, the Bundesliga outright odds list Bayer Leverkusen as +2500 underdogs to win the title next season. Stranger things have certainly happened.
No other team, not even Eintracht Frankfurt, has shorter than +10000 betting odds to win the Bundesliga. The Bundesliga is certainly a top-heavy league but surprise teams like SC Freiburg and Union Berlin (both +50000) performed much better than their expectations last season.Follow us on Twitter