Champions League Round of 16 Odds: Second Legs Kick Off
Four Teams to Punch Quarterfinals Tickets This Week
Bayern Clash With PSG Once Again
Four of the eight Champions League Round of 16 fixtures will come to a conclusion this week. In all four fixtures, one team leads but a lot can change over the course of 90 minutes. In another can’t-miss match, Bayern Munich host PSG as the Bavarians hold a one-goal lead. London clubs Chelsea and Tottenham will also try to overturn their one-goal deficits vs. Borussia Dortmund and AC Milan, respectively. Meanwhile, Benfica hold a healthy two-goal lead over Club Brugge heading into the second leg. Let’s review the odds from all of the week’s UEFA Champions League matchups.
Matches This Week
Graham Potter’s Chelsea finally broke a six-match unbeaten run, in all competitions, by defeating Leeds United 1-0 on Saturday. A Wesley Fofana header was the difference and Chelsea built a bit of confidence before they face Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday. Blues boss Potter has been under a lot of pressure lately but he lives to see another day. Meanwhile, Edin Terzic’s job security at Dortmund has never been in question. His Dortmund have won all ten matches they’ve played in 2023, including the reverse fixture vs. Chelsea.
Chelsea, who finished first in the Group E Champions League standings, are -125 favorites to win and cover the ½-goal spread. A one-goal Chelsea win would force added time, but it’s Dortmund who are -160 favorites to advance. Notably, Chelsea haven’t put together consecutive wins since October. Yet, Borussia Dortmund come in at just +105 odds to cover and force a draw or win. Dortmund’s last match vs. Chelsea was their first-ever Champions League meeting and BVB came away with a 1-0 win. Karim Adeyemi scored for Dortmund but he’s been out injured for a few weeks. Dortmund keeper Gregor Kobel also missed Friday’s match with a muscle injury.
Dortmund Defender Julian Ryerson is suspended and forwards Donyell Malen and Youssoufa Moukoko are also injured. For Chelsea, key defender Thiago Silva is out. Meanwhile, Mason Mount, Reece James and Cesar Azpilicueta are all day-to-day. A draw, which would be enough for Dortmund to go through, sits at +275 odds here. Meanwhile, this game is expected to be higher-scoring than the first meeting. Over 2½ goals come in at -115 odds but Chelsea haven’t scored more than one goal in a match since December. Dortmund have averaged two goals per game in their last five, in all competitions.
Benfica won the first leg of their Champions League Round of 16 tie vs. Club Brugge, 2-0. That gives them a healthy cushion heading into Tuesday’s second leg matchup. Benfica are also hosting and haven’t lost a single match at home all season. The Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders have won their last seven league matches and won 2-0 on Friday vs. Famalicao. Goncalo Ramos scored twice and Alex Grimaldo had a hand in both goals. Meanwhile, Scott Parker’s Club Brugge have struggled as of late.
Club Brugge fell 3-0 to Oostende over the weekend, who hadn’t previously won a match since November. Brugge manager Scott Parker is on the hot seat and the team lacks confidence. It looks unlikely they’ll play in next season’s UCL, as they’re currently in fourth place in the Belgian league. Benfica enter Tuesday’s match as one-goal favorites and show -140 odds to cover the spread. They’re also -225 favorites to go on and win the match, while Brugge come in at +600 odds to win. At the very least, Club Brugge need to win by two goals to force extra time. However, they’ve conceded a concerning 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches.
Here, over 2½ goals sit at -135 odds and it’s Benfica who are expected to do most of the scoring. A draw would be fine for Benfica and bettors can take one at +350 odds. With Scott Parker’s side low on confidence, Brugge +1 displays just +120 odds. Benfica look well on their way to consecutive quarterfinals appearances.
The crown jewel of this week’s UEFA Champions League schedule is Bayern Munich vs. PSG. Bayern Munich won the first leg by a 1-0 scoreline and now host the Parisians on Wednesday. Both sides got wins in their respective domestic leagues over the weekend. Bayern Munich defeated Stuttgart 2-1 on Saturday as Matthijs de Ligt scored on a long range effort in the first half. Eric-Maxim Choupo Moting added a second as Thomas Muller bagged an assist before Stuttgart got a consolation goal. Meanwhile, PSG won 4-2 over Nantes and took an 11-point lead in Ligue 1.
PSG suffered a few blows in the Nantes match as defenders Marquinhos and Nordi Makiele picked up injuries. In addition, center back Presnel Kimpembe is out with a long-term injury. Right back Achraf Hakimi, who is under investigation for sexual assault, will remain available for selection for now. He is also listed as day-to-day with a hamstring issue. Most of Bayern’s key players are available and they’re ½-goal favorites heading into the second leg. They sit at -120 ATS and moneyline odds. Meanwhile, a potentially shorthanded PSG come in at even odds to cover and +255 odds to win the match.
Bayern Munich have now won four of the last five meetings between the two sides. Notably, PSG did win the last match at the Allianz Arena, in 2021. It’ll take a win for the Parisians to force extra time, so a draw won’t be enough. Regardless, punters can find a deadlock at +335 odds. Three of the last five meetings have only finished with one goal but over three goals sit at -125 odds.
Both Tottenham and AC Milan lost on Saturday and they’ll need to regain their focus ahead of this week’s crucial match. AC Milan enter the match ahead by one goal but head on the road to London on Wednesday. Spurs fell 1-0 to Wolves on Saturday but hit the woodwork multiple times. Meanwhile, AC Milan fell behind 2-0 at Fiorentina without the suspended Rafael Leao and could only get a single consolation goal. Playing on the road has been an issue for AC Milan this season, as they’ve managed just a 5-4-4 record in Serie A. Now, the Champions League Round of 16 odds list Tottenham as ½-goal favorites for Wednesday’s match.
Tottenham are -105 ATS and moneyline favorites but it’s AC Milan who are favored to advance. AC Milan to qualify comes in at -190 odds, while Tottenham to qualify displays a +160 price. If AC Milan win or draw the match, they’ll qualify without the need for extra time. They show +290 odds to win and a draw is priced at +250 odds. Meanwhile, AC Milan +½ also sits at -115 odds. With Rafael Leao available for selection, Milan have their talisman back. While Tottenham’s Heung-Min Son hasn’t been in great form this season, the duo of him and Harry Kane can still cause Milan problems.
Antonio Conte’s Spurs will advance outright with a two-goal or more win. Meanwhile, a one-goal Spurs win will force extra time. Notably, AC Milan haven’t reached the quarterfinals of the Champions League since the 2011-12 season. Tottenham reached the final of the Champions League in 2018-19 but haven’t made it past the round of 16 since then. This is expected to be another tight, low-scoring match, as under 2½ goals show -120 odds.
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