Favorites Man City Kick off Champions League Campaign
Manchester City’s Champions League campaign ended in tragedy in 2021-22. They led 5-3 on aggregate in the semifinals vs. Real Madrid but Rodrygo scored two 90th-minute goals to level the tie. Karim Benzema added a penalty goal in extra time to leave City trophyless in the competition yet again. This season, UCL favorites City should be as motivated as ever and head to Sevilla on Tuesday in their first group stage match. We’ll cover the important factors affecting the match in this Sevilla vs Man City match preview.
UEFA Champions League – Sevilla vs. Man City Game Info:
Location: Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville, Spain
Date & Time:
TV: Paramount+, VIX+
This will be the third meeting between Sevilla and Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League. They were both in Group D in the 2015-16 edition and Manchester City picked up two wins vs. the Spanish club.
Manchester City won the only previous meeting in Sevilla, 3-1 as former players Raheem Sterling, Fernandinho and Wilfried Bony got on the scoresheet. Our Sevilla vs Man City match preview should note that these teams are much different than their 2015-16 versions. No starters remain on either side from the last meeting.
Struggling Sevilla on the Ropes
- Last Match: 0-3 L vs. Barcelona
- Injuries and Suspensions: D Marcao (Day-to-Day), F Jesus Corona (Out)
Following a 3-0 loss to Barcelona on Saturday, Sevilla stood just outside of the La Liga relegation zone. They’ve had a difficult start to the season, with a draw and three losses. A decline was always expected after losing center backs Diego Carlos and Jules Kounde, but not to this degree. Still, it’s early on in the season and there’s undeniable talent on the roster.
Sevilla also played in the Champions League last year, in Group G. They finished in third place in the Champions League standings and dropped down to the Europa League knockout stages. After defeating Dinamo Zagreb in the first UEL knockout round, they lost to West Ham in the round of 16.
Last season’s leading scorer, Rafa Mir, is back with the team and has managed one goal in three matches so far. Notably, Sevilla only lost two matches at home last season in all competitions. Despite their excellent form last season, Barcelona demolished them in Seville on Saturday. With Erling Haaland up top, Man City poses a similar threat to Barcelona with Robert Lewandowski.
So far this season, Sevilla is also yet to keep a shutout and this would be quite an opportune time to do so. On the other hand, Sevilla is expected to score in this match, at odds of -150. Regardless, they’re one-goal home underdogs for Tuesday’s match.
Man City Frustrated at the Weekend
- Last Match: 1-1 D at Aston Villa
- Injuries and Suspensions: M Kalvin Phillips (Day-to-Day), D Aymeric Laporte (Out)
Manchester City looked the better team vs. Aston Villa on Saturday but very nearly lost. A questionable offside call stopped Villa’s Philippe Coutinho from scoring a winner in City’s 1-1 draw. Despite the disappointing result, Erling Haaland has been a massive bright spot for City.
The Norwegian striker has two hat tricks in his last three games and 10 goals through six Premier League matches. He became the quickest player in EPL history to score two hat tricks as he only needed five matches to do it.
Sevilla vs Man City match preview is constantly pointing to Haaland as a potential x-factor vs a struggling Sevilla defense. Aside from Haaland, this is a team loaded with talent in virtually all positions. Midfield maestro Kevin de Bruyne looks to be back at his best as City starts their UCL campaign. Despite the fact that they’ve never won the Champions League, it’s easy to see why they’re +250 favorites this season.
In six EPL matches, City has already scored 20 goals. That’s an average of over three goals per game and they’re certainly expected to score in this one as well. The Champions League odds price Man City at -180 odds to score two or more goals. Both Summer attacking signings are averaging over one goal per 90 mins. Haaland averages a ridiculous 1.87 goals per 90, while Julian Alvarez has scored two goals in 150 minutes.
Odds & Preview
Manchester City (-1) is expected to cover the one-goal spread, at -140 odds, however, they’ve won just one of their three road matches to start the season. They drew at Aston Villa and Newcastle but Sevilla is also winless in two home matches. City’s moneyline stands at -230, corresponding to just below a 70 percent implied chance of victory.
Sevilla, on the other hand, are +600 underdogs to get their first-ever win vs. Manchester City. For bettors expecting a tie, a draw can be found at +285 odds. Injuries shouldn’t be a huge factor in this match but Julen Lopetegui has been tinkering with his lineups lately. His Sevilla is in the midst of an uninspiring spell of play without many goals. So, expect more changes to be made on Tuesday. Former Real Madrid attacking midfielder Isco made his first Sevilla start on Saturday and it’ll be interesting to see if he holds his place.
The over/under goals total for the match is currently listed as 2½ and the over shows -140 odds. Five of Manchester City’s six group stage matches in 2021-22 resulted in three or more total goals scored. Add Haaland into the mix and there’s even more potential for goals.
Sevilla conceded just five goals in six group stage matches last season but their defense is much changed in 2022-23. Only five Sevilla players have played all four matches so far, which shows a lack of continuity. Whether that results in less organization on the pitch is anyone’s guess for Tuesday’s match.