Dortmund vs Real Madrid in Sentimental UCL Final 2024 Champions League Final Odds
Unsurprisingly Favor Real Madrid
Last Club Soccer Match for Toni Kroos
Toni Kroos is one of the winningest players in Real Madrid history. The tempo-setting midfielder has won 22 trophies during his ten year spell in Spain’s capital. He can close out his club soccer career by helping Real win a record 15th UEFA Champions League title on Saturday.
Real Madrid take on Borussia Dortmund in the 2024 Champions League Final at Wembley Stadium. Dortmund’s run has been nothing short of remarkable and they’ve enjoyed playing the underdog role so far. Unsurprisingly, the 2024 Champions League odds favor Real Madrid.
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid
Date & Time: Saturday, June 1st, 3:00 p.m. ET
Location: Wembley Stadium, London, England
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head
Punters interested in betting on the 2024 Champions League Final odds should note that this is the first time Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund are meeting in a Champions League Final. These sides haven’t met since 2017, when Real Madrid defeated Borussia Dortmund twice in the Group Stage.
They also met in the group stage a year prior, and both matches finished 2-2. Borussia Dortmund have won just one of their last seven games vs. Real Madrid, with a 1-2-4 record. Marco Reus, who is also playing in his last match for Borussia Dortmund, has four career goals vs. Real.
Borussia Dortmund Outwork UCL Opponents
Many people wrote Borussia Dortmund off before the Champions League even started. The 2022-23 Bundesliga runners-up were in the Group of Death with PSG, AC Milan and Newcastle United.
Before the Champions League started, they were listed at +500 odds to win the group and +175 soccer betting odds to advance. Dortmund failed to win their first two games of the Group Stage but won three of their last four.
Edin Terzic’s side finished in first place in the Group F Champions League standings, with a 3-2-1 record. Dortmund got a relatively favorable draw in the Round of 16 and they took down PSV 3-1 over two legs. However, they’ve fully earned their place in the Final.
In the Quarter-finals, Dortmund overturned a 2-1 first leg deficit and defeated Atletico Madrid 4-2 back at the Signal Iduna Park.
Dortmund also kept two clean sheets and managed a pair of 1-0 wins over PSG in the Semifinals. The scoring has been spread out for Dortmund, as Marco Reus, Karim Adeyemi and Julian Brandt have all scored two goals.
Meanwhile, Niclas Fullkrug leads the team with three UCL goals this season. Dortmund’s run to the Champions League Final is surprising, especially given their form in the Bundesliga.
This season, Dortmund finished in fifth place and they were never in the title conversation. They’ve found an extra gear in the Champions League, as Karim Adeyemi and Jadon Sancho have been superb on the wings.
Brandt has been a creative spark, while Mats Hummels and Nico Schlotterbeck also deserve credit for their performances at the back. Bettors can expect Ramy Bensebaini, who has made five UCL appearances this season, to miss the Final.
Real Madrid’s Late Game Heroics Nothing New
Real Madrid’s late game heroics in the Champions League have become so commonplace that they’re almost expected at this point.
Still, Real Madrid’s goals in their 2-1 comeback win over Bayern Munich in the Semifinal second leg came from a surprise source. Joselu scored twice after coming on as a substitute to send Real Madrid to their second UCL Final in three seasons.
Time and time again, Real Madrid find a way to win and they had a difficult path to the Final. After beating RB Leipzig 2-1 in the Round of 16, Los Blancos beat Manchester City in penalties and took down Bayern Munich 4-3.
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti has won more Champions League trophies (four) than any other manager. He has plenty of belief in his players and his Real team pulled off similar heroics in 2022 en route to their record 14th UCL trophy.
Bettors should be aware that 2023-24 La Liga champions Real Madrid went unbeaten in their last 31 La Liga games (a club record) and haven’t lost a Champions League match all season. Their only losses this campaign were both to Atletico Madrid, once in La Liga and once in the Copa del Rey.
Real have two players who could conceivably win the Ballon d’Or, in Vini Jr. and Bellingham. Vini and Rodrygo have both scored five Champions League goals this season, while Bellingham has scored four times and provided four assists in his first UCL season with Real.
The big Real Madrid news for the match is whether Ancelotti will go with Andriy Lunin or Thibaut Courtois in goal. Lunin deputized brilliantly with Courtois injured for most of the season, but Ancelotti could go with a proven UCL winner. Also, Aurelien Tchouameni and David Alaba are out injured.
Dortmund vs Real Madrid Match Analysis & Odds
This will be a sentimental match for both Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund. Kroos has the opportunity to win his sixth Champions League before he retires.
While long time Dortmund forward Marco Reus can win his first UCL crown before he departs the club this Summer. Heading into this one, the 2024 Champions League Final odds currently list Real Madrid as -155 moneyline favorites.
Incredibly, Real Madrid haven’t lost any of their last eight Champions League Finals. They last lost at this stage in 1981 and they have won four UCL trophies in the last decade. Meanwhile, Dortmund are looking for their second Champions League trophy, and haven’t been to the Final since 2013, when they lost to Bayern Munich.
Dortmund are +400 underdogs in normal time and Dortmund +1 sits at -135 odds. Meanwhile, bettors can find Real Madrid -1 at +115. Each of the last four UCL Finals have finished 1-0, including when Real defeated Liverpool by that scoreline in 2022.
A draw, which hasn’t occurred in a UCL Final since 2016, sits at +310 odds. Over 2.5 goals show -145 odds but Dortmund will try to keep their third straight clean sheet in the competition.
We don’t expect Reus to start for Dortmund but it would be some end to his Dortmund career if he were able to help the Germans grab a winner. Kroos, on the other hand, should be a key part of Madrid’s midfield all game and he’s never lost a Champions League Final.
