UCL Finals Props: Man City vs Inter Milan

First-Ever Competitive Meeting Between Man City and Inter

The biggest match in European club soccer is upon us as Manchester City take on Inter Milan in the Champions League final in Istanbul on Saturday. The two teams have never met in a competitive game, which makes betting on it an interesting proposition.

There will be plenty of match previews this week, including ours, but let’s take a deeper dive past the three-way moneyline and spreads. We’ll review some of the most prominent UCL Finals Props from Saturday’s final.

In addition to the European tournaments, such as the UEFA Champions League, various betting options are available beyond the traditional moneyline and spreads. Let’s explore some of the notable UCL Finals Props for Saturday’s final.

Champions League Final

Both Teams to Score

This hasn’t happened in any of the last four Champions League finals, which have all finished with two or fewer goals as well. Once again, “No” appears to be the more likely option. BTTS: No comes in at -125 odds, while punters can find a “Yes” bet at -115. Note that only regulation goals will count towards this bet and most others on the odds board.

Coming into this match, Inter have found the net in 13 straight matches. They certainly haven’t played a team of Manchester City’s caliber since taking on Bayern Munich in the group stage. Inter failed to score in two games vs. Bayern on their UCL schedule. However, the Nerazzurri did score four times in two games vs. Barcelona, though. Meanwhile, Manchester City, led by Kevin de Bruyne and Erling Haaland, have scored in all six of their knockout stage games. City have averaged nearly three goals per game in those matches.

Result/Totals

Recall that none of the last four Champions League finals have finished with more than two goals. That includes Manchester City’s 1-0 loss to Chelsea in 2021. Still, with how much offensive firepower City has, this match can potentially buck the trend. Currently, Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals comes in at +105 odds. Man City and under 2.5 goals is implied to be much more unlikely at +275 odds. Draw and total over 2.5 would require at least two regulation goals from both sides, so it’s no surprise it shows +1500 odds.

Meanwhile, a draw and total under 2.5 displays +550 odds, which may look appealing to anyone who believes the match will head into extra time. Inter, at 4-2-0 in the knockout stage, have won more games than Man City, who are 3-3-0. Inter are also among the few teams with multiple titles in the UCL standings and have a 3-2 record in European Cup/UCL finals.

Inter and total under 2.5 goals hit in both semifinal matches, and it is priced at +1100 odds here. Interestingly, Inter and a total over 2.5 goals comes in a shorter +900 odds. That’s despite no team putting two goals past Man City in the Champions League this season.

Method of Victory

These are some solid UCL Finals props for punters who want to bet on extra time and/or penalty kick outcomes. Unsurprisingly, Man City to win in 90 minutes displays the shortest odds of any outcome, at -250. The odds imply a 90-minute win for Inter has around a 15 percent probability at +550. The last extra-time victory in a UCL final was back in 2014 when Real Madrid put three goals on Atletico in the added periods. City to win in extra time sits at +1100 odds which could represent a bit of value, given they’ve drawn three matches in the knockout stage.

On the other hand, Inter to win in extra time shows the longest odds of all, at +3300. Inter to win in penalties is more likely, at +1800 odds. Inter are 1-0 in extra time matches this season, defeating Parma in a Coppa Italia round of 16 fixture. Meanwhile, City haven’t played an extra-time match all season. Lastly, Man City to win in penalties stands at +1600 odds.

Team to Score First

Manchester City and Inter Milan have both scored first in five of their six knockout stage matches. The first goal has proven crucial in Champions League finals, as the team who scored first has gone on to lift the trophy on the last eight occasions. Man City, as moneyline favorites, are also -335 favorites to score first in the match. Ilkay Gundogan scored within a minute for City as they won last week’s FA Cup final last week.

Inter fell behind in the Coppa Italia final a few weeks back but turned things around as Lautaro Martinez scored a brace. Inter to score first comes in at +260 odds, and the only time they didn’t score first in the UCL knockout stage, the match ended in a scoreless draw. A UCL final hasn’t finished in a scoreless draw for 20 years and “No Goals” sit at +1300 odds here.

To Win to Nil/Clean Sheet

Notably, Inter Milan have kept a competition-high eight clean sheets this season. In the competition, Goalkeeper Andre Onana has stood out for Simone Inzaghi’s Nerazzurri. Inter have managed shutout wins in seven of their 12 Champions League matches this season, but Inter to Win to Nil comes in at just +1000 odds here. Meanwhile, Man City to Win to Nil displays relatively short +130 odds.

Man City to keep a clean sheet overall sits at -150 odds. Heading into the final, they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Inter Milan to keep a clean sheet stands at just +450 odds, but their defense has been elite in the competition this season. Still, shutting down a front line of Erling Haaland, Jack Grealish, and Bernardo Silva poses a considerable challenge. That’s why Inter Milan not keep a clean sheet displaying -900 odds. Meanwhile, Man City to fail to keep a clean sheet shows +110 odds.

Anytime Goalscorer

One of the most exciting UCL Finals Props is Anytime Goalscorer. Unsurprisingly, Erling Haaland is implied to be the most likely goalscorer in the match. The Norwegian has scored 52 goals in all competitions this season and is a mainstay in Pep Guardiola’s Man City side. Haaland shows -150 odds of scoring in the match. The first six names on the odds board for both are Manchester City players, a couple of them bench players.

Substitute striker Julian Alvarez comes in at +135 odds to score in the match. The following two names on the list could also start on the bench: Riyad Mahrez and Phil Foden. They display +250 and +275 odds to score, respectively. Meanwhile, Jack Grealish and Kevin de Bruyne are both on +300 odds. Man City’s Cole Palmer, who is quite unlikely to play in the match, even as a substitute, is on level odds with Inter’s Lautaro Martinez. They both sit at +375 odds to score.

Inter’s Edin Dzeko and Man City’s Ilkay Gundogan and Bernardo Silva all show +400 odds. Gundogan scored both goals in City’s 2-1 FA Cup win over Manchester United last Saturday. Some other exciting selections for Inter are Romelu Lukaku at +450, Nicolo Barella at +700, Henrikh Mkhitaryan at +850, and Hakan Calhanoglu at +1000. Another intriguing Man City option is midfielder Rodri at +700. Meanwhile, no goalscorer is priced at +1200 odds.

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