EPL Matchday 27 Odds: English Premier League Preview
Arsenal Pull Off Incredible Comeback
Liverpool Make Statement vs Manchester United
English Premier League Matchday 26 was one for the ages. Premier League leaders Arsenal trailed 2-0 after the half hour mark vs. Bournemouth and scored three unanswered goals. Reiss Nelson’s last-minute volley inspired an outpouring of emotion and energy at the Emirates Stadium. Meanwhile, Liverpool handed Manchester United their worst-ever Premier League defeat. Liverpool scored six goals in the second half as they won 7-0 and proved that they’re not quite finished yet. LFC are just four points outside of the top four now and take on Bournemouth on EPL Matchday 27. Let’s take a look at Liverpool, the title race and the Matchday 27 odds.
Matches of the Week:
Manchester City have won four of their last five EPL matches since losing to Tottenham in early February. Most recently, the two-time defending EPL champions defeated Newcastle 2-0 last Saturday. Phil Foden and Bernardo Silva got on the scoresheet for the Cityzens as they remained five points behind Arsenal. In one of the best EPL games this week, City are 1½-goal favorites for Saturday’s match. They come in at even odds to cover and show -290 odds to win. However, they have only won one of their last three matches vs. Crystal Palace.
Crystal Palace have struggled to score goals recently and Aston Villa shut Palace out 1-0 on Saturday. Midfielder Cheick Doucoure got red carded in the match and will miss Saturday’s contest vs. Manchester City. Palace +1½ displays -120 odds and the hosts are massive +800 underdogs.
They’ve only conceded more than one goal in one of their last eight EPL matches, though. City have averaged 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches and over 2½ goals come in at -130 odds for the match.
City’s Erling Haaland and Kevin de Bruyne are the Premier League leaders in goals and assists, respectively. The dynamic duo are an integral part of the league’s best attack and City have scored 66 goals this season. Last season, Palace and City drew at Selhurst Park and another deadlock is priced at +415 odds.
Arsenal have made comeback wins a habit. They did it recently vs. Bournemouth and Aston Villa and vs. Fulham earlier in the season. Now, Arsenal make the short trip to West London for the reverse fixture vs. Fulham. The Cottagers lost a West London derby at Brentford on Monday but have had a fine season.
Fulham enter Matchday 26 in seventh place and have some dangerous players. Manor Solomon has scored in each of his last five games for Fulham. Meanwhile, Aleksandr Mitrovic is a big physical player who can cause William Saliba and Gabriel problems. Andreas Pereira and William have also had their moments for the Cottagers.
Before Arsenal head to Craven Cottage, they take on Sporting in Lisbon on Thursday in the Europa League. We can expect Mikel Arteta to rotate his squad a fair bit from Thursday to Sunday. In any case, Arsenal haven’t lost to Fulham for over ten years and are one-goal favorites on Sunday. Fulham +1 comes in at -120 EPL Matchday 27 odds, while Arsenal sit at even odds to cover the spread.
The Gunners have won seven of the last eight meetings and are -170 moneyline favorites. Although, Fulham put up a fight in the reverse fixture in a match that finished 2-1. The Cottagers are +470 underdogs and a draw displays +310 odds here.
No matter how this match finishes, Arsenal will still finish the weekend on top of the table. While Gabriel Jesus is nearing a return, he’s still doubtful for Sunday’s match. Eddie Nketiah missed the match vs. Bournemouth but is expected to be ready to take on Fulham. This is expected to be a high scoring match either way. Arsenal have scored three goals per game on their four-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Fulham have also found the net in each of their last four EPL matches. Over 2½ goals show a -120 price.
Other Important Matches:
Bournemouth executed their game plan perfectly at Arsenal for over an hour but the Gunners were too much for them. The relegation favorites’ EPL Matchday 27 game won’t be much easier, as they host Liverpool. Often counted out over the past few months, Jurgen Klopp’s Reds massacred Manchester United last Sunday. The 7-0 win was a particularly sweet one, given it came over their Northwest derby rivals. Mo Salah became Liverpool’s all-time leading scorer in the Premier League in the process. Cody Gakpo and Darwin Nunez also added two goals apiece.
With a game in hand over fourth-placed Tottenham, Liverpool are just three points behind. The Reds are 1½-goal favorites heading into Saturday’s match and sit at +120 ATS odds. Forget Liverpool’s 7-0 win over Manchester United, the last time Liverpool and Bournemouth met it finished in the joint-largest margin of victory in EPL history. Liverpool destroyed Bournemouth 9-0 last August and have won the last seven meetings.
LFC are -230 moneyline road favorites, while hosts Bournemouth show just +575 odds to win the match. Bournemouth are favorites to cover the spread and keep the match within one goal, at -140 odds. Bear in mind, Liverpool have won six of the last seven head-to-head matchups by at least a three-goal margin. A draw displays +390 odds here, while under three goals comes in at -115 odds.
Tottenham have stumbled over the past week. First, they lost in the FA Cup to Championship club Sheffield United. Then, Spurs fell to Wolves 1-0 on EPL Matchday 26. AC Milan then eliminated Spurs from the Champions League on Wednesday 1-0 on aggregate. However, the Premier League betting odds price Antonio Conte’s side as one-goal favorites vs. Nottingham Forest. Spurs have won their last three home matches in the Premier League and are -225 favorites. These teams have met twice already this season, once in the EPL and once in the EFL Cup.
Forest got a 2-0 win over Spurs in the EFL Cup, while Spurs won by the same scoreline back in August in the Premier League. Expect Eric Dier to feature here for Spurs, as the defender missed the second leg vs. AC Milan due to suspension. Meanwhile, Forest’s bid to stay in the Premier League is going quite well. They drew 2-2 with Everton last weekend and are currently in 14th place. Steve Cooper’s sideshow +625 odds to win and +120 odds to cover the one-goal spread here. Tottenham -1 displays -140 odds as well.
While Forest have been the worst road team in the league, they’re a respectable 5-5-3 at home this season. Notably, they haven’t lost a Premier League match at the City Ground since September. They’ve drawn five of their 13 previous home matches and a tie sits at +360 odds here. Although neither previous meeting this season has finished with three goals or more, over 2½ goals come in at -125 odds. Tottenham haven’t scored a goal in any of their last three matches, in all competitions, as well.
A lot has been said about Manchester United’s players giving up in their 7-0 defeat to Liverpool. After their joint-largest loss of all-time, United’s resolve will be tested on Sunday vs. Southampton. First, the Red Devils face off against Real Betis in the Europa League round of 16 on Thursday. Along with previous injuries to Christian Eriksen and Anthony Martial, Marcel Sabitzer and Casemiro picked up injuries ahead of the match vs. Betis. If neither can play, expect a midfield trio of Fred, Bruno Fernandes and Scott McTominay.
Southampton, who are currently in 19th place in the Premier League, picked up a massive win over Leicester City last Saturday. Carlos Alcaraz scored the game’s only goal and the Saints have won two of their last three EPL contests. They are 1½-goal underdogs heading into Sunday’s match though. Southampton sit at -120 odds to cover, while Manchester United -1½ is priced at even odds. United are -275 favorites despite last weekend’s humiliation, while Southampton display +750 odds to get their first win over United since 2016.
Man U are unbeaten in the last 14 meetings, although draws have been quite common in this fixture. Bettors can find a draw at +405 odds and seven of the last 12 matchups have finished all square. Under three goals also sit at -125 odds for Sunday’s game.
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