Soccer: Offseason EPL Futures Odds
Two-Team Title Race Expected Once Again
Man City Favorites to Win Third Consecutive Title
With the transfer window officially open, it’s time to take a look at EPL futures odds for next season. Two-time defending champions Manchester City have already been active, adding Erling Haaland. Meanwhile, Liverpool is close to completing the signing of striker Darwin Nunez. The top teams are retooling for another title run, while new teams Bournemouth, Fulham, and Nottingham Forest will do everything they can to avoid the drop.
It should come as no surprise that Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City are -175 favorites to win their third consecutive title. Adding Haaland may be the final piece that City need to challenge on all fronts, including an elusive Champions League. The 21-year-old Haaland scored a ridiculous 62 goals in 67 Bundesliga matches for Borussia Dortmund and is one of the best strikers in the world.
While Gabriel Jesus is strongly linked with a move away, City may keep most of their talent in the transfer window. Kevin de Bruyne and Phil Foden were the Premier League Player of the Year and Premier League Young Player of the Year, respectively, and they’ll be back in search of another title.
Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool has +200 EPL futures odds but may be losing one of their biggest stars. Sadio Mane, who won everything there is to win with Liverpool, has been strongly linked with a move to Bayern Munich. Liverpool does have the duo of Diogo Jota and Luis Diaz, which would reduce the sting of losing him.
Most notably, Liverpool is close to completing a big-money transfer for Benfica starlet Darwin Nunez. Nunez, an Uruguay international, is a big physical striker who scored 26 goals in the Primera Liga last season. Premier League Golden Boot winner Mo Salah also said he’s staying next season “for sure”.
Dark Horse Title Contenders
The English Premier League is once again expected to be a two-horse race next season. No other team has better odds than +1600 to win the Premier League title. Both Chelsea and Tottenham are currently sitting on those odds and a $10 bet on them would return a hefty $160 if either were to win.
Chelsea, who was third in the EPL standings last season, stands to lose a bunch of players in the offseason. Key defender Antonio Rudiger is off to Real Madrid and Andreas Christensen is signing for Barcelona. Marcos Alonso and Cesar Azpilicueta could both follow in Christensen’s footsteps and Romelu Lukaku may go back to Inter Milan. At the very least, Chelsea’s defense will be gutted next season.
Tottenham is an interesting one, as manager Antonio Conte has won an EPL title before. He took Tottenham from seventh to fourth last season and another improvement can’t be ruled out of the question. It’ll be an adjustment for Spurs to concurrently play in the Champions League and the EPL. They do, however, have two of the best players in the league in Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son.
Manchester United had one of their worst seasons ever last year. Now, they have +2500 betting odds to win the 2022-23 title. Erik ten Hag is a demanding manager who could change the culture at Man U for the better. Cristiano Ronaldo could also stay for another season to boost the attack.
Arsenal has work to do before they can compete with the Premier League’s big boys and have +6600 odds to win the title. If Mikel Arteta can bring in a few star players this Summer, these odds would get a lot shorter.
Meanwhile, Newcastle United is priced at an intriguing +8000 to win the league. A relegation favorite midway through the season, Eddie Howe’s Magpies picked up the fourth-most points in 2022. With the Saudi owners investing boatloads of cash into the team, don’t be surprised if Newcastle is at least challenging for a Champions League.
The English Premier League relegation battle seems to be a lot more wide open than the title race. Bournemouth manager Scott Parker, who was relegated with Fulham two seasons ago, has work to do if the Cherries are to stay up. Bournemouth is currently relegation favorites, at -175 odds.
Nottingham Forest, one of England’s most storied clubs, is returning to the Premier League for the first time in 23 years. Forest was bottom of the Championship table after seven games last season but they pulled off a stunning turnaround to win the Promotion Playoff. Can Steve Cooper & Co. pull off a great escape and defy their -125 odds to go down?
Fulham is the third and final newly promoted team and they dominated the Championship last season. Aleksandar Mitrovic scored a stunning 43 goals in 44 matches in the league and is Serbia’s all-time leading goal scorer. The Cottagers are priced at +120 to go down but Mitrovic could be instrumental in keeping them up.
Teams in Trouble
Leeds United pulled off a great escape under Jesse Marsch last season but has +250 odds to go down this season. They’ve already invested money in the squad, signing USA international attacking midfielder Brenden Aaronson as their first Summer signing. Marsch needs to keep hold of €65 million rated winger Raphinha this Summer to boost their odds of survival.
The EPL Futures odds also price Brentford at +250 to go down. Brentford is the English club that has most comprehensively embraced analytics. In their first Premier League appearance last season, they finished an impressive 14th with the league’s smallest budget. Thomas Frank orchestrated the club’s survival despite a number of key injuries throughout the season. It’s doubtful they’ll be able to keep Christian Eriksen, though.
Southampton tailed off dangerously in the second half of the 2021-22 season and has +300 odds to go down. The Saints routinely finish in the bottom half of the table but have managed to stay up year after year. Ralph Hasenhuttl will certainly be pushing for new signings in the offseason but Southampton is known as a selling club.
This is an important year for managers Frank Lampard and Everton. The club, after spending ungodly sums on the team, nearly went down last season. This is an excellent chance for Everton’s overpaid stars and Lampard to prove themselves and improve on last season. Shaky defense and inconsistent goalscoring have led to Everton in the mix going down again. They’re listed at +330 odds to be relegated.Follow us on Twitter