Germany vs Spain in Blockbuster Quarter-Final
Germany vs Spain Expert Pick: Can Hosts Get Boost from Crowd?
High-Powered Offenses Meet in Euro 2024 Knockouts
Euro 2024 hosts Germany and Spain have been the two highest scoring teams of the tournament so far.
- Germany have averaged 2.5 goals per game so far, while Spain have scored 2.25 goals per game.
On Friday, the two European giants will face off in the Quarter-Finals after picking up wins in the round of 16 last weekend.
Germany finished in first place in Group A and took down Denmark 2-0 on Saturday. Meanwhile, Spain have won all four of their matches and cruised to a 4-1 victory over Georgia on Sunday.
Stick around for our Germany vs Spain Expert Pick as we preview the odds, trends and team news ahead of this can’t miss match.
Germany vs Spain
Day/Time:
Location: MHPArena, Stuttgart, Germany
Germany vs Spain Head-to-Head
Neither team has scored more than one goal in six of the last seven meetings. However, our Germany vs Spain Expert Pick will consider that three of the last four matches between Germany and Spain have finished 1-1.
The Spain national football team is on a four game unbeaten run in this fixture, with three draws and a win.
Germany and Spain last met at the 2022 FIFA World Cup as Alvaro Morata put Germany ahead in the 62nd minute. Germany’s Niclas Fullkrug equalized with minutes to play and the match finished 1-1.
These teams have met five times in the last 10 years and each team has a win and three matches have finished in draws.
The last time Germany and Spain played against each other at the Euros was in the 2008 final. There, Spain picked up a 1-0 victory.
| Key Stats | Spain | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 4 |
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Draw | 0 | 1 |
| Lost | 0 | 0 |
| Goals | 9 | 10 |
| Total Attempts | 84 | 71 |
| Passing Accuracy (%) | 92.3 | 91 |
| Attacks | 256 | 265 |
| Balls Recovered | 165 | 161 |
| Saves | 10 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards | 6 | 6 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
Germany Creating Plenty of Chances
Germany’s win over Denmark on Saturday was not without controversy. Denmark had a goal called back for one of the most minimal offsides we’re likely to ever see.
Then, Germany were awarded a penalty by VAR, which Kai Havertz confidently converted. As Denmark pushed for an equalizer, Jamal Musiala got an insurance goal for Germany, who won 2-0.
Regardless, Germany have been one of the best soccer picks of the tournament and the highest scoring team.
- They destroyed Scotland 5-1 in their opener, followed by a 2-0 win over Germany and a 1-1 draw against Switzerland en route to first place in Group A.
At the moment, Musiala is tied for the Golden Boot lead, with three goals and Germany are creating plenty of chances.
Plus, Jonathan Tah will return from a one match ban on Friday and likely play alongside Antonio Rudiger in central defense. Rudiger is dealing with a thigh strain but managed to win the Man of the Match Award in the match against Denmark.
Julian Nagelsmann decided to start Leroy Sane over Florian Wirtz in the round of 16 and Sane’s inclusion gives Germany more pace on the wings.
| Spain Games | Scores | Germany Games | Scores |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs Croatia | 3 – 0 | Germany vs Scoland | 5 – 1 |
| Spain vs Italy | 1 – 0 | Germany vs Hungary | 2 – 0 |
| Albania vs Spain | 0 – 1 | Switzerland vs Germany | 1 – 1 |
| Spain vs Georgia | 4 – 1 | Germany vs Denmark | 2 – 0 |
Impressive Spain Get Comeback Win
Spain fell behind just 18 minutes into their round of 16 match versus tournament debutants Georgia. La Roja Center back Robin Le Normand had a tough match and his own goal got Georgia on the board.
Spain managed to regroup and Rodri scored with a left-footed effort outside the box just over 20 minutes later.
In the second half, Fabian Ruiz, Nico Williams and Dani Olmo got on the scoresheet in the 4-1 rout. Spain also won all three of their group stage matches, with wins over Croatia, Italy and Albania. In Group C, Spain didn’t concede a single goal and they’re a battle tested team.
- It’s no surprise that the UEFA Euro 2024 odds give them the second best chance to win the tournament, at +400.
Williams, a left winger, has been one of the best players in the tournament and he relentlessly goes at fullbacks. Yamal, still only 16, has provided two assists to this point.
Rodri is one of the best midfielders in the world as well and this Spain team has been in the best form of any team in the tournament. They play with urgency and intensity all game and will be difficult to knock out of the tournament.
Germany vs Spain Match Analysis & Odds
It’s unfortunate that, arguably, the two best teams in the tournament are meeting this early. Germany and Spain both play uncompromising styles.
These teams undoubtedly respect each other but won’t give so much respect that they sit back and absorb pressure all match. They’ll both want to imprint their styles on the match.
Before we make our Germany vs Spain Expert Pick, let’s run through the odds. Spain come in as slight +165 favorites despite playing in a hostile environment. Given they’re on a six game winning streak it’s hard to bet against them. Meanwhile, Germany display +185 odds and Germany pk is at -102.
While Spain are on a long winning streak, Germany have opened up 2024 on an eight game unbeaten run. From the enigmatic Kai Havertz to the pacy Sane and silky Musiala, Germany have multiple ways to attack Spain.
We wouldn’t be shocked to see extra time but both teams are going to play to win the game. Spain’s Alvaro Morata has scored seven career Euros goals and he’ll be looking to add to that tally on Friday.
Germany have conceded twice in four games, while Spain’s opponents have scored only once. In what could be a tight match!
For soccer betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
| Team | Handicap | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | pk -112 | +165 | O 2, 2½ -120 |
| Germany | pk -108 | +180 | U 2, 2½ Ev |
