Crucial Group E Match
One of the week’s most consequential Euro 2024 qualifiers is between Poland and Czech Republic. Poland need a win to stay alive, while a Czechia victoria means they’ll seal automatic qualification to next Summer’s Euro. In our Poland vs Czechia game analysis, we’ll take a look at the latest odds and preview the match. Poland will host Czech Republic on Friday in Warsaw in one of the most important qualifying UEFA Euro 2024 matchups.
Poland vs Czechia
Location:Stadion Narodowy, Warsaw, Poland
Our Poland vs Czechia game analysis notes that Czech Republic won the reverse fixture, 3-1. They scored twice within the first five minutes of the match and got a third in the 64th minute. Damian Szymanski got a consolation goal for Poland as they dropped their fourth game in their last five vs. Czechia. Poland haven’t defeated Czechia in a competitive match since 2008.
Poland have qualified for each of the last four major tournaments but they may be out of luck this time around. They’re currently in third place in Euro 2024 qualifying Group E and even if they win this match, they’ll need to hope neither Czech Republic nor Albania win a game this month. Still, Robert Lewandowski & Co. will almost certainly get a chance to contest the playoff in March.
The Eagles’ underperformance is a bit baffling given the roster they have. Sure, they’re not the most technical or creative team, but they have solid players in virtually all positions. Lewandowski is one of the greatest strikers of his generation and Wojciech Szczesny has been one of the best keepers in Serie A for quite some time. Plus, Piotr Zielinski played a big role in Napoli’s title run last season. Still, Poland are just 3-1-3 in qualifiers and couldn’t manage to defeat Moldova in two matches vs. them.
Poland have not been a good soccer bet during qualifiers on the road, as they went 1-3. However, they are an unbeaten 2-1-0 at home heading into this match. Former coach Fernando Santos was dismissed in September and new boss Michal Probierz is going for his first home win here. Unsurprisingly, Lewandowski leads Poland with three goals in qualifiers.
Czechia Struggling to Score
Czechia haven’t qualified for a World Cup since 2006. However, they’ve managed to appear at every single European championship since becoming an independent nation. Qualifying for the Euros has never been an issue for them before but things could get more complicated if they’re unable to pick up points at Poland. Granted, they’ll qualify even with a loss if they’re able to defeat Moldova at home next Monday.
The UEFA Euro odds for this qualifier list the Czech Republic as +210 underdogs, though. Last month, Czechia lost for the first time in qualifiers, as they dropped down to ten men and fell 3-0 to Albania on the road. A few days later, they bounced back with a 1-0 win over the Faroe Islands but couldn’t manage to score in open play. Tomas Soucek’s penalty was the difference in the match.
Missing active leading scorer Patrik Schick to recurring injuries has certainly hurt Czechia. They’ve managed just eight goals in six games and have scored just twice in their last three. Mojmir Chytil has scored four goals in his first nine games for the national team, though, and may get another look here.
Match Analysis & Odds
Czechia are just 1-1-1 in three road games in Euro 2024 qualifiers with just three goals. All of them came in a 3-0 win over the Faroe Islands. Neither Czech Republic nor Poland have been blowing their opponents away and our Poland vs Czechia game analysis suggests this could be a low-scoring match. The odds certainly reflect that, as under 2.5 goals come in at -155 odds here.
Poland’s last loss on home soil was over a year ago and they’re +130 favorites for this one. Bettors can take Poland pk, -0.5 at -110 odds and Czechia pk, +0.5 sits at -120. Both the moneylines for Czechia and a draw are priced at +210.
With both teams lacking in offensive firepower, bar Lewandowski, this figures to be a game of fine margins. Lewandowski missed both matches last month and it figures to be a big boost to have him back here. Arkadiusz Milik started in both games in place of Lewa but didn’t manage to score.
Given this is Poland’s last match of qualifiers and they’re one point behind Czech Republic, who have one more match, expect the hosts to be highly motivated.