How the Belgian GP Weather Forecast impacts betting for the weekend
Changing conditions could rain out one of the multiple race events this weekend

For the past few years, the Belgian Grand Prix has marked the first race back after the F1 mid-season summer break. The race, typically towards the end of August, has often included mixed or fully wet conditions. In 2023, organizers moved the race one month earlier on the schedule to instead become the last race before the summer break. But the Belgian GP weather forecast shows rain will play a role anyways.
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Recent Weather Impact
Rain surprisingly played some role in the last six races, with conditions impacting qualifying in the Canadian, Austrian, and British Grands Prix. It’s not a surprise it could happen again this weekend; the Belgian Grand Prix is typically one of the most likely events to include rain. The 2021 Belgian Grand Prix was the shortest race in F1 history due to heavy rains cutting the race short after one lap. Half F1 points were given out to the top 10 finishers for that event.
Currently, the Belgian GP weather forecast calls for a 90% chance of rain on Saturday during the sprint qualifying and sprint race events, per Weather.com. Showers and thunderstorms are very likely throughout the day. This means the F1 odds for the race could be a moot point if both sprint events are canceled. Mercedes driver George Russell, director of the Grand Prix Drivers’ Association, called on the FIA to make tough choices with driver safety concerns in mind.
Driver Safety Concerns
Multiple drivers, including Russell are looking to make a jump in the F1 drivers standings this weekend in a high-speed track that suits their car. But the focus on safety, especially in the aftermath of 18-year-old Dutch driver Dilan van’t Hoff’s death in a crash earlier this month, is at the forefront.
For the feature race on Sunday, the Belgian GP weather forecast is a lot lighter on rain. The latest from Weather.com has the chance of rain at 43% with rain showers at times. The race is more likely to go on as planned but still faces threats with winds from 10 to 20 mph.
Little running in free practice on Friday means teams won’t be as prepared as normal. Luckily, the teams have years of data to work with from Circuit Spa-Francorchamps, but there still could be some surprises in Sunday’s race. Drivers like Max Verstappen, Charles Leclerc, Russell, Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton, and Esteban Ocon who race well in wet conditions could overachieve.
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