Selecao Head to Colombia
Brazil went unbeaten in the 2022 World Cup qualifiers but have already fallen just four games into the 2026 qualifiers. In October, Brazil were winless, with a draw vs Venezuela and a loss at Uruguay. The Selecao will look to get back in the win column on Thursday as they take on Colombia. Colombia are one of just two remaining unbeaten teams in CONMEBOL qualifiers but drew both of their October matches. Ahead of a crucial CONMEBOL WCQ match, we’ll run through the odds and make some Colombia vs Brazil predictions.
⚽ Colombia vs Brazil ⚽
Location: Estadio Metropolitano, Barranquilla, Colombia
Brazil have only lost one of their last 22 matches vs Colombia, in all competitions. Still, three of the previous five games between these CONMEBOL teams have finished all square. In 2022 CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying, Brazil’s Lucas Paqueta scored the winning goal at home. The reverse fixture finished scoreless, and each of the last three meetings on Colombian soil have ended in a draw.
Colombia on Three-Game Draw Streak
Colombia are an unbeaten 7-5-0 under coach Nestor Lorenzo. Overall, Los Cafeteros are on a 15-game unbeaten run and last lost in February 2022. They’ve kept five clean sheets in their previous six matches and should be able to compete with virtually any team in CONMEBOL.
Back in October, Colombia looked to be on the way to a win vs Uruguay. However, Colombia conceded a late penalty, and goalkeeper Camilo Vargas was sent off. Darwin Nunez converted the ensuing penalty, and then the match finished in a 2-2 draw.
Then, Colombia played to a scoreless draw in Ecuador. Los Cafeteros are on a three-game draw streak and are 1-3-0 in CONMEBOL qualifiers. They’re in fifth place in the standings and finished sixth in the 2022 World Cup qualifiers. Colombia was not part of the 2022 FIFA World Cup brackets, but sixth place will be enough to advance to the World Cup this time.
James Rodriguez has been in good form for Colombia, and he scored in the draw vs Uruguay last month. Yerry Mina is also back from injury which means he can pair with Davinson Sanchez in the center of defense. Colombia also have some talented attacking players, like Liverpool’s Luis Diaz and Luis Sinisterra. Bettors should note that Juan Cuadrado and Jhon Duran are out injured. Still, Colombia vs Brazil predictions give the hosts around a 30 percent implied chance to win the match based on the odds.
Neymar Out Long-Term for Brazil
Brazil’s match last month at Uruguay ended up being a disaster for more reasons than one. It was Brazil’s first World Cup qualifying loss since 2015, as they fell 2-0. Plus, Neymar picked up a serious knee injury in the match, which was later confirmed to be a torn ACL. With Neymar and Richarlison out injured, Vinicius Jr. and Rodrygo will take on more attacking responsibility.
Gabriel Jesus has missed the last few matches for Arsenal but the striker has been named in Brazil’s squad here. Brazil may need him to provide an attacking punch. Last month, Brazil scored just one goal in two matches as they went 0-1-1. They are still in third place in CONMEBOL, with a 2-1-1 record. The World Cup qualifiers odds price Brazil as +120 favorites for this one.
Neymar contributed to five of Brazil’s seven goals and his production is not going to be easy to replace, no matter who gets more minutes. Along with Neymar and Richarlison, Ederson, Danilo, Eder Militao and Casemiro are out injured. Plus, Lucas Paqueta and Antony have not been selected for the last few international breaks given legal issues.
Match Analysis & Odds
Although Brazil have some notable absences, there’s still a ton of talent on the roster. Fernando Diniz, who just won the Copa Libertadores with Fluminense, can choose from any of Rodrygo, Raphinha, Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli and Vinicius Jr. to make up the front line. There are also four other forwards on the roster who could make their debuts off the bench.
Regardless, Brazil are +120 favorites, while Colombia are +230 underdogs for this one. Bettors can take a draw at +220 odds here as well. However, the first of our Colombia vs Brazil predictions is that Brazil will pick up all three points and end Colombia’s unbeaten streak. Arsenal’s Martinelli torched Sevilla last week in the Champions League and it’s hard to see him not playing some kind of a role here with the form he’s in.
We also like Brazil over 1.5 goals at +170 odds. Some other lines of note are Colombia pk, +0.5 at -110 odds and Brazil pk, -0.5 at -115. Both over and under two goals are priced at -115.