Ecuador vs Senegal Odds & Recap

Winner Advances to Knockout Stage

⚽Ecuador vs Senegal: Game Recap⚽

Results: Ecuador 1-2 Senegal

Senegal booked a place in the last 16 of the 2022 World Cup thanks to a winning goal by Kalidou Koulibaly.

Ecuador started with both their full backs pushed very high up the pitch, a particularly brave tactic given the pace of the Senegal wide players, and the fact that Aliou Cissé’s men were happy to press those full backs man-for-man. The same Senegal who came into this game with the joint-most, shot-endinghigh turnovers thus far in the competition.

The African champions took a first-half lead through Ismaila Sarr before Ecuador hit back thanks to an equalizer by Moises Caicedo after the break. Ecuador were on level terms for just two minutes, since Koulibaly’s fine finish put his side back in the lead and through to the knockout stage.

Hincapie rushed to clear the ball, but he made contact with Sarr rather than the ball. Sarr rolled the ball into the net from the penalty spot as Ecuador goalkeeper Hernan Galindez watched on.

Watford’s Sarr was given the chance to score a spot kick in the 44th minute after he was clumsily fouled by Ecuador’s Piero Hincapie. Hincapie rushed to clear the ball, but he made contact with Sarr rather than the ball. Sarr rolled the ball into the net from the penalty spot as Ecuador goalkeeper Hernan Galindez watched on.

Ecuador equalized after 68 minutes when Caicedo tapped home from close range from a corner before Koulibaly turned the game back in Senegal’s favor. Senegal have reached the knockout stage at a World Cup for the first time since their run to the quarter-finals back in 2002.

📊 Team Stats 📊

ECU Ecuador SEN Senegal
61% Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Shots Wide 2
2 Shots Blocked 4
2 Saves 3
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
23 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
3 Dribbles 10
21 Crosses 20
15 Tackles 10

Did We Get It Right?

Below you will find all the predictions we made before the matchup, on November 26, 2022.

High Stakes Group A Matchup

With one match remaining in FIFA World Cup group play, Ecuador and Senegal are right in the knockout stage mix. Ecuador got an impressive draw vs. the Netherlands on Friday while Senegal defeated hosts Qatar. A draw will send Ecuador through to the knockout stage, while things are a bit more complicated for Senegal. In any case, a win will be enough for either team to advance. We’ll take a look at the Ecuador vs Senegal odds in a winner takes all group stage finale.

Ecuador vs Senegal

Date, time (TV):
Location: Khalifa International Stadium, Ar-Rayyan, Qatar
Streaming: FS1, Telemundo, Peacock

Team Standings and Odds:

Team FIFA World Ranking World Cup Qualifying Record Knockout Stage Odds Odds to Win Group Odds to Win World Cup
Ecuador 44 7-5-6, 4th CONMEBOL -305 +350 +9000
Senegal 18 6-1-1, 1st CAF Group H +185 +1200 +15000


All Meetings: Teams
May 2002: Ecuador 0-1 Senegal

This is the first opportunity to bet on Ecuador vs Senegal odds in the World Cup. They’ve only met once before, in a 2002 friendly. Senegal came out on top 1-0 in a match that current Lions of Teranga boss Aliou Cisse started in.

Valencia a Major Doubt

Standings: 1-1-0, T-1st
Previous Match: D, 1-1 vs. Netherlands

Ecuador’s impressive draw vs. the Netherlands was marred by striker Enner Valencia getting stretchered off the pitch with an injury. He appears to have reaggravated an MCL injury and is now a major doubt for the group stage finale. Valencia has scored all three of Ecuador’s goals at Qatar 2022 and has Ecuador’s last six World Cup goals. He found the net vs. the Netherlands on a second half rebound to level the match at one.

La Tri also had a goal controversially ruled out in the first half as Jackson Porozo allegedly blocked the keeper’s line of sight on a Pervis Estupinan goal. The match finished level at one and Ecuador covered the goal-line for a second straight match to open the tournament. They’ve also got one foot in the knockout stage as a draw is enough to go through. If Valencia can’t play it’s a big loss for Ecuador, though. No other Ecuador striker has a goal scoring record close to as prolific as Valencia’s.

Ecuador enter the last day of group stage play tied for first in the FIFA standings for Group B. They’re -305 favorites to make the knockout stage but not necessarily expected to win the group. La Tri show +350 odds to win the group and it’ll take getting a better result vs. Senegal than the Netherlands get vs. Qatar.

Senegal: Up and Running

Standings: 1-1, 3rd
Previous Match: W, 3-1 vs. Qatar

Senegal bounced back from their opening match loss to Netherlands by defeating hosts Qatar 3-1. Qatar had a penalty shout in the first half waved away which opened the door for Boulaye Dia to pounce. The Senegalese striker got on the end of a botched Qatar clearance to put the Lions of Teranga 1-0 up. After the halftime break, Famara Diédhiou headed home a corner to put Senegal well on their way to the three points. Qatari substitute Mohammed Muntari got his nation’s first-ever World Cup goal but Bamba Dieng added an insurance goal for Senegal.

The 3-1 win was exactly what Senegal needed to stay in the knockout stage picture. Senegal have shown resilience without star player Sadio Mane and the FIFA World Cup odds now price them at +185 to advance to the round of 16. It would be their first appearance in the knockout stage since 2002. With Senegal’s win and Netherlands draw vs. Ecuador, Qatar became the first mathematically eliminated team.

The Netherlands, on four points along with Ecuador, are widely expected to win their match vs. Qatar. So, Senegal, sitting on three points, likely need a win to go through. Expect Aliou Cisse to make subs early and often in the match if things aren’t going Senegal’s way.

Match Analysis and Odds:

Enner Valencia’s status is certainly worth monitoring in the lead up to the match. Ecuador midfielder Sebatian Mendez is also suspended for this match after picking up two yellow cards in two matches. Regardless, the Ecuador vs Senegal odds list this match as a pick’em. With the stakes high and the match expected to be close, it should be a great watch.

Ecuador also show +145 moneyline odds. Senegal and a draw are both priced at +215 odds.

As a pick’em, Ecuador sit at -145 odds and Senegal come in at +125. Any and all outcomes are probable, as Ecuador also show +145 moneyline odds. Senegal and a draw are both priced at +215 odds. Both teams have creative players and have shown they’re capable of putting the ball in the back of the net.

The over/under goal total is listed as two goals for the match. The over is implied to be more likely, at -130 odds. Note that the Netherlands snapped Ecuador’s seven match shutout streak, which dated back to March. Senegal, on the other hand, have conceded in each of their last three internationals. The under shows +110 odds but under two hasn’t happened in any of either team’s matches at the tournament.

Ecuador vs Senegal FAQ

How can Senegal and Ecuador advance to the World Cup knockout stage?

Senegal will advance with a win vs. Ecuador. Ecuador will seal round of 16 qualification with a draw or win. A draw for Senegal and loss for Ecuador could be enough, depending on the Netherlands result vs. Qatar.

Where is the Ecuador vs. Senegal match in the FIFA World Cup?

Ecuador take on Senegal at the Khalifa International Stadium in Ar-Rayyan, Qatar.

When was the last time Ecuador and Senegal met in a World Cup?

This is the first World Cup match between Ecuador and Senegal. They’ve only met before in a 2002 friendly, which Senegal won 1-0. 
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