Rahm Player to Beat
The next stop on the PGA Tour is the PGA Mexico Open and bettors get value odds with most of the field.
Looking to win his first tournament since the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open is Patrick Reed, who is starting to find his best form.
Jon Rahm is the PGA Mexico Open favorite at +450, so the former world No. 1 has been best-backed to win.
Reed Out of the Weeds
It hasn’t been the easiest of times for Reed, but after missing three consecutive cuts in February and March, he has rebounded.
Reed has rattled off three straight made cuts, including a T26 at The Players Championship and a T35 effort at the Masters.
He’s due a winning effort and he’s a nine-time winner on the PGA Tour, so there is no reason why he can’t discover his best.
He is a two-time winner of the WGC-Mexico Championship, with the most recent coming in 2020, so he loves playing in Mexico. That’s a massive plus for bettors who are looking at taking the +2500 odds.
The PGA Mexico Open 2022 can often be a horses-for-courses tournament, so taking Reed at the value odds isn’t a bad play.
Rahm Dominating Betting Markets
Not since Tiger Woods dominated the first decade of this century have we seen a golf betting market so one-sided.
Rahm is listed at +450 odds and the next closest competitors are Tony Finau and Abraham Ancer at +2000, so the Spaniard is the clear favorite.
His odds to win PGA Mexico Open are short, but the current world No. 2 will have his supporters, and rightfully so.
Rahm has something to prove as the PGA Championship approaches, so he’ll be wanting to get back to his best form before Southern Hills in three weeks.
Our worry is that Rahm is a big tournament player and he doesn’t often win the lower-ranked events like the Mexico Open. His last three wins have been in the Memorial Tournament, BMW Championship and the U.S. Open.
He can often use tournaments like the Mexico Open to fine-tune his game, so be cautious with taking the +450, but he is the best player in the field.
Cameron to be Champ?
Cameron Champ hasn’t had a season to remember, but the American is trending in the right direction.
He recorded a top-10 finish at the Masters after missing the cut at the Valero Texas Open and The Players. It’s an improvement for the PGA Tour winner, who was desperate for a confidence boost.
However, he’s still not happy with his golf game.
“It’s really nice to see things going in the right direction,” Champ told Golf Week. “Is it close to where it should be? No. It’s not anywhere near being close.”
PGA Mexico Open odds have Champ at +5000, so he’s worth a wager on. His odds have firmed from an opening quote of +6000, so we’re not the only ones expecting his form to continue at Vidanta.
Go Big with Lee
Danny Lee is an enigmatic golfer, but he’s good enough to shoot low numbers and surprise the Mexico Open field.
The New Zealander has shed the pressure of his parents and is living his own life, which has arguably seen his golf game deteriorate. However, we’re confident he’ll get back to his best in time.
Lee missed the cut at the RBC Heritage after shooting +3, which followed withdrawing from the Valero Texas Open. He also withdrew from The Players, so he’s battling, but the 2015 Greenbrier Classic winner is paying generous odds to turn it around.
The South Korean-born Kiwi is +15000 to win this week, and although he’s a tough watch at the best of times, he could fire a low score on Thursday and give bettors a big sight.