Palou leads favorites in IndyCar Series’ 2024 Sonsio Grand Prix Odds

It's the final race before the Indy 500 with a close battle at the top of the standings

This week, the IndyCar Series has a new leader: Colton Herta. Scott McLaughlin won from pole position in Alabama, but Herta now leads the standings after four rounds.

His consistency and Josef Newgarden’s disqualification from St. Petersburg put him at the top of the crowded top five.

There aren’t many odds available for the IndyCar Series this week but here’s who should be the favorites and sleepers in the 2024 Sonsio Grand Prix Odds.

2024 Sonsio Grand Prix Odds: Favorites

  • Álex Palou (+250)

The defending champion hasn’t finished outside of the top five positions yet this season. Unfortunately for him, his best race of the season came at an event with no points on offer (Thermal).

Last time out in Alabama, he finished fifth and earned an extra point for leading 12 laps on the day.

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That consistency pairs well with a good track record at the Indianapolis Grand Prix circuit. He won this race last year from third on the grid and led 54 of 85 laps.

He’s a favorite in IndyCar betting more often than not, given he’s won two of the last three championships. But his recent success gives credence to believe he can notch another win this season.

  • Pato O’Ward (+500)

Newgarden’s disqualification in St. Petersburg gives O’Ward the victory after the fact. Besides that race, things haven’t gone his way in 2024.

He failed to qualify in Thermal and finished 16th and 23rd at Long Beach and Alabama, respectively.

He’s 30 points behind Herta in the IndyCar standings and needs to turn things around soon to have a hope of competing for the title.

Luckily, he has a solid track record at the Indianapolis Grand Prix Circuit. He finished second from fifth on the grid in this race last year.

In the fall race at this track, he started fourth and finished third. He’ll need another result like that to get things back to where he wants to be.

  • Josef Newgarden (+700)

Following his disqualification, Newgarden’s fallen down the standings to 15th after his 16th-place finish in Alabama.

He had solid races prior to that (eighth in Thermal, fourth in Long Beach) so it is disappointing for his recovery plans.

He’s now more than 50 points behind Herta. It’s a long IndyCar season but that’s no small feat to overcome.

He won at this track in one of the two races of a fall double-header in 2020. He hasn’t won again since but has finished in the top 10 in all six out of eight races since then.

He’s arguably the best oval driver in the field, though, so he could be building to another win next time out at the Indy 500.

  • Scott McLaughlin (+750)

McLaughlin’s win in Alabama continues a rollercoaster of a season so far. He was disqualified from St. Petersburg and finished 26th in Long Beach.

He took second in Thermal and won in impressive fashion last time out. Is that win a sign of things to come or another chapter in an inconsistent title campaign?

Either way, another win would be surprising this week. In six career races, he’s finished in the top five just once at this track. He’s finished outside the top 15 and inside the top 10 the same number of times.

McLaughlin may be more of a pick for a different road race later on in the calendar.

Sleepers

  • Scott Dixon (+1000)

These odds don’t make Dixon a major sleeper but he could get a win this weekend. His win in Long Beach is buoying him up to fourth in the championship with average results elsewhere (seventh in St. Petersburgh, 15th in Alabama).

He’s one of the most experienced drivers at this circuit with 15 career IndyCar Series races here. He’s finished in the top 10 all in 13 of those 15 races, including two wins in 2020 and last fall.

It’s hard to find a more consistent driver at this circuit despite routinely struggling in qualifying. He’s finished higher than he started in every IndyCar Series race he’s entered at the Indianapolis Grand Prix Circuit.

It wouldn’t be a surprise for him to get win No. 2 this season.

  • Colton Herta (+1200)

The championship leader’s a sleeper this weekend despite a pretty good record at this track. He’s been good but not great this season through four rounds.

He needs to have a more dominant performance to see a jump up to the favorites going forward.

Herta’s no slouch at the Indianapolis Grand Prix circuit. He won this race in 2022 and led 17 laps of the fall race that year before gear box issues forced him to retire halfway through the race.

Last year he finished ninth from 14th on the grid. That first win of the season could be coming.

  • Will Power

Power’s a popular sleeper in most IndyCar race predictions. The two-time champion is the best qualifier in series history and has years of experience on all of the circuits on the calendar, including this one.

He’s won five races at this track since 2014, including this race in 2015 and 2018.

Power is just one point behind Herta at the top of the standings with two podiums in St. Petersburg and last time out in Alabama. This is the best start he’s had to a season since his title-winning campaign in 2022.

Last time he raced at this track last fall, Power managed sixth place on the road. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him on the top step again.

2024 Sonsio Grand Prix Odds: Predictions

As usual, it’s hard with limited IndyCar Series odds to come up with picks for this weekend.

This won’t be a problem next time out, though, with the Indy 500 odds available for the last couple of months.

Of the favorites, this looks like a time for Palou to assert himself in the championship once again. No one could match his consistency and win total last year and he could use this weekend to spark another run.

Of the sleepers, we like Power thanks to his incredible resume at this track and early season success.

For Indycar betting, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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