Struggling Sevilla Face Dangerous Atletico
Sevilla host Atletico Madrid on Saturday in a clash of two Champions League teams. Neither squad has played to their potential this season and desperately need results post-international break. Sevilla have won just one game so far and are currently just one point away from the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Atleti are reeling from a Madrid Derby loss to rivals Real Madrid. Let’s take a look at the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid odds in a crucial match for both teams.
La Liga – Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Game Info:
- Location: Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville, Spain
- Date & Time:
- TV: ESPN+
Five of the last eight Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid matches have finished in draws, which includes the most recent meeting. May 2022 Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid odds priced a draw at +210 and the match finished at 1-1. Sevilla also defeated Atletico 2-1 at home last season behind goals from Ivan Rakitic and Lucas Ocampos. Sevilla are unbeaten in the last three meetings and Atletico have managed just one win in the last eight.
Sevilla’s Rocky Start
- La Liga Record: 1-3-2, 5 pts, 15th
- La Liga Form: D,W,L,L,D
- Injuries and Suspensions: M Jesus Corona (Out)
Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui is walking on thin ice after their abysmal start to the season. They took just one point from their first four games, which equalled their worst-ever start in La Liga. They’ve since picked up four points in their last two matches but still have a lot of work to do. Plus, they managed just one point from their first two Champions League matches.
The upcoming La Liga schedule is not favorable to Lopetegui’s job security. After Atletico Madrid, they face Athletic Bilbao, Valencia and Real Madrid in three of the next four weeks. It would go a long way if Sevilla are able to pick up all three points on Saturday. Scoring has been an issue but the defense has been the biggest culprit so far.
Sevilla have conceded in all six of their La Liga matches. They’ve also failed to pick up a home win so far. Losing some of their best defenders was never going to be easy and the lack of production on the other end is concerning. Sevilla were already an outlier last season in the top four, with just 53 goals all season. No other UCL side scored fewer than 65 and now they’re on pace for even fewer goals this season.
Not too Many Surprises from Atletico
- La Liga Record: 3-2-1, 10 pts, 7th
- La Liga Form: L,W,D,W,L
- Injuries and Suspensions: D Sergio Reguilon (Day-to-Day), D Jose Gimenez (Day-to-Day), D Mario Hermoso (Suspended)
Looking at the La Liga standings, it may stick out that Atletico Madrid are in seventh place. However, they’re just three points outside of the top four and a deeper look at their schedule provides some clarity. Their two losses have come to very good teams, in Real Madrid and Villarreal. For the most part, they’ve won the matches they’ve been expected to.
The Atletico Madrid open odds for this match were +135. It seems bettors aren’t too confident in them as their odds are getting longer. It may have something to do with the fact that three of their defenders could miss this match. Mario Hermoso is suspended after picking up a second yellow vs Real Madrid. Meanwhile, Sergio Reguilon and Jose Gimenez are both hurrying to recover in time for Saturday.
Diego Simeone’s Atletico haven’t been great this season but they’re in the mix. With a win and a draw in the Champions League, they’re very much in contention for the knockout stage. Not many people expect Atleti to be able to compete with Real and Barcelona this season. So, a top four finish is more realistic and they’re not too far off of the pace. Alvaro Morata has filled the void left behind by Luis Suarez’s departure. The Spanish international, who was on loan at Juventus, has three goals already.
Odds & Preview
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid odds price the home side Sevilla at +190 odds to win in this pick’em. Atletico’s line has moved from its +135 opening down to +150, which is curious given their unbeaten away record. Bettors can put money on a sixth draw in the last nine matchups at +230 odds.
Atletico Madrid and Sevilla have both only been shutout once this season. As things stand, Sevilla can’t seem to keep their opponents out of their net and have conceded six goals in their last three La Liga matches. Six of the last eight fixtures have finished with two or fewer goals but over two sits at -135 odds. Both teams have scored in nine of the last 11 meetings in all competitions. The odds imply this trend could be bucked, as a no on BTTS shows -130 odds.
This match is usually one of the most competitive fixtures on the La Liga schedule. Only two of the last nine matches have been decided by a multi-goal margin. With Lopetegui’s job possibly on the line, this could make for an intense watch.