PSG and Lens Off to Slow Starts
It’s been quite a busy Summer for Paris Saint-Germain. Lionel Messi and Neymar have both left the club, and Kylian Mbappe has seen a bunch of new arrivals. New coach Luis Enrique is still looking for a first win after two draws, and he’ll hope it comes on Saturday, when PSG host Lens. Lens finished just behind PSG in Ligue 1 last season, and they’re the only two Champions League clubs from France in 2023-24. However, neither has won a match so far. In a game between title contenders, let’s look at the PSG vs Lens betting odds.
Last season, PSG and Lens split their Ligue 1 meetings. The Ligue 1 scores show the home team won 3-1 in both meetings. This has been a pretty competitive fixture as of late. In the last six meetings, both teams have won twice, and two matches have finished in draws.
Growing Pains for PSG
The opening two matches present a case that PSG may face some growing pains this season. That may be especially true in the opening stages, as the Parisians adjust to Luis Enrique’s style of play. Enrique wants his teams to play a possession-based style that wears down opponents. With Neymar, Lionel Messi, and Kylian Mbappe last season, PSG could rely on attacking creativity in the final third.
With a more methodical style, Paris Saint-Germain have failed to score from open play in their first two matches. Expect that to change soon, though, as Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele should make their first starts of the season shortly. Club officials wanted Mbappe gone in the Summer but it looks like he may sign a contract extension that would protect his value in the event of a transfer. Mbappe came on as a substitute in the match vs. Toulouse on Saturday and won a penalty within 10 minutes of being on the field.
Mbappe slotted home but it wasn’t enough to seal the win. Achraf Hakimi did well to find Mbappe on PSG’s goal, but his foul led to Toulouse’s. Zakaria Aboukhlal converted a late penalty, and PSG had to settle for just a point. With just two points through two matches, PSG’s title defense isn’t off to the greatest start. Still, the PSG vs Lens betting odds price the Parisians as favorites for this match.
Lens Get First Point of Season
Lens opened up the season on the road at Brest and fell 3-2. In their next match, vs. Rennes, Deiver Machado scored a stunner in the third minute. However, Lens conceded a penalty in the second half, and Benjamin Bourigeaud scored to level the match. The match finished 1-1, which means Lens picked up just one point through two games.
It’s not the start Franck Haise and Lens hoped for, but there’s undoubtedly a whole lot of season left. It is somewhat surprising that Lens have conceded four goals in two matches when they only conceded 29 times all of the 2022-23 season. Lens also drew their first home match after going 17-1-1 there last season. Losing Seko Fofana and Lois Openda was never going to be easy but RC Lens just signed Elye Wahi from Montpellier.
The 20-year-old striker finished last season with 19 goals. That was good enough for seventh in the Ligue 1 stats and he’ll go a long way towards replacing Openda, who scored 21 times last season. Scoring isn’t necessarily the issue for Lens right now as they’re still looking for a first clean sheet. Expect Haise to have his defense more organized as the season goes on.
Match Analysis & Odds
With neither PSG nor Lens off to the best start, a win would help either side climb the Ligue 1 standings. Through two matches, PSG has actually scored the joint-fewest goals in the league, along with Lorient. Expect that to change soon and they’ve scored at least once in each of their last five matches vs. Lens. In fact, both teams have scored in the last five fixtures. Plus, Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele are in contention to start the match.
Here, the PSG vs Lens betting odds list under three goals at -115 odds. It’s likely that PSG’s more methodical style of play means they won’t concede many goals this season. They may also be scoreless as players like Lee Kang-in, Marco Asensio, and Goncalo Ramos get adjusted to Ligue 1. Notably, PSG are unbeaten in their last seven home games vs. Torino. Here, the Parisians are one-goal favorites and come in at -115 odds to cover.
Meanwhile, Lens +1 displays -105 odds as PSG was the only team to defeat Lens by more than a one-goal margin all of last season. PSG also show -185 odds to get their first win of the season. At +460 moneyline odds, Lens has just an implied 17.9 percent chance to win Saturday’s match. Two of the last four meetings between the sides have finished in draws and the oddsmakers list another at +350. Expect both sides to be hungry for their first win of the season in what should be a competitive match.Follow us on Twitter
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