2022 MLB National League Odds Profile

Team-By-Team Breakdown

With the 2022 MLB season only a week away, there’s no better time than right now to look at the MLB future odds. There are a ton of betting options available, from taking certain teams to make or miss the playoffs to predicting division and pennant winners. You can also look at individual awards to pick winners.

Check out our betting rundown for each National League team with key odds and comments for each:

NL East

Atlanta Braves

  • Playoffs: -300 (Yes) and +225 (No)
  • Division: +140
  • Pennant: +550
  • World Series: +1200
  • Regular Season Wins: 90½ (-130 over/Ev under)
  • Player to Watch: Ronald Acuña Jr. (+800 NL MVP)

The Atlanta Braves have the best odds to win the NL East by a slim margin. They should finish right around their wins over/under with a lot riding on how much the Braves will get from a young rotation besides Charlie Morton and Max Fried.

It’s going to be huge for the Braves to get Ronald Acuña Jr. back from his torn ACL. He’s a good pick for MVP even though he’s coming off a brutal injury. Don’t expect him to lead Atlanta to another pennant win in an improved NL, though.

New York Mets

  • Playoffs: -325 (Yes) and +250 (No)
  • Division: +150
  • Pennant: +500
  • World Series: +1100
  • Regular Season Wins: 90½ (-125 over/-105 under)
  • Player to Watch: Pete Alonso (+1000 MLB HR Leader)

The New York Mets are a great pick to win the NL East and the pennant. New York is deep and has tons of high-end talent but has a major injury concern. Two-time Cy Young Award winner Jacob DeGrom will miss the first month with a stress fracture in his right scapula. Offseason acquisition Max Scherzer will head the rotation in his absence. The Mets have a really strong position player group that will be terrifying for opponents to face.

Pete Alonso “only” hit 37 home runs in 2021 but, as one of the best pure power hitters in the majors, he’s a smart bet to lead the league in home runs like he did in his rookie year in 2019. He has much more protection in the lineup now and should have a big season.

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Playoffs: -115 (Yes) and -115 (No)
  • Division: +400
  • Pennant: +1700
  • World Series: +3300
  • Regular Season Wins: 85½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Bryce Harper (+900 NL MVP)

The Philadelphia Phillies might be worth a dart to win the NL East or to hit their win total over, but this team just has too many question marks to be considered a legitimate contender. The rotation is shaky after Zack Wheeler and while the lineup will hit a ton of home runs, the defense and the baserunning is going to be really bad. The always-concerning bullpen is better but is far from reliable.

Bryce Harper is a great bet to win NL MVP, for the second straight year, at +900. He was incredible in 2021 and led the majors in slugging percentage, OPS and OPS+. With more lineup help around him, there’s no reason he won’t be even better.

Miami Marlins

  • Playoffs: +240 (Yes) and -300 (No)
  • Division: +1400
  • Pennant: +4000
  • World Series: +6600
  • Regular Season Wins: 76½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Sandy Alcantara (+2000 NL Cy Young)

The Miami Marlins should improve upon their 67 wins from last season but it’s too much to expect the Marlins to win more than 76 games in such a tough division. Miami doesn’t have much position player depth and is depending heavily on relievers who pitched above their heads a season ago.

Miami’s young rotation is really talented, though, and Sandy Alcantara is the best of the bench. Consider throwing a dart on him to win the NL Cy Young at really good value on the MLB future odds. He was great last season and his unsightly 9-15 record should improve due to the Marlins’ offseason additions.

Washington Nationals

  • Playoffs: +550 (Yes) and -900 (No)
  • Division: +4500
  • Pennant: +6600
  • World Series: +12500
  • Regular Season Wins: 71½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Juan Soto (+325 NL MVP)

The Washington Nationals started their rebuild in earnest last summer and did a good job of stripping this team down to the studs other than Juan Soto. Right now, it’s mostly a mix of a few established vets, Soto, replacement-level depth guys, and young prospects. So, Washington will be really bad once again and will have a hard time reaching its win total. Stay away from betting on MLB point spreads in favor of the Nationals this season.

But, Soto is the odds-on favorite to win the NL MVP Award. He’s definitely capable of putting up the numbers requisite to win. However, there is concern that he’ll be pitched around too much and that voters won’t want to vote for the best player on a really bad team. Even with that said, he’s probably the best player in the NL so he’s a good bet at +325.

NL Central

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Playoffs: -300 (Yes) and +240 (No)
  • Division: -160
  • Pennant: +900
  • World Series: +1800
  • Regular Season Wins: 89½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Corbin Burnes (+700 NL Cy Young)

The Milwaukee Brewers are a good bet to win the NL Central again and aren’t a bad value play to win the pennant. However, Milwaukee’s elite starting rotation probably won’t be enough to carry an underwhelming offense far in the playoffs.

You could take your pick between Corbin Burnes (+700) and Brandon Woodruff (+1000) as an NL Cy Young pick because both are incredible top-flight rotation arms. Burnes is the defending winner and is coming off a ridiculously dominant season, but Woodruff wasn’t too far behind him in terms of production.

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Playoffs: -115 (Yes) and -115 (No)
  • Division: +200
  • Pennant: +1000
  • World Series: +2000
  • Regular Season Wins: 85½ (-110 over/-120 under)
  • Player to Watch: Nolan Arenado (+2000 MLB RBI Leader)

Basically, everything went in the St. Louis Cardinals’ favor in the second half of the 2021 season and, even though the Cardinals definitely have a playoff-caliber roster, it’s hard to envision St. Louis being as fortunate in 2022. They should make the expanded postseason but probably slot in at right around their win total. They aren’t too much of a threat to win the NL but are the second-best team in the NL Central.

In terms of MLB odds and predictions, Nolan Arenado might be a good underdog pick to lead baseball in RBIs. The odds aren’t with him but he has driven in 100-plus runs in six of his last seven seasons — except for shortened 2020 — and knocked in 105 in his first season with the Cardinals. He’s a run-production machine and is a good pick at +2000.

Cincinnati Reds

  • Playoffs: +375 (Yes) and -550 (No)
  • Division: +1000
  • Pennant: +1600
  • World Series: +8000
  • Regular Season Wins: 73½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Joey Votto (+5000 NL MVP)

The Cincinnati Reds might have trouble sniffing 70 wins this season. They traded away a ton of talent this offseason and might have one of baseball’s worst bullpens. Cincinnati got much worse over the past few months and might have trouble outpacing even the Chicago Cubs.

Joey Votto remains one of the few bright spots for the Reds and, if they’re going to be halfway decent in 2022, it’ll likely be due to Votto building off his bounce-back season last year. He’s a MVP longshot but, with his on-base ability and power resurgence, a bet on him at +5000 is far from throwing away money.

Chicago Cubs

  • Playoffs: +550 (Yes) and -900 (No)
  • Division: +1200
  • Pennant: +5000
  • World Series: +10000
  • Regular Season Wins: 74½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Marcus Stroman (+3300 NL Cy Young)

The Chicago Cubs are relying heavily on continued breakouts from non-prospects like Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel in order to compete in 2022, which doesn’t seem likely. However, the Chicago rotation and bullpen are decent and Seiya Suzuki could really help the lineup, so the Cubs seem like a good pick to hit their win total over (but not do much else).

Chicago’s big offseason pickup was Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great season with the New York Mets. Stroman has a ton of competition for Cy Young in the NL yet it’s not crazy to expect him to thrive in Wrigley Field as a ground ball pitcher.

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Playoffs: +1400 (Yes) and -5000 (No)
  • Division: +5000
  • Pennant: +12500
  • World Series: +25000
  • Regular Season Wins: 64½ (-125 over/-105 under)
  • Player to Watch: Oneil Cruz (+325 NL Rookie of the Year)

There won’t be a ton of positives this season for the Pittsburgh Pirates, who will likely be terrible once again. However, they have two franchise cornerstones in Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes that could help Pittsburgh win at least 65 games. That’s assuming guys like Cole Tucker and Kevin Newman can provide some offensive value.

The big prospect name to watch for the Pirates is Oneil Cruz, who is the odds-on favorite to win the NL Rookie of the Year award. He will start the year in Triple-A but should be up in Pittsburgh soon. Cruz is a 6-foot-7 middle infielder with crazy power so he should be among the best rookies in a veteran-laden NL if he gets enough at-bats.

NL West

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Playoffs: -1000 (Yes) and +600 (No)
  • Division: -225
  • Pennant: +275
  • World Series: +500
  • Regular Season Wins: 98½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Walker Buehler (+700 NL Cy Young)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are so good that they’re a smart bet across the board, whether it’s to win the NL West, the NL pennant or the World Series. They also should clear 99 games much like they did in 2021. The lineup is loaded, the rotation has plenty of options, and the bullpen, even without Kenley Jansen, should be dominant.

Walker Buehler is also a great pick to win the Cy Young. He’ll have to beat out the likes of Corbin Burnes, Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, Zack Wheeler and others, which won’t be easy. However, he was incredible last season and finished fourth in voting. Buehler at +700 is an awesome value.

San Diego Padres

  • Playoffs: -250 (Yes) and +195 (No)
  • Division: +275
  • Pennant: +500
  • World Series: +1200
  • Regular Season Wins: 88½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Fernando Tatís Jr. (+1800 NL MVP)

The San Diego Padres were dealt a big blow when it was announced that Fernando Tatís Jr. could miss more than two months of the regular season as he recovers from a fractured wrist. San Diego should still make the playoffs and could contend with the Dodgers in the NL West but it’s probably not realistic to expect that. Still, the Padres have the talent to win more than 88 games.

Even with all that said, San Diego’s best bet for a player award is Tatís to win the MVP because of just how good he is when he plays. He led the NL with 42 home runs last season despite playing just 130 games. His current injury could cost him 60-plus games, but he could recover sooner and the narrative of him saving San Diego’s season might be appealing to voters.

San Francisco Giants

  • Playoffs: -140 (Yes) and +110 (No)
  • Division: +500
  • Pennant: +1000
  • World Series: +2000
  • Regular Season Wins: 86½ (-110 over/-120 under)
  • Player to Watch: Logan Webb (+1600 NL Cy Young)

The loss Buster Posey and Kevin Gausman was a huge blow for the San Francisco Giants and they’re dealing with a few key injuries right now. But, San Francisco still has a great rotation and bullpen as well as a very deep lineup. The Giants are a safer bet than San Diego to finish second in the NL West and should definitely make the playoffs while winning more than 86 games.

Logan Webb was one of the biggest surprises in baseball in 2021 and, while it’ll be tough for him to replicate his rookie season, he’s definitely the real deal and is worth a dart at +1600 for the Cy Young on the MLB future odds.

Colorado Rockies

  • Playoffs: +850 (Yes) and -2000 (No)
  • Division: +6600
  • Pennant: +10000
  • World Series: +20000
  • Regular Season Wins: 69½ (-115 over/-115 under)
  • Player to Watch: Germán Márquez (+4000 NL Cy Young)

The Colorado Rockies, even without Trevor Story, are an improved team. The issue is that they still probably won’t hit enough to be in the mix for a Wild Card spot. However, Colorado’s pitching is good enough to help the Rockies win 70 games.

Winning a Cy Young Award while playing for the Rockies seems impossible. However, ace Germán Márquez is the guy that could do it. Márquez is a +4000 longshot, but he’s the Rockies’ best betting chance at some kind of award.

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Playoffs: +1400 (Yes) and -5000 (No)
  • Division: +10000
  • Pennant: +12500
  • World Series: +25000
  • Regular Season Wins: 65½ (-125 over/-105 under)
  • Player to Watch: Seth Beer (+2800 NL Rookie of the Year)

The rebuild continues for the Arizona Diamondbacks so it should be a long season in Phoenix. However, there are reasons for optimism, particularly with the rotation and with how Ketel Marte looks like a legitimate star who the Diamondbacks have locked up for the long term. Their win total over/under seems a bit low for all the talent Arizona has so, the over is a good bet.

Seth Beer, acquired from the Houston Astros for Zack Greinke a few years ago, is a former first-round pick who is worth taking to win Rookie of the Year. He has been raking during spring training and has tons of power, but he has dealt with a lot of injuries over the past few years. At +2800, he’s a solid value.

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