Baltimore Travels to New York to Face Mets
Orioles vs Mets Match Player Stats Favor Peterson
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Orioles vs Mets 
⏰Day/Time: 📍Location: Citi Field in Queens, New York
📺Streaming: MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (73-52) travel to New York to face the Mets (64-60) for the first time this season on Monday. The three-game series is a big one for the Orioles but even bigger for the Mets. The Mets are two games back in the NL wild card race. The MLB playoff odds on the Orioles are short; bettors expect them to find a way in. The Mets are still viewed as longshots and bettors expect them to come up short. The Orioles have a 3.5-game lead for a wild card berth but are neck-and-neck with the Yankees for the division title.
Baltimore is the better team, although the Orioles vs Mets match player stats greatly favor David Peterson over Trevor Rogers on Monday. The Mets are -122 and the total on the game is 8.5-over (-125).
Baltimore’s offense has stepped up huge and played a big part in getting it where it is in the MLB standings. The Orioles are No. 7 in team batting average and lead all of Major League Baseball in home runs. Baltimore is scoring 5.05 runs per game and 5.27 runs per game on the road. The Orioles also have the best slugging percentage in baseball.
The Orioles are No. 14 in team ERA and have 37 saves in 56 opportunities. For the most part, the bullpen hasn’t been that great, ranking No. 23 in bullpen ERA. Baltimore needs the relievers to pick it up a bit down the stretch.
The Mets aren’t bad offensively, scoring 4.78 runs per game and 4.61 runs at home. New York is No. 12 in team batting average and No. 5 in home runs. The Mets rank No. 9 in slugging percentage and No. 8 in on-base percentage.
New York’s pitching has been average at best. The Mets are No. 18 in team ERA and have 31 saves in 50 attempts. New York’s relievers haven’t helped themselves by issuing the fifth-highest number of walks.
Monday’s Game
Rogers has been a bit of a hard-luck pitcher this season. Having a potent offense behind him hasn’t helped with the Orioles yet. He didn’t pitch well in either loss. The Marlins were 6-14 when he started for them. In his 23 starts, he’s received 2 runs or less in 11 of them. You’re not going to win many games when you’re not getting any runs.
Peterson has pitched well for the Mets and is 7-1 with a 3.04 ERA. New York is 10-3 when he starts, although their team is a little better when he pitches on the road. The Mets are 5-2 when Peterson pitches after a loss.
You would have expected a little more from Rogers after he joined Baltimore. The Orioles vs Mets match player stats show Baltimore is significantly better all around than the Marlins. However, he’s pitched worse with Baltimore than Miami, although it’s just three games.
- The over 8.5 looks to be one of the MLB best bets today.
Tuesday’s Game
Dean Kremer and Jose Quintana take the mound on Tuesday and the game will be fairly close to even. Neither pitcher is putting up the greatest stats. The total will likely be close to 9, giving the winner an MLB implied runs of at least 5 runs. Kremer is 5-9 on the season with an ERA of 4.48. The Orioles have gone 7-10 when he starts and 12-5 in totals. Baltimore is 3-6 when Kremer starts away from home and they’ve gone 6-3 in totals in those MLB games.
Quintana is 6-8 with an ERA of 4.26 and the Mets are 12-12 when he starts. New York has lost his last three trips to the mound and is 10-13-1 in totals when he starts. He hasn’t fared any better at home, with the Mets going 6-6 when he starts and also 6-6 in totals.
Baltimore doesn’t score quite as much against left-handed starters and will see three in this series. They’re still 8-8 in totals on the road against southpaws and 15-16-2 overall. Would have to lean to the over in this one, as well.
Wednesday’s Game
The teams will play in the sunshine Wednesday and Zach Eflin and Sean Manaea are the scheduled starters. The Orioles have won all four of Eflin’s starts since he came over from Tampa Bay. The Rays were 10-9 when he started for them before he was dealt. Totals are 10-13 when Eflin starts this season.
Manaea is 9-5 with an ERA of 3.46. He has 129 strikeouts in 130 innings, so he’s fanning hitters despite not being overpowering on the mound. New York has gone 16-8 when Manaea starts and 7-4 when he starts at home. This is just the third time he’s started against Baltimore in his career.
The Orioles vs Mets match player stats give the Orioles the edge here, although it’s pretty close. Manaea and the Mets are likely to be small favorites, which makes sense considering Eflin has lost his last five starts against New York. The Mets are probably on the right side here.
Orioles vs Mets H2H
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