The Mets led the all-time series 172-145 (54.26%) but that hasn’t produced a profit for New York bettors (-480 units on a $100 wager per game). Over the last three seasons, New York is 22-17 against Miami but still not good enough to turn a profit (-343 units). In that span, the Mets are 8-8 in Miami, -221 units. Let’s take a look at Mets vs Marlins Betting odds.
Mets Road Favorite Against Marlins; Alcantara
A quick gaze at the MLB team stats shows that New York is only second to the Baltimore Orioles (+1901) in money won this season (+1229 units), but a match-up against one of the best pitchers in baseball has to give pause especially when MLB betting odds are giving you plus money (+110) with Sandy Alcantara (9-4, 1.18) at home. Chris Bassitt (7-7, 3.72) gets the ball for the Metropolitans.
Bassitt has already faced the Marlins three times this season, losing 2 of 3, including a loss against Alcantara. The Mets were active again, Thursday, picking up Tyler Naquin and Phillip Diehl from the Cincinnati Reds for two low A players. Naquin will add outfield depth. The Mets may not be done due to Drew Smith’s strained right lat that landed him on the 15-day IR.
Game One Smells Like a Trap
For anyone who has been in this industry for any length of time will tell you that they develop a sixth sense when they see a line that doesn’t make sense. Understand that Sandy Alcantara is considered one of the best pitchers in baseball and already has a win against the Mets under his belt, but yet they are giving bettors plus money. For this reason, we bring you a solid preview of the Mets vs Marlins betting odds.
Most MLB betting odds would suggest that the Mets are the obvious selection in this one but when you sprinkle in the 2-time All-Star Alcantara, that gives you a reason for pause. I expected the Marlins betting odds to make them a small favorite as they were the last time Alcantara faced the Mets, and that was with Taijuan Walker getting the start for New York. Making New York a -130 favorite is a little more than head-scratching.
Part of the reason for the number may be because Bassitt is 62-49 (+361 units) since 2014 but there are times when we think the oddsmakers are clearly baiting the player to take the Marlins. As we approach the trade deadline it’s hard to determine where the Marlins are in terms of being sellers or buyers. As long as they stay close in the wild-card race I expect Miami to hang on to sought-after players like Pablo Lopez.
Public Betting on the Marlins Right on Cue
Mets vs Marlins betting odds have seen early betting on the Marlins as expected. It’s hard to ignore the Marlins’ betting odds but when we throw out the pitching matchup there aren’t many team stats that would indicate that the Marlins are the side. Buck Showalter’s team is statistically better it’s hard to go against Alcantara.
The best bet in this series is to be on the Marlins until you get a win and then get out. That way, even if the Mets do manage to beat him in game one you’ll have another chance to get a plus money win and a profit in game two.Follow us on Twitter