Toronto has owned Baltimore over the last few seasons, winning 47 of their 68 head-to-head matchups, including a 16-5 run in Baltimore. The over is on a 17-6-3 run and 14-4-3 in Baltimore to give you two solid MLB betting trends heading into tonight’s key series for the O’s. Let’s take a look at what Blue Jays vs Orioles betting odds give us the best chance to cash out.
- Game: Toronto Blue Jays (60-48) at Baltimore Orioles (56-52)
- Location: Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
- Television: SNET, MASN
Blue Jays Have Been Road Warriors Since Break
The schedule makers haven’t been kind to the Blue Jays since the All-Star break, giving them a 9-game road trip to start the month of August. It’s been difficult for Blue Jay’s bettors to find consistency putting their money behind a team that has split their last six against the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins.
To be fair, the Jays could be in a better spot than 6-4 in their last 10 after losing two 1-run games in their last two series. The oddsmakers either have faith in John Schneiders’ team or a lack thereof for player Brandon Hydes Orioles’ as Toronto opens as a big favorite (-140) on the road. Despite the recent results, Toronto has won 13 of their last 18 games to sit on top of the wild card race by two games.
Orioles Still Have Plenty to Prove
In order for Baltimore to change the minds of the oddsmakers, they need to start beating the big boys. Over their last 373 games against teams with a winning record, the Orioles are just 110-263(30%). Betting trends will only tell you where you’ve been and not necessarily where you’re going, but some do speak to team culture. Until that changes you can expect the oddsmakers to make bettors pay a premium on teams like the Blue Jays or Yankees no matter where they’re playing the O’s.
With 15 meetings left, Baltimore’s postseason hopes go directly through Toronto. Baltimore dropped an 8-1 decision to Pittsburgh, Sunday, but prior to that game they had won 21- of their last 28 games, their best stretch of games in almost 24 years. Let’s look at how you should attack tonight’s Blue Jays vs Orioles betting odds.
Public’s Faith in Orioles Pushing Number Down
There are not a lot of betting trends that should compel the public to be on the Orioles but that’s exactly what’s happening as both professional and public money is pouring in on the home underdog.
Toronto opened as a consensus -149 favorite but 87% of all money wagered and 58% of the total tickets have Orioles written on their tickets, pushing the Moneyline down to -141. This makes sense from a logical standpoint, but logic never made anyone rich in the sports betting industry.
Toronto Blue Jays betting is the right side in this series despite the betting odds forcing us to lay a little more than expected. Let’s eliminate having to give the books -140 and look towards the run-line where we can get a return of +114 on a $100 wager. Too many betting trends that say don’t be fooled by the shiny new toy.
Toronto has won 12 of their last 16 games against right-handed starters while Baltimore has failed too many times to start a series off with a win, dropping 148 of their last 219 first game of a series. We’ll look at Baltimore in these spots only when culture has changed and they have yet to prove it has. Take the Jays and the run-line in games one and two.