D’Backs vs Padres Game Preview: At some point the Padres line-up is going to start producing some big numbers. Last night’s 6-5 win might be the start after looking lifeless against Merrill Kelly early on. The Padres increased their lead in the 2022 MLB Wild Card standings to three games over the Milwaukee Brewers.
Before we dive deeper into our MLB D’backs vs Padres game preview, let’s look at some of the relevant trends that will help us beat the odds tonight. Arizona has dropped 10 of their last 13 meetings against the Padres and 19 of 26 in San Diego.
However, the D’Backs have been resilient after allowing five runs or more, winning six straight. The under has cashed tickets in seven of their last 10 meetings at Petco Park.
- Game: Arizona Diamondbacks (65-70) at San Diego Padres (75-62)
- Location: Petco Park, San Diego, California
- Television: FSI, BSSD, BSAZ
Diamondbacks Hope to Rebound in Rubber Match
Arizona sends another promising pitcher to the hill tonight in an effort to wipe the bad taste of game two from their mouths.
Tommy Henry is also hoping to bounce back after a tough outing in an 18-2 loss to the Phillies, on August 31st. It was his worst outing of the season, allowing seven earned runs in just four innings of work. Prior, the lefty was terrific giving up just two earned runs in 10 ⅓ innings against the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago White Sox.
He’s not a guy that will go deep into a game so you must factor in Arizona’s bullpen which owns an era (4.48) that ranks higher than just five other teams. Despite the shaky pen, Torey Lovullo’s team has remained around the .500 mark from a solid set of starters and their ability to stay off the MLB injuries for much of the season.
Padres Win but Still Trying to Find Offensive Groove
Our Diamondbacks and Padres preview continues with a deep dive into why the Padres have scuffled over the last few months despite making big moves to compete with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the postseason and in the MLB standings 2022. Since July 1st, Bob Melvin’s team is just 29-30 and barely over .500 (18-16) in their last 34.
What hurts the middle of that line-up was the 80-game suspension to Fernando Tatis Jr, who was supposed to fit in nicely with player Josh Bell and Juan Soto. Tatis missed most of the season with an injury to his wrist and underwent surgery last week to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder which could delay his 2023 Spring Training.
San Diego has lost bettors 469 units on a $100 wager this season so beware if you’re thinking about laying -215 with the home team.
Bettors All Over Darvish, Under
To conclude our D’backs vs Padres preview let’s see if we can get another winner in game three. Since the trade deadline, Arizona has quietly been better than the San Diego Padres, winning 20 of 34 since August 1st.
They have been profitable for bettors with 255 units won and now face a Padres team who still hasn’t instilled consistent confidence among the public betting circles.
As a dog, Arizona is just 43-55, but has turned a profit of 212 units. When getting +180 or less, the Snakes are 36-42 but have won 647 units for $100 bettors.
We know that Arizona on most nights requires solid starting pitching to stay in games, but we’re willing to throw out Henry’s last start and say he’ll learn and grow from that to give us at least six innings.
Yu Darvish has returned a small profit in 2022 (93 units) but nothing that will push us to the betting window when he’s the listed pitcher. Our official recommendation is to take Arizona but grab the insurance with the run-line (-115).Follow us on Twitter