Major League Baseball Weekly Home / Road Betting Report #1

Home teams were 67-43 over the previous seven days against the moneyline

Welcome to our favorite part of the season when we break down the Major League Baseball season by the week and then analyze how it compares to the year to date. MLB overall records are important, but current form is the best way for the public to understand in what direction a team may be trending.

MLB betting lines are manipulated all season long and the betting public must adapt to the marathon of Major League Baseball season. Let’s start our MLB weekly home/road report #1 with a breakdown of the previous week.

Home Teams Dominate The Week

Over the previous seven days, home teams have added 8.87 units of profit to their bankroll after a 67-43 (.609) week. Bettors focused on road teams would have dropped 20.58 units from their bankroll. Home favorites smashed sportsbooks with 6.65 units won behind a 53-28 record (.654) record, while home dogs also turned a profit of 2.22 units after a 14-15 week.

The surging New York Mets led the way with a 7-1 record (+5.04) since last Tuesday, followed by the Boston Red Sox at 6-2 (+4.80) and the 6-1 Seattle Mariners (+3.48). On the flip side, the Oakland Athletics continue their nose dive with a 1-6 week (-4.85), followed closely behind by the Detroit Tigers at (2-6) and San Diego Padres who are on a 2-5 (-3.88) run. If we expand the filter to show a picture of what has happened over the last two weeks, we find that Favorites continues to profit with a 127-73 (.635) record, giving bettors a profit of 13.43 units.

Home teams are on a 113-85 (.571) run, good for 8.56 units of profit, while home favorites are an incredible 82-41 (.667), bringing in 13.26 units. Our recommendation to continue backing the Seattle Mariners (6-1), Philadelphia Phillies (4-0), and the Minnesota Twins (7-1) as a home favorite after a combined 17-2 record (+7.52) over the last two weeks.

DC Teams Continue Their Domination Of Moneylines

We turn our MLB weekly home/road betting report #1 into an overview of the entire season and find the two D.C. area teams getting the best of the man. The Washington Nationals are the top-producing team against the moneyline in 2024 with a 48-44 record but because of their 39-36 record as an underdog, the Nats are +23.17 for the season.

The second-place team is the Baltimore Orioles with a 64-28 record that has given bettors 21.69 units. The Cleveland Guardians are third on the list with 12.17 units. Overall, home teams are just 742-645 (.535), costing bettors 51.66 units, but some teams are creating sweet spots at home led by the Kansas City Royals who are 31-17 (+9.42), Baltimore at 33-15 (+7.59), and Colorado Rockies with a 23-21 mark at Coors, adding 7.40 units to our bankroll.

The National lead the way as the most profitable road team with a 27-20 record (+20.81) followed by the Orioles (31-13) at +14.09, and the Guardians at 28-22 (+8.47 units). That’s our breakdown of this week and the season overall now let’s end our MLB weekly home/road report #1 with a umpire update.

Umpires Diaz and Valentine Prove To be Bankroll Friendly

As the year heads to the halfway point, umpiring continues to be an overlooked part of the handicapping process so we wanted to update the numbers from specific umpires. Favorites seem to be flexing of late so we wanted to see which umpires are best for the favorites when behind home plate.

Laz Diaz leads the way with a 9-1 record (+4.79) followed by Junior Valentine at 8-1 (+4.75), and Quinn Wolcott with a 8-2 record (+4.25). If we throw Sean Barber (+4.12) and Manny Gonzalez (+4.10) into the mix, we would have five home plate umpires combining to win 39 of 45 games for favorite bettors and 22.01 units overall. Home teams have benefitted most with Jeremie Rehak (+6.61) behind home plate with a 701 mark, then comes Alfonso Marquez at 8-2 (+5.32) and Phil Cuzzi (+4.44) after cashing out in nine of 13 games in 2024.

Charli Ramos heads up the top three home plate umpires for road teams with 6.81 units won after a 7-1 start to his season. Dan Merzel is right beyond with 5.85 units won with a 6-1 road team record and Hunter Wendelstedt (8-4) is 5.20 units in the black. The road teams are a combined 21-6 (+17.85 units) with those three umpires behind home plate.

All of this information is critical to beating baseball to getting our first look at the MLB playoff brackets, then we can zero in on smashing the postseason with an entire year of numbers behind our wagers.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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