Marlins vs Brewers Series Odds: You don’t need MLB betting trends to know that the Milwaukee Brewers could find themselves in control of a wild card spot with some help from the Cubs. It’s crunch time for the Brewers, it’s put up or shut up!
- Game: Miami Marlins (61-89) at Milwaukee Brewers (80-70)
- Location: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Television: BSWI, BSFL, MLBN
Marlins Won’t Be a Pushover Down the Stretch
Taking a quick look at the MLB records 2022, it’s clear to see who quit a long time ago and who is still fighting. The Oakland Athletics and the Pittsburgh Pirates quit before the season ever began. The same can’t be said for the Miami Marlins who are still a team who will put up some resistance despite being 28 games under .500 (61-89). Last night was a perfect example, losing to the New York Mets 5-4 in 10 innings. The fish blew a four-run lead in the seventh and eighth inning but were able to cover the run line. Let’s continue our Marlins vs Brewers series odds preview.
This season Miami has played in 60 one-run games, losing 28 of them (.367). That equates to 42% of their losses coming in close fashion. That doesn’t mean we’re running out and betting the Marlins, It’s just important to show that this team is close.
There is the flip side where Don Mattingly’s team is 11-24 in blowout games, meaning over 26% of their losses have been where they’ve lost games by five or more runs. Against the top teams in their division (Atlanta, New York, and Philadelphia) the Marlins are just 17-37. Tonight, Miami bettors would be getting back +160, the Marlins are just 3-18 when receiving +150 or more in 2022, and 15-44 (-1602 units) over the last two seasons.
Brewers Sit a Half-Game in Back of Faltering Phil’s
The race for the final wild-card spot gets tighter with every passing loss. Milwaukee can jump over the Phillies tonight with a win and another Phillies loss to the Chicago Cubs (0-5 in 2022). Milwaukee will play their next seven games at home starting off with this must-win four-game series against Miami and Arizona. The road to the postseason looks clear for Craig Counsells’ team with seven winnable games.
Milwaukee will play their next seven games at home starting off with this must-win four-game series against Miami and Arizona.
At the same time, Philadelphia will end their season against the Washington Nationals and then a key three-game series against the Houston Astros. The Brew crew hasn’t been an automatic win for bettors this season, losing 567 units despite a 43-31 record. As a -150 favorite or more, the Brewers are 30-15 but that still hasn’t been good enough to turn a profit (-101 units) over the course of the season. Let’s continue our Marlins and Brewers betting preview giving you the sharpest way to wager on tonight’s important match-up.
Expect the Brewers as Heavy Public Play
Early betting patterns have shown exactly what you would expect. The Brewers are receiving 71% of the early wagers but we do see a willingness by the bigger bettors to test the waters with the fish. The send-out number was a consensus of -188, pushed down some to -186.
As the day goes on, it’s reasonable to think that this number will hang around what it is now or go up some. Meaning, if you’re betting Milwaukee, get on it now. Normally we would never recommend laying this big of a number, but hopefully, you’ve been able to build your bankroll up enough where a loss won’t hurt.
The Marlins are horrible at many things, but one glaring issue that needs to change before they can move forward as a franchise is simply winning the first game of a series. Over the last two seasons, Miami has dropped 71 of their last 104 first games of a series.
This has been a trend that has extended way beyond last season. Since 2011, the fish are 246-339 (.421) -5,825 units when starting off a series. That’s a difficult trend to overcome for bettors and us. To conclude our Marlins vs Brewers series odds preview, our official selection is to grab the easy money with the Brew Crew.
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