Marlins vs Phillies Game Preview: The Phils are home favorites (-135) against Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara who is considered one of the best pitchers in baseball but has just a 4-5 record since July 15th. Kyle Gibson looks for his 10th win against six losses on the year for Philadelphia.
Before we dive deeper into our Marlins vs Phillies game preview, let’s look at some of the relevant trends that will help us beat the odds tonight.
The Marlins have dropped eight of their last nine meetings against the Phillies and five of six in Philadelphia. The Fish are 16-44 on the road against teams with a winning record, while the Phillies have shown that they can string together wins after winning 36 of their last 53 following a win.
- Game: Miami Marlins (55-80) at Philadelphia Phillies (75-61)
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Television: BSFL, NSPA
Marlins On the Verge Of 10 Straight Losses
MLB stats for betting will show that the Marlins are at the bottom of Major League Baseball in overall units won in 2022. The 55-80 Fish have lost bettors 2833 units on a $100 wager, 620 more than the next worst Los Angeles Angels (-2213).
This will be the second straight season that Miami has failed to be a profitable wager. Over the last 13 seasons, the Marlins are 861-1113 (-11907 units). In that span, no team has come close to dethroning the Marlins as the worst team to bet in the majors.
That’s the reason that even when one of the best is on the mound the Marlins are still a dog on the road. In Alcantara’s last start against the Braves, the Dominican native gave up six runs on seven hits in a little over five innings against the Atlanta Braves. The two-time All-Star has rotated wins and losses over his last nine starts.
Phillies Small Deadline Move Proves Fruitful
While the San Diego Padres were making a splash with their high-profile moves at the All-Star break, the Phillies acquired Edmundo Sosa from the St. Louis Cardinals. That was a move that no one raised an eyebrow to write about but’s all changed with eight hits in his last 13 at-bats.
Philadelphia Phillies odds to win the World Series are still a healthy 25/1, but they’re a likely postseason participant with a 4-game lead for a wild-card spot over the Milwaukee Brewers. Our Marlins vs Phillies game preview clearly shows that Rob Thompson’s team has a clear advantage but how many pauses should Alcantara cause for bettors?
Public on Marlins Slightly, Undecided on Total
The consensus number has dropped a smidge since opening Philadelphia -135. The number is -130 in the desert and should continue to drop as the Joes have shown that they love to bet on Alcantara.
The total is sitting at seven, a number that isn’t likely to budge except for some small money line changes. To conclude our Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia game preview, our recommendation is to grab the Phillies.
There is a reason to shop around because we see a game low of -124 at some spots, and -135 at others. Philadelphia has won 16 of their last 21 home games and has crushed division opponents down the stretch, winning 17 of 25 against the East.
There are very few betting stats that will ever lead you to a wager on Florida with tonight being no exception. Miami is just 14-41 against teams with a winning record and 6-21 after a loss. The only betting stat that points in Marlin’s direction is that they’re 9-3 on Thursdays! That gives you an idea of how far one has to go to find something positive.Follow us on Twitter