Mets vs Cubs Betting Odds: New York Looks to Stay Hot

Cubs, Mets Both 4.5 Games Back, Great Series to Bet On

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets begin a three-game series on Tuesday at historic Wrigley Field. The Mets (25-23) have won five straight games to move back over .500, while the Cubs (20-26) are just 1-7 over their last eight contests. Will those trends continue?

The teams are priced evenly at -115 to win the series. For a more detailed breakdown, here is our Mets vs Cubs betting odds preview.

Alonso Powering New York

Mets first baseman Pete Alonso has maintained his place as one of baseball’s most feared sluggers. Alonso is the MLB leader with 17 home runs. He has also driven in 41 runs, fourth-most in the majors behind Rangers outfielder Adolis Garcia (49), Astros designated hitter Yordan Alvarez (46) and Red Sox third baseman Rafael Devers (44), per MLB player stats.

On their recent six-game homestand, the Mets hit 13 home runs, including four by Alonso. His walk-off homer off Tampa Bay closer Pete Fairbanks in the 10th inning last Wednesday jump-started the Mets’ current five-game winning streak.

Mets’ First-Inning Struggles Glaring

The Mets continue to fall behind early in games. They’ve been outscored by 32 runs in the first inning, the worst in baseball.

Despite an MLB-record $346 million payroll, the Mets have scored only 10 first-inning runs — fewer than four individual players. On top of that, they are the only MLB team yet to homer in the opening frame.

New York has also allowed the most first-inning runs with 42, 11 more than Chicago. Its ERA over that stretch is 7.88 ERA, 0.79 worse than the closest team. Heading into Sunday’s doubleheader against Cleveland, opponents had scored first 13 straight games.

Wednesday’s starter, right-hander Tylor Megill, has allowed eight runs in the first inning this MLB season, including two home runs.

Youth Served

Cubs infielder Christopher Morel is one of the hottest hitters in baseball. Since being recalled from Triple-A Iowa on May 8, the 23-year-old Morel is batting .370 with eight home runs and 14 RBI. While Morel’s struck out 18 times in 46 at-bats, he’s made up for it by posting a .396 on-base percentage.

Like Chicago, the Mets have benefitted from an infusion of youth. Over the last 15 days, 21-year-old Francisco Alvarez leads all catchers with a .968 ops. He has hit .271 with four home runs and nine RBI during that span, helping New York climb back above .500. Third baseman Brett Baty (.773 ops in 29 games) has also impressed.

Game 1

  • Drew Smyly vs Kodai Senga (7:40 p.m., ET)

Prized Japanese pitcher Senga is coming off his best start as a Met. He allowed just one run on three hits while striking out 12 in an 8-7, 10-inning win over Tampa Bay last Wednesday. Walks (26 in 43 innings) have been a slight issue for the 30-year-old right-hander, but his devastating “ghost” forkball is keeping batters honest.

New York is -1.5 (+160) on the run line and -105 to win outright, with Chicago coming in at +1.5 (-190) and -105. The over/under Mets vs Cubs betting odds are Over 8.5 (-105) and Under 8.5 (-115).

Game 2

  • Marcus Stroman vs Tylor Megill (7:40 p.m., ET)

Stroman has gotten off to a solid start with Chicago, pitching to a 3.05 ERA over 56 innings. He’s allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his 10 starts.

Home runs have been a slight issue for Megill. The 27-year-old right-hander has allowed six in 46.1 innings.

Game 3

  • Jameson Taillon vs Carlos Carrasco (7:40 p.m., ET)

Taillon (8.10 ERA) and Carrasco (8.68 ERA) have been two of baseball’s worst pitchers this season. In his return from the 15-day injured list (elbow) on May 19, Carrasco allowed five runs over five innings in a 10-9, 10-inning victory against the Guardians.

For Mets vs Cubs betting odds, MLB news, analysis and more, visit pointspreads.com

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