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Coming into the season, the New York Mets were tied for third in the odds to win the World Series with the Twins being tied for 14th. It is safe to say that much has changed over the last several months and that is when looking at the Mets vs Twins preview.
The Mets are fighting to stay out of last place in the National League East Division with the Twins pulling away in the American League Central Division race.
Kodai Senga has been one of the few bright spots in a disappointing season for the Mets and with Senga set to pitch in Friday’s opener, the Mets are priced at -117 to win Game 1. Expect the Twins to be favored to take the series.
The Mets are one of three National League teams with fewer than 30 road wins with Minnesota coming into this series with a 40-29 mark at home.
When it comes to the baseball predictions, neither team has been particularly successful versus the run line with the Twins 69-71 and the Mets are only ahead of Kansas City with a 60-78 mark.
The Mets won three of the four meetings in a pair of two-game sets back in 2019 with three of those matchups finishing over the total. This is the first time the teams have played since.
When looking at the MLB offense rankings, the Twins are 14th in runs scored and the Mets come in at No. 20 in that category.
Mets vs Twins
Date & Time:
Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Streaming: SNY and Bally Sports North
Probable Starting Pitchers
- Mets vs Twins preview Kodai Senga (Mets); Dallas Keuchel (Twins)
- Saturday: David Peterson (Mets); Kenta Maeda (Twins)
- Sunday: Tylor Megill (Mets); Pablo Lopez (Twins)
Who’s Hot
- Jhoan Duran, Minnesota Twins P: Duran has allowed four hits and one earned run over five innings in his last five appearances.
- Ronny Mauricio, New York Mets IF: Mauricio has hits in each of his first five games since making his MLB debut. He is 8-of-19 with three stolen bases in those five games.
- Jorge Polanco, Minnesota Twins IF: Polanco is 8-for-24 with two doubles, two home runs, and seven RBIs in his last seven games.
- Kodai Senga, New York Mets P: Senga is 1-1 with an ERA of 1.74 over his last three starts. He has given up 11 hits and four runs with 27 strikeouts in 20.2 innings in that stretch.
Who’s Not
- Brett Baty, New York Mets IF: Baty is 4-for-16 with three strikeouts in five games since being recalled from the minor leagues.
- Edouard Julien, Minnesota Twins IF: Julien is 3-for-20 with 11 strikeouts in his last seven games.
- David Peterson, New York Mets P: Peterson has allowed 17 hits and nine runs with nine strikeouts over 15.2 innings in his last three appearances.
- Josh Winder, Minnesota Twins P: Winder has surrendered 11 hits and eight runs in 15 innings over his last eight games.
Vientos Delivering The Hits
The offense is showing signs of life with a .293 average in September for the Mets and perhaps that will come into play when looking at the Mets vs Twins preview.
Rookie Mark Vientos has had his struggles this season but he is trending in the right direction with a .444 average in September.
Something to consider for those who bet online, the Mets are 0-6 this season when Vientos has at least two hits in a game this season and 8-10 when he doesn’t have a hit.
Brett Baty, Ronny Mauricio, Francisco Alvarez, and Jonathan Arauz are other position players currently on the active roster 25 or younger so keep that in mind when looking at the Mets for the rest of the season because the only consistent part about this team might be their inconsistency.
A Total Effort for the Twins
The more the better seems to be the way that Minnesota is proceeding late in the season.
The Twins are 7-2 in the last nine games and have gone over the total as Minnesota has created some breathing room in the American League Central Division race.
In one four-game stretch, Minnesota scored 43 runs even though multiple hitters were on the injured list.
The Twins have seen 69 games go over the total this season and with the quality of the starting pitching on the Twins, it doesn’t take much offense for the Twins to win. Keep that in mind when glancing at the Mets vs Twins preview.
Mets vs Twins Injury Update
When looking at the MLB injury report, Mets outfielder DJ Stewart is day-to-day while designated hitter Byron Buxton, infielder Alex Kirilloff and outfielder Michael Taylor are on the injured list for the Twins.
Mets vs Twins Betting Preview
The total for Friday’s opener is set at 9 and with Keuchel starting, that game could easily head over that total even if nine of the last 13 games played by the Mets went under the total. Also, seven of the last 10 road games played by the Mets went under.
The Mets are 10-1 in the last 11 games against the Twins. However, both rosters have seen plenty of players coming and going since they last met.
The total has gone over in five of the last seven home games for Minnesota.
There is no chance of rain for the series opener and that could play to the favor of the hitters for both teams.
The numbers against the spread leave much to be desired for both teams with the Mets covering in 28 of 71 road games and the Twins 32-37 ATS at home.
The Mets and Twins are 98-73 this season when listed as the favorite compared to 65-77 as the underdog.
With the way Peterson and Megill have been throwing for the Mets, don’t be afraid to go with Games 2 and 3 finishing over the total.
For MLB betting news, baseball odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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