MLB Betting: Brewers vs Cubs Series Odds
Milwaukee Has Hit a Stride
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Game Information
- Game: Milwaukee Brewers (30-18) at Chicago Cubs (19-27)
- Location: Wrigley Field
- Day/Time: Monday, May 30th, 1:05 p.m. ET
Brewers Have Huge Pitching Edge
So far in the 2022 season, the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs have both played to expectations. Milwaukee is 12 games above .500 and has clearly been the best team in the NL Central, using an elite top-end of the starting rotation and dominant back-end of the bullpen to win games. On the other hand, the Cubs have been a mediocre team that only has a few reliable starters and bats. There’s a reason why the Brewers vs Cubs series odds are as one-sided as they are for these teams’ four-game set this week.
The Cubs are lucky in that they’ll miss most of the Brewers’ aces with Corbin Burnes having pitched yesterday and Freddy Peralta on the IL. Instead, they’ll face Ethan Small, making his MLB debut… in the Milwaukee Brewers game to open up Monday’s day-night doubleheader as well as rookie Aaron Ashby, and 4th starter Eric Lauer before Brandon Woodruff starts Wednesday’s series finale.
Milwaukee’s Consistency Looms Large
On paper, the Milwaukee Brewers don’t seem like the most formidable division favorite. Their highest-paid player, Christian Yelich, is having another so-so season while only a few position player regulars producing at an above-average rate (with others on the IL). But, Milwaukee figures out how to win games with timely hitting and great pitching across the board. That’s why the Brewers vs Cubs series odds like Milwaukee to take at least three of four, even on the road.
Plus, if the Brewers can get a lead in the 6th inning or later, they have a great chance at winning. Closer Josh Hader hasn’t allowed an earned run through his first 14.2 innings of the season while the likes of Devin Williams, Brad Boxberger, Hoby Milner and Trevor Gott have all been great in middle-relief. With the Cubs’ below-average offense, that’s a recipe for success for the Brewers in this series.
Chicago Doesn’t Get On Base Enough
It doesn’t help the Cubs that they’re missing a few regulars due to injury. The Chicago Cubs’ standing in the NL Central is perilous as is and with the Cincinnati Reds playing well as of late, David Ross’ team is in danger of slipping into last place if it can’t turn the tide a bit.
A big issue with the Cubs is that their offense relies heavily on home runs with Patrick Wisdom, Willson Contreras, and Frank Schwindel leading the way. While those guys are legitimate power threats, it’s not a successful strategy to expect dingers to fly against the Brewers’ pitching staff, however, the Cubs aren’t built to grind out and manufacture runs simply because they don’t get on base a ton. This is a tough matchup for the Chicago lineup.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
It’s usually not a great idea to “predict” a team to win three of the four games in a series but, if you were to do so, taking Milwaukee to (at least) notch a series victory against the Cubs isn’t a bad bet. Chicago is able to avoid Corbin Burnes, which is huge, but Milwaukee is also able to avoid Marcus Stroman.
The Brewers vs Cubs series odds reflect the big disparity between these two teams, which seems even more stark when looking at Chicago’s bad 7-15 home record in 2022. Milwaukee is a steadily good team wherever they play and they have the advantage in every aspect of the game.
Look for Milwaukee to roll, maybe splitting Monday’s doubleheader and winning on Tuesday and Wednesday. Where will the Chicago Cubs find themselves in the standings when this series comes to a close?
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