MLB: July 31st Weekly Home/Road Report 

Blindly betting on home or road teams this season has not been good enough to turn a profit but the road reams have been much better with a 759-851 (.471, -26.85) record.

Betting home MLB teams is an excellent way to create a massive hole in your bankroll with a 46.03 unit deficit in 2024.

• Road favorites are 315-251 (.557-16.30) while home favorites own a terrific 600-444 (.575) but we know that’s not good enough to turn a season-long profit (-40.39).

Home underdogs move closer to the black with 5.64 units lost behind a 251-315 (-4.44 units) record. That’s your season-long update, let’s break down the past seven days in your July 31st weekly home/road report.

Home Teams Blasted Bankrolls To End July

Last week, home teams were just 46-50 overall, pushing bettors further into the red in 2024 with 13.23 units lost.

Like with most reviews, the Chicago White Sox were the biggest bankroll eaters with a 0-5 record at home (-5.00), while the Philadelphia Phillies and the Detroit Tigers were both 1-4, costing the public 6.20 units. It’s safe to say that with bettors prone to wager on home favorites the books likely had a terrific week and upon further review that’s exactly what happened.

Over the previous seven days, home favorites with the higher percentages wagered on the moneyline were 33-31 with an 8.59 unit deficit, bitten by the Phillies (1-4, -3.31), Kansas City Royals (1-3, -2.32), and the Milwaukee Brewers (2-3, -1.62).

However, road teams fared much better when getting public support with a 15-10 record while producing a small 0.39 unit profit. The betting public benefitted the most from backing road dogs with an incredible 8.42 units won with a 32-33 record.

The Oakland Athletics led the way with a 4-1 mark as a road dog (+3.86 units), followed by the New York Yankees (3-0, +3.44) and the Chicago Cubs (2-1, +1.83). Road teams packed 8.54 units into our bankrolls (50-46) overall.

We also like to track teams with big power numbers. We looked at the 2024 MLB home run leaders and the Baltimore Orioles (169), New York Yankees (163), Los Angeles Dodgers (147), Oakland Athletics (142), and the New York Mets (139) were a combined 8-8 (1.72 units), but were much better on the road with an 11-6 mark that handed bettors 6.42 units.

Another day, another @MarkVientos_5 home run! 💪 pic.twitter.com/YXiKFJV5Fm

— New York Mets (@Mets) July 31, 2024

Series Size Does Matter

Continuing our July 31st Weekly Home/Road Report: When we break down game numbers during a series we saw road teams thrive in games one and two over the previous week with a 31-30 record (+4.32 units).

This has turned out to be a solid trend in July with visitors turning a profit of 13.06 units behind a fairly impressive record of 108-110. This trend is a perfect example of why bettors need to follow current trends because this run in July isn’t a reflection of the entire season (-12.37 units).

• The Oakland Athletics were a perfect 3-0 (+3.73) in the first two games of their series last week, followed by the San Diego Padres (3-0, +3.65), and the Miami Marlins (2-1, +2.55).

Overall in 2024, the Clevland Guardians lead the way with a 24-14 record (+11.36) while being challenged by the San Diego Padres (21-13, +10.51 units) and the Washington Nationals (19-19, +9.36).

Most people’s MLB World Series predictions include the New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, Los Angeles Dodgers, Baltimore Orioles, or the Cleveland Guardians.

• Combined these clubs are 108-67 (.617) +28.63 units as visitors in games one and two of a series to give you an idea of how important this filter’s success is to a team’s chances of playing deep into October.

Diamondbacks Thrive In The Heat

We know that the Arizona Diamondbacks play indoors when it’s 100+ outside but when you dive into it, that doesn’t mean opposing teams aren’t affected before going to the park.

• This week the Snakes were 5-1 playing in average temperatures of 85 degrees or more, 4-1 at Chase Field, and one win at Kansas City.

The Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves were 4-0 combined (+4.05) and then the Chicago Cubs (1-0) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (3-2, +1.53 units). In 2024, the Chicago Cubs (7-1) and Cleveland Guardians (5-0) have benefitted from playing just 13 games in average temps over 85.

The Miami Marlins, who play indoors, are 15-17 (5-6 on the road), followed by the St. Louis Cardinals (12-8) and the Detroit Tigers at 9-6. Your July 31st weekly MLB home/road report should give you enough data to add a few free MLB picks for today—all the bets with this week’s pick and parlays. This concludes our July 31st Weekly Home/Road Report.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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