Mets vs Brewers Series Odds: Tonight’s probable pitchers see the Brewers sending Corbin Burns to the mound to oppose the Mets Max Scherzer. MLB betting stats favor the Brewers who have beaten the Mets 19 of 26 in Milwaukee. Can the trend continue?
Before diving deeper into our Mets vs Brewers series odds preview let’s look at some of the relevant trends that may give us an edge when throwing down our cash to begin this three-game set.
Not only has Milwaukee had their way with New York at home, but they’ve fared well overall, winning 13 of their last 18. The under is 9-3 in their last 12 and 5-1 at Milwaukee.
- Game: New York Mets (94-55) at Milwaukee Brewers (69-74)
- Location: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Television: SNY, BSWI, MLBN
Mets Lead in East One Game with 14 to Play
Continuing our Mets vs Brewers series odds preview: The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets have battled for National East supremacy for much of the Summer after New York built a 10.5 game lead to start the month of June after a 35-17 start while the Braves were just 24-27.
Then Atlanta caught fire, winning 66 of their next 94 games (.702) including a 14-game win streak that cut the New York lead to four just a few weeks after it looked like .500 would be a struggle. The Mets are fresh off a 4-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates and are now the second most profitable team (+998 units) to bet on trailing only the Baltimore Orioles (+2576 units).
Against teams playing .500 baseball or better, Buck Showalter’s team is 33-27, +212 units overall, but against those teams as an underdog, the Metropolitans are just 12-18, -331 units. Scherzer has not pitched in the big leagues since September 4th after battling an oblique irritation. He made one rehab start at AAA Syracuse Wednesday, allowing a run in 3 ⅔ innings with seven k’s. New York is 12-8 when the 3x Cy Young winner starts but still has lost 43 units.
Brewers In Thick of Wild Card Chase
The Brew Crew have won 7 of their last 10 games to gain some ground in their quest to make the postseason for the fifth straight season. Milwaukee will send their ace to the hill to battle Scherzer. Right-hander Corbin Burnes is 10-7 in 2022, with the Brewers an overall 18-11 when the former St. Mary’s star gets the ball.
Backing the California native has been frustrating for bettors throughout his career. Overall, Milwaukee is 44-26 when he starts, but that’s only good enough for a small 188 units of profit on a $100 wager. This season Burnes has burned the public as a big favorite so much that even seven games over .500 have lost his backers 44 units.
It makes for an interesting dilemma when both teams’ Brewers probable pitchers have clearly won their share of games but yet have been unreliable to the betting public. Let’s conclude our Mets and Brewers series odds preview by figuring out how we’re going to wager on tonight’s important National League matchup.
Battle of Aces Leads Public to Pound Total
Concluding our Mets vs Brewers series odds preview: This is not an unusual betting pattern when you have the top pitchers of each staff going head to head. Even with the number opening at seven, the public’s betting patterns have compelled books to shave that number to 6 ½ at some spots.
Somewhere back in electronics class, we learned about two positives making a negative and that’s usually the case in sports betting. Stay away from the obvious because it rarely holds true. What does hold true is an 8x all-star with a World Series ring. One of the best pitchers in baseball over the last 15 years is getting a generous number from the bookmakers, one you should take full advantage of. Take the Mets and even money.