MLB: Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Series Betting Preview
Astros Hope to Get Hot Again After Tripping Against the Twins, Miami Focused on 2025
The Houston Astros (46-44) have climbed to within two games of the Seattle Mariners in the American League East but suffered their first series loss in six tries against the Minnesota Twins (2-1) last weekend. After taking two of three against the Chicago White Sox, the Miami Marlins (32-58) have split their previous five series (2-2 vs Philadelphia). Houston opened as a massive -225 favorite with a total of 8.5 (under -118). Tuesday’s first pitch is scheduled for 8:11 p.m. ET / 5:11 p.m. PT and can be seen on Bally Sports Florida and the Space City Home Network. Let’s get to our Marlins vs Astros series betting preview.
âš¾ Tuesday: Trevor Rogers (Mia) 1-9, 4.91 vs Ronel Blanco (Hou) 8-3, 2.53
With the Chicago White Sox (-27.31) being the only team worse than the Marlins (-14.78) against the moneyline, it’s difficult to put your money behind the fish even when staring at a +188 return.
There has been some improvement over the last 30 days with the Marlins who are barely in the red with 0.94 units lost behind an 11-17 record (16th in MLB). Speaking of improvement, not many teams have been more bettor-friendly than the Astros who are 22-12 (+6.89) over their last 34 games.
Only the New York Mets (+9.58) and the Boston Red Sox (+7.92) have been better in that period. Three years ago, Trevor Rogers was an all-star but still has yet to put together a winning season in his five years with the Marlins (14-32 in his career with seven of those wins in 2021).
The New Mexico native is 1-9 this year but has performed well over his last five starts, allowing 10 earned runs in his previous 27.1 innings (3.29 ERA) and giving up just 23 hits.Those numbers are good enough to give bettors some pause when looking at the MLB betting lines.
Ronel Blanco has been sensational over his last five starts, allowing seven earned, 17 hits, 12 BB, and 29 K’s in 31.1 innings (2.01 ERA). The Astros are 12-4 when Blanco starts after winning four of his last five starts. As a favorite, Houston is on a 14-5 run (+4.67) overall and 7-2 at home (+2.52). We recommend looking at the over in game one.
Ronel Blanco should be an All-Star pic.twitter.com/NgDDr5Fvm1
— Nick Scurfield (@NickScurfield) July 8, 2024
âš¾ Wednesday: Bryan Hoeing (Mia) 0-1, 1.99 vs Framber Valdez (Hou) 7-5, 3.84
Bryan Hoeing is making his second start of the season and 10th of his Major League career. Hoeing has been a reliever but with the Marlins battling injuries for what seems like all season, they are looking for Band-Aids almost every day.
Hoeing made his first start of 2024 three days ago in an opener role against the Chicago White Sox.
The former Louisville Cardinal went three innings, allowing five hits, one earned, 1 walk, and four Ks. Expect the Hoeing to be used in a similar role today.
Valdez started the season 3-3, but since is 4-2 with the Astros winning five of his last seven starts. However, there have been some signs of shakiness over his previous four starts. The 2-time all-star has given up nine earned (3.42) on 25 hits in his last 23.2 innings, in addition to 12 walks and 21 k’s.
The ERA is good but those numbers show that Valdez has had to work around baserunners regularly. Our free MLB pick for today is leaning towards a low-scoring MLB score today.
âš¾ Thursday: Roddery Munoz (Mia) 1-3, 5.48 vs TBD (Hou)
It’s hard to do a complete Marlins vs Astros betting preview when we’re not entirely sure what Astros manager Joe Espada has in mind for his rotation, but we know that Munoz has put together a couple of productive starts against the Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies for the Marlins. Combined, Munoz has thrown 8.2 innings, allowing 9 hits and four earned with 6 walks and 6 K’s.
That’s good enough for a 4.15 ERA, indicating that Munoz is throwing better than his overall numbers indicate. That does it for our Marlins vs Astros betting preview, all the best with your picks and parlays this week.
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