MLB Monday Recap Analysis

Rays Roll at 20-3 After Victory Against Defending Champions

Our MLB Monday recap touches on two massive wins for the books including a late-night thriller in Anaheim between the Oakland Athletics and Anaheim Angels. The players took it on the chin Monday with six of the 11 games going the way of the man. Overall, bettors lost approximately 381 units, based on the higher percentage of money wagered on the moneyline.

In the American League, we’re starting to see some separation in the MLB standings, but in the National League, no team has a bigger lead than one game. Let’s continue our MLB Monday recap by digging into some of the biggest wins and losses for our monitored sportsbooks.

Players Take Massive Loss With Red Sox

Over 64,000 tickets were written for the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles on Monday, making it the highest ticket total of the night. We can see why it was an attractive match-up with Chris Sale going for Boston against the red-hot Baltimore Orioles. Plus, there is always a heavy East Coast push on population alone. 68% of the moneyline cash was backing Boston behind 61% of the tickets.

It looked promising for the Sox bettors early on after taking a 4-0 lead to the bottom of the third, but the Orioles chipped away with one in the third followed by three in the fourth to tie the game after Baltimore catcher James McCann’s single to right after a terrific 10 pitch at bat to bring home Ramon Urias who doubled with one out off Sale.

Austin Hays singled in the fifth to give the Orioles a 5-4 lead, an advantage they would never relinquish. Baltimore is a -160 favorite over Boston, Today, with 94% of the early action taking the O’s.

Rays Proving Worth Against Big Boys

At game time, the Houston Astros were a juicy +150 dog but the public wasn’t biting. With 66% of the money behind Tampa, the Rays proved why they are the dominant force in baseball with an easy 8-3 victory. With the win, Tampa is 20-3 on the season and owns a 4.5 game lead on the Orioles who are 15-7 and winners of seven straight, if that gives you an idea of how good the Rays have been.

It was Tampa’s 14th straight win at home, where they drew a measly 10,000 people. The focus has been on the Oakland Athletics moving, but there is little doubt that something must be done with the Rays who deserve way better than 17,551 fans a night. Betting on tonight’s game two has been tighter with Tampa opening as a -170 favorite. Just 51% of the early money is on the Rays, with 52% of the overall tickets bet on the Astros.

Athletics (+175) Hang On for a Rare Win

As you can imagine, bettors were heavily on the Los Angeles Angels (-210), Monday. 73% of the moneyline cash and 92% of the overall tickets came in on the Halos.

You won’t find many Athletic players at the top of MLB player stats, but for one night Oakland crushed five homers off Jose Suarez to help outlast the Angels, 11-10. That seems to be enough for the betting public to come right back with early wagers on Oakland who are +148 tonight. 88% of the early wagers are on the Athletics despite the team being one of the worst in the league to back (-931 units).

Let’s end our Monday MLB recap with a look at another profitable betting angle.

Starting Pitching Could be Overrated

We just want to touch on this quickly because it’s worth mentioning. Most bettors rely on starting pitching to make their wagers but the numbers indicate that perhaps the bullpen is where the handicapping should begin.

This season, starters with an ERA between 0.50 and 3.00 are just 64-69 (-1927 units). If we raise the scale higher, starters with an ERA over 3.50 are just 125-131 (-1230 units). This is a clear indication that we should put less emphasis on the starters and more on bullpens and line-ups. That does it for Monday’s MLB recap, we wish you nothing but financial success on Tuesday.

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