MLB Wednesday Recap; Royals Win Big For Books
Public Wins 10 of 16 to Torch Books
Our MLB Wednesday results recap starts with a massive win for the public involving a game you likely missed the ending of. The Tampa Bay Rays and the Pittsburgh Pirates continued their clash at Tropicana Field in a match-up of the top two teams in the league, and bettors were burned once again betting big favorites after the New York Mets and Max Scherzer dropped 8-1 decision in the second game of a doubleheader, completing the sweep for Detroit as a -225 underdog. Let’s continue our MLB Wednesday recap by digging into a few key games.
Mariners Give Bettors Late-Night Winner
You may have missed the Mariners’ late comeback against the Seattle Mariners, considering it was a West Coast game to begin with, and then sprinkled in a 65-minute rain delay, you have a game that ended well after 11:00 pm in the East.
There may be a few red eyes at work today after 96% of the public had cash on the Mariners‘ moneyline (-190). Oakland was two outs away from making the house a winner, holding a 2-1 lead into the ninth, but Notre Dame product AJ Pollock smashed a solo home run to tie the game at 2, and Eugenio Suarez made the comeback official with a 3-run blast in the 10th to give the Mariners and bettors a 7-2 victory. With the win, Seattle is -490 units on the moneyline, while the Athletics fall to a league-worst -1506 units (Based on a $100 wager).
Orioles’ Loss to Royals Gives House Massive Win
The heaviest wagered game on the Wednesday card was the Baltimore Orioles and the Kansas City Royals with just under 53,000 tickets written overall, and 93% of the moneyline wagers coming in on Baltimore.
Royals starter Zach Greinke won his first game of the season after throwing a near-perfect five innings, giving up just three hits, in the Royals’ 6-0 win. The KC bullpen was flawless behind the Greinke, pitching four innings while giving up just three hits and no runs. MLB player stats don’t always tell the complete story, but Greinke is definitely worth a look in his next start.
He’s one of those guys that doesn’t have a great record but you can feel confident that you have a reasonable chance to cash a plus-money winner when he gets the ball. Let’s continue our MLB Wednesday recap by looking at another betting trend that you can take with you to the book today.
How Important is Pitching to Betting Success
From time to time we like to mull over MLB player or team stats and see how those numbers equate to winning bets in the current season in addition to historical results. Today we’re going to focus on pitching and its significance to putting cash in our bankroll.
Let’s take the top five team-era leaders to start. The study gets off to a great start because the Tampa Bay Rays are tops in Major League baseball with a 2.96 ERA, of course, which has generated one of the best starts in baseball history at 25-6. Behind them are the Houston Astros (3.20), Milwaukee Brewers (3.40), Seattle Mariners (3.45), and the Minnesota Twins (3.52).
Combined those own a record of 90-63 (.588) good for 310 units of profit. Unfortunately, that doesn’t give us overall clarity on the original question because the Rays and Brewers are +1208 units themselves. The overall number looks great but it’s being carried by two teams, with the others in the red. Let’s go back a year and see what the results were when the Los Angeles Dodgers (2.80), Houston Astros (2.90), New York Yankees (3.30), Tampa Bay Rays (3.41) and the Cleveland Guardians (3.46) were tops.
Combined those teams were 494-316 (.610) +1692 units. This was a clearer snapshot of what strong pitching can do over the course of a season. Three of the five finished in the black for bettors and all five finished way above .500. To conclude our Wednesday MLB recap, we suggest that even though three of the five top teams in ERA this season have not produced a profit, these are the teams you want to ride for the rest of the year because history tells us that pitching is the key to a happy bankroll.
Follow us on Twitter