NL West Gambling Report Card: Dodgers Get Failing Grade
All Five NL West Teams in the Red
As a division, the National League West isn’t getting the job done for baseball bettors. All five MLB teams entered the All-Star Break, showing a flat-bet loss.
All five teams are also trending to the under in their season win totals. From a betting perspective, the NL West could very well be the worst division in baseball.
We’ll look at all five teams in detail in NL West gambling report card.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Grade: C-
The Diamondbacks tie for the highest mark in the division on the basis of having lost the least money on flat bets. Arizona is less than a unit down and can get in the black easily.
The Diamondbacks aren’t too far off their season win total pace. The number was 84.5 and they’re on pace for an 82-80 finish.
- The team’s X-W/L record is 50-47, which is an 83.5-win pace. The Diamondbacks have the potential to get the job done.
Arizona is just one game out in the MLB wild card standings and 7.0 behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
The Diamondbacks are just 4-7 as an away favorite this season, which is an area they need to improve in order to make the postseason.
- Arizona has played its best after a setback, going 27-20 after a loss, which has been its most profitable situation so far this season.
Colorado Rockies
Grade: D
The NL West gambling report card has to give Colorado the lowest mark since the Rockies are showing the biggest flat-bet loss. It was pretty much accepted it was going to be a rough year in Colorado.
The Rockies lead the Marlins by a half-game in the standings, but trail the remaining National League teams.
- As bad as the team’s 34-63 record is, Colorado is only 3.5 games off the pace of going over its win total of 60.5.
It’s certainly possible, but the Rockies need to improve on that 14-36 road record, which is the second-worst in MLB.
- The Rockies are just 11-22 after a win, and six of those victories came in the team’s six-game winning streak in May.
The only way you can use in the Rockies in your MLB picks and parlays is when they’re at home, although at 20-27, they’re not exactly tearing it up at Coors Field.
Colorado Rockies OF Brenton Doyle hit .203 with 10 HR’s last season.
He is in the middle of a 15 game streak where he is hitting .358 with 8 HR’s.
Brenton used to hold the bat in the medial longitudinal arch of both his hands.
He now holds the bat in the transverse arch of… pic.twitter.com/mqOkXAuQAo
— Tommy Maestas (@tommym8) July 13, 2024
Los Angeles Dodgers
Grade: D+
The Los Angeles Dodgers have the second-best record in the National League, which isn’t cutting it at the sportsbooks.
- The Dodgers have been an underdog just eight times this season and are 2-6. With a 56-41 record, Los Angeles is on pace for 93.5 wins, which is well short of the 103.5 win total the team was given.
Those who bet the Dodgers to go over the season win total are seeing the worst-case scenario play out. The Dodgers have become complacent and aren’t giving their best on a consistent basis.
That’s one of the drawbacks of betting on a veteran team, which knows nothing really counts until the playoffs roll around.
No matter when you look at the MLB predictions today, the Dodgers are likely going to be favored, but LA is paying for it. The Dodgers go off at an average price of -185.
The Phillies go off at an average -165 for comparison. There isn’t one particular area the Dodgers show a decent profit in. The MLB odds are simply stacked against them too much.
San Diego Padres
Grade: C-
The Padres are tied with the Diamondbacks for second in the division and are also one game back in the wild card race.
San Diego shows a bigger flat-bet loss than the Diamondbacks, but did have a win total of 83.5. The Padres can certainly get there if the team can improve its play at home.
- San Diego is 26-28 in front of the home fans and 24-21 on the road. Obviously, the Padres are more profitable on the road. San Diego’s best situation this season has been as an underdog, where the Padres are 18-19.
San Diego hasn’t really had a big home run hitter this season, which has been the team’s trademark for the past few years. You have six players between 10 and 14 home runs to lead the team.
Last season, Juan Soto and Manny Machado both had at least 30. That makes pulling the trigger on an San Diego player for your MLB player props today is a little tough.
San Francisco Giants
Grade: D+
The NL West gambling report card gives the Giants low marks, both for their flat-bet loss and falling short of their season win total pace.
- The number for the Giants was also 83.5, but at 47-50, San Francisco is on pace for 79 victories. San Francisco is going to have improve their 19-28 road record.
Despite being fourth in the division, San Francisco is just three games out in the wild card race, so a winning streak can put them in the hunt.
The Giants have had a tough time stringing wins together, going 19-27 after a victory and 28-22 after a loss.
The only way San Francisco is going to make a serious MLB playoff run is to string together some victories and so far it hasn’t shown it’s up to the challenge.
The best situation for San Francisco this season has been as a favorite after a loss. The Giants are 16-7 in that spot.
For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.
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