NLWC: Phillies vs Cardinals Series Betting

Phillies Hungry for More, Cardinals Won't be Easy

Phillies vs Cardinals Series Betting: The Phillies are in the Postseason for the first time in 11 years, while the Cardinals are making a fourth straight appearance. This year’s playoff run promises to be a fun one.

Phillies vs Cardinals Series Betting: Neither team rolls into this NLWC Series playing well. A quick look at the National League standings 2022 shows that both have lost six of their last 10 games. Philadelphia will have to go on the road where they’ve been dreadful, losing 10 of their last 14 games. St. Louis has won 40 of their last 57 home games. The MLB betting line has the Cardinals as a slight favorite at home (-110).

 

Game Information

 

Phillies Out For Revenge, 11 Seasons Later

Let’s continue our Phillies and Cardinals betting preview by taking a deep dive into the betting trends for game one. In 2011, Phil’s manager Rob Thompson served as a bench coach for New York Yankees Manager Joe Girardi, winning a World Series in 2009.

That was the last time the Phillies made the playoffs, ironically enough that year’s visit resulted in a 5-game NLDS loss to the, you guessed it, St. Louis Cardinals. Thompson is in his first full season as a head coach but credits his experience as a Yankee for getting him to this point in his career. If the regular season was any indication of what’s to come we’re in for a hard-fought series.

Philadelphia won the season series 4-3, five of the seven were decided by two runs or less. Ironically, 2011 was the last season the Phillies turned a profit for bettors, Since, The Phillies are 785-894 (.468) -8858 units. This season, despite a record (87-75) good enough for a postseason berth, bettors were once again burned, losing 673 units.

Historically a problem for Philly bettors is relying on their team win on the road (345-493, -$8100 units since 2011), With Philadelphia just 57-58 (-1569 units) against right-handed pitching, 2022 told a different story. When the Cardinals name an official starter, you can bet it will be a right-hander.

The Phillies are 785-894 (.468) -8858 units. This season, despite a record (87-75) good enough for a postseason berth, bettors were once again burned, losing 673 units.

 

Cardinals Pitching Hits Wall at Wrong Time

There’s a reason St. Louis hasn’t named a starting pitcher yet and that’s because there are few that have pitched well down the stretch. You would think that newly acquired Jordan Montgomery or Adam Wainwright would get the ball, but Wainwright is struggling through a “dead arm” and Montgomery has been unreliable over his last four starts, allowing 15 earned runs over his last 20.1 innings.

All-Star Miles Mikolas should get consideration. The righty has allowed just two earned runs over his last 15 innings and beat the Phillies in July with a masterful 7 ⅓ inning (1 earned run) that resulted in a Cardinals 6-1 win.

This is the fifth straight season St. Louis has turned a profit for bettors (393-312, +3551 units) since 2018. In that time they’ve been a cash cow as a favorite (253-156, +2005 units). In 2022, bettors enjoyed a 929-unit season as a favorite, their best since 2015.

 

Bettors on Cardinals Despite Starter TBD

The early send-out number had the Cardinals as a slight favorite against the Phillies and Zach Wheeler. That has been bet up a smidge to a consensus -110, the smallest number for a favorite in the first round. Professional money has got in early on the Cardinals on the premise they are the better team, especially at Busch Stadium.

To conclude our Phillies vs Cardinals series betting preview, our official recommendation is to fly with the Cardinals. Our suggestion is to get on this number before a starter is named because if the number goes up without a starter named, it will move higher.

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