Orioles vs Rays Trends: Baltimore Looking For Sweep

Orioles Have Won 5 of 6 From Rays This Season

The Baltimore Orioles look to put the finishing touches on a four-game sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays today at Tropicana Field. The Orioles have breezed past the Rays in each of the first three games. Baltimore has outscored Tampa Bay 20-5 through the first three games. The Orioles vs Rays trends show Baltimore has now won 13 of the last 19 meetings between the two teams. Baltimore is expected to send Corbin Burnes to the mound to square off against Tampa Bay’s Ryan Pepiot. The Orioles are -145 and the total on the game is 7.5-under (-125).

The Orioles have 22 home runs in their last nine games and have hit at least two in each of the first three games of this series. Baltimore is the only team in MLB with more than 100 home runs on the season. The Yankees are second. The Orioles are No. 8 in team batting average, so they’re getting it done offensively.

Burnes has never pitched against Tampa Bay, so there are no Orioles vs Rays trends with the starting pitchers. The Orioles are 9-4 when Burnes starts this season and 4-1 when he starts on the road despite a higher ERA than at home. Totals are 3-1-1 when Burnes starts for the Orioles on the road.

Surprisingly, Baltimore is just 3-6 when it won its last game by more than five runs, which is the case here. The Orioles are 5-1 when they won their previous game by exactly five runs, but haven’t fared all that well after the big blowout win.

Orioles vs Rays

Date & Time: Monday, June 10, 2024 6:50 PM ET

Tampa Bay Struggling Offensively

The Rays are 5-4 after losing by more than five runs and 0-3 following a five-run loss. Tampa Bay is 17-16 following a loss, although they’ve picked up a few losses in this series.

Tampa Bay’s offense just isn’t that good and it’s a little bit worse at home than it is overall. The Rays are hitting just .224 at home and .233 overall. Those numbers aren’t going to cut it, especially when you’re last in home runs.

That’s going to put the pressure on Pepiot to deliver a big game and he’s been up-and-down this season. His away numbers are better than his home numbers. The Rays are 3-4 when he starts at home and 3-0 when he starts on the road. He still isn’t quite all the way back after missing a couple of weeks in May, but is getting there. He has 15 strikeouts in his last two starts and went six innings last time out.

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Who to Bet On?

The MLB odds in this game are pretty close to what you would expect. Burnes is the better pitcher and the Orioles are the better team. Most of your MLB predictions today are going to be on Baltimore. The Orioles almost seem too easy in this spot.

You can make a case for both teams when looking at the Orioles vs Rays trends in the game. If you go by head-to-head competition, you’ll like the Orioles. The situational trends work in Tampa Bay’s favor a little bit here.

There’s a few decent pitching matchups on today’s MLB schedule and this one comes pretty close to fitting the bill. As strictly a value play, you can make a slight case for taking Tampa Bay +1305.

Orioles vs Rays Trends


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