Orioles vs Yankees Betting Preview: Look at B More, Just 3 Back in AL East

Yankees Pressing, Playing Catch Up

The Orioles vs Yankees betting preview takes a look at the series played in New York Tuesday through Thursday. The Orioles enter the three-game series with a 3.0-game lead over New York. The Yankees were expected to be good. The Orioles weren’t, making their 31-16 start that much more impressive.

The Baltimore Orioles are No. 13 in hitting in the MLB team stats. But Baltimore is No. 7 in runs scored, so the team is getting key hits. It doesn’t hurt that the Orioles draw the third-highest amount of walks in the league. On the mound, the Orioles are No. 12 in team ERA, so they’re better than average. But the Orioles staff certainly isn’t overpowering.

From a betting standpoint, the Orioles have been great. Baltimore is 12-9 when an underdog and 18-5 as a favorite. Flat-betting $100 on the Orioles each game has produced a profit of $1,499 and an ROI of 24.1%. Baltimore has been just as good on the road as it has been at home and more profitable. The Orioles are 16-8 away from home and have a profit of $1,006. At home, the Orioles are 15-8 for a profit of $493.

The Yankees are 29-20 on the season, going 16-10 at home and 13-10 on the road. New York has produced a profit of $710 so far. At home, the Yanks are showing a profit of $316 and are +394 on the road.

New York is No. 22 in team batting average, but No. 10 in runs scored. The Yankees are fourth in MLB in home runs, which helps overcome a low batting average. New York is No. 6 in team ERA, although they’ve only had 13 quality starts.

Orioles logoBaltimore Orioles vs New York YankeesYankees logo

Day/Time:
Location: Yankee Stadium

Tuesday’s Game

The Orioles vs Yankees betting preview has Kyle Bradish taking the mound for Baltimore. Gerrit Cole is expected to start for New York. The MLB odds have the Yankees -170 in the game. Cole has much better stats, with a 2.01 ERA and 5-0 record. The Yankees are 8-2 when Cole starts and 6-0 when he starts at home. But the Orioles are 5-2 when Bradish starts and his 3.99 ERA isn’t bad. The total on the game is 8.0. The Yankees are 3-7 in totals with Cole on the mound and 1-5 when he starts at home. Baltimore is 2-4-1 in totals and 1-3 on the road when Bradish starts. The MLB betting trends are like the under in this one. It’s hard to disagree based on what the teams and pitchers have done so far.

Wednesday’s Game

Tyler Wells is expected to start for Baltimore and the Yankees should counter with Nestor Cortes. The Orioles are 5-3 with Wells on the mound. However, one of his three losses was to Cortes and the Yankees on April 9. Baltimore has gone 3-4-1 in totals when Wells starts. The Yankees are 5-3 when Cortes starts, although he hasn’t been anything special on the mound. The Yankees average 5.44 runs when he throws. But New York allows 4.88 runs and as a result, has gone 7-2 in totals with him on the hill. Cortes did have one really rough outing when the Yankees lost 15-2 to Texas. So his stats look a little worse than he’s pitched. The Yankees should be around -140 in this one.

Thursday’s Game

The final game of the Orioles vs Yankees betting preview shows Kyle Gibson and Clarke Schmidt as the scheduled starters. Gibson hasn’t pitched badly for Baltimore, with the Orioles going 6-4 with him on the mound. The Orioles were 5-1 in his first six starts but were shut out in his next three starts. Baltimore has scored five or more runs in seven of his 10 starts. The Orioles also have the three shutouts with him on the mound. So it’s been feast or famine in the scoring department for Baltimore. The Yankees are just 4-6 when Schmidt takes the hill. New York has scored 4.7 runs in his starts but allowed 5.0 runs. The Orioles beat Schmidt and the Yankees 7-6 last month. The Yankees will be small favorites in this one.

This is a big series for Baltimore, but a little bigger for the Yankees. If Baltimore manages to win one game, it will still be 2.0 games in front of New York. The Yankees could fall to 4.0 games back, or worse, if the Orioles win the series. The sportsbook still hasn’t caught on to how well the Orioles are playing. They could offer a bit of value on Wednesday and Thursday, with the under looking like the best bet on Tuesday.

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