Padres Surging Ahead of Dodgers Visit

Consider These Odds for Dodgers vs Padres Predictions

The San Diego Padres, one of Major League Baseball’s hottest teams, opens a two-game series with the division rival Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday (9:40 p.m. ET) at Petco Park. Right-hander Tyler Glasnow starts for the Dodgers opposite knuckleballer Matt Waldron.

This is the fourth and final series between the teams this season, with the Padres holding a 5-3 edge.

  • MLB odds today list Los Angeles -1.5 (+125) on the run line and -138 on the moneyline for the opener, with San Diego +1.5 (-150) and +118. The projected total is 7.5 with a slight edge to the Under at -115.

Who has the edge? Before making your Dodgers vs Padres predictions, check out our series preview.

Dodgers logo Dodgers vs Padres Betting Trends Padres logo

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 53-54 against the run line, including 28-25 away from home. Los Angeles has been slightly more profitable for Over/Under bettors, going 54-52-1.

The San Diego Padres, meanwhile, are 56-52 against the run line but just 20-34 at home. As for the Over/Under, San Diego is 57-50-1.

It’s important to remember these betting trends before making your Dodgers vs Padres predictions.

Freeman Absent

Los Angeles’ nine-game road trip got off to an inauspicious start, with the Dodgers dropping two of three against Houston. It’s still 63-44, the National League’s second-best record behind Philadelphia (65-40), though its NL West lead has shrunk to 6.5 games.

The Dodgers played the entire series without first baseman Freddie Freeman, who was placed on the family emergency list on Saturday to be with his 3-year-old son, Max. Freeman’s son was taken to the emergency room last week due to an illness from a viral infection, which has prevented his ability to walk.

Cavan Biggio, acquired last month in a trade with Toronto, started in Freeman’s place for the series finale.

The Dodgers also continue to wait on shortstop Mookie Betts. The eight-time All-Star and former MVP hasn’t played since May 16 because of a fractured left hand. While it’s possible that Betts — who is hitting .304 with 10 homers and an .892 OPS rejoins the team in early August, he has yet to go on a rehab assignment.

Injuries have not affected them too much, as the Dodgers — projected for an MLB-leading 103.5 wins — remain +330 favorites to win the World Series. They’ve outscored opponents by 94 runs, third-most in the majors behind the Phillies (+114) and Yankees (+106).

Padres Heating Up

San Diego is among baseball’s hottest clubs, having won seven of its last eight games to improve to 57-51 in the Major League Baseball standings. It’s pulled within 6.5 games of Los Angeles and leads the second NL wild card. The Padres are now -150 to make the playoffs, showing oddsmakers are optimistic about their chances of sustaining success over the final two months.

The Padres’ seven-game win streak was halted Sunday in an 8-6 loss to Baltimore. They outscored opponents 43-12 over that span, with three of the wins coming via shutout. Their run differential is now plus-34.

San Diego has also been profitable for bettors of late, it’s now 56-52 against the run line for a cover rate of 51.8%, with a majority of that success coming away from Petco Park (36-18).

The Padres bolstered their bullpen on Sunday, acquiring right-hander Jason Adam from Tampa Bay for a trio of prospects. Adam, one of the top relievers on the market, has a 2.49 ERA and four saves in 47 appearances. He should greatly improve a staff that’s missing left-handed reliever Wandy Peralta (shoulder) and starters Yu Darvish (personal) and Joe Musgrove (triceps).

While the Dodgers remain overwhelmingly favored atop the NL West (-1600), the Padres have seen their NL pennant odds climb to +1500. They are also +3000 to win the World Series, one of 11 teams listed 30/1 or better.

Series Probables

âš¾Game 1âš¾

Tuesday, 9:40 p.m. ET

Tyler Glasnow vs Matt Waldron

Glasnow came off the IL last Wednesday against San Francisco, and he allowed two runs over five innings in an 8-3 loss. He is now 8-6 with a 3.47 ERA and has the majors’ fourth-best WHIP at 0.96.

The veteran right-hander has already faced San Diego twice this season, combining to give up just three runs over 12 innings. He struck out 10 Padres in his last start, a 2-1 loss on May 10.

He faces the knuckleballing Waldron, who is 6-9 with a 3.64 ERA. He’s gone at least six innings in 10 of his last 11 starts dating to May 28, providing badly needed length and stability to San Diego’s rotation.

Waldron last faced Los Angeles on May 11, allowing two runs over 5.1 innings in a 5-0 loss.

Be sure to keep this in mind when making your Dodgers vs Padres predictions.

âš¾Game 2âš¾

Wednesday, 8:40 p.m. ET

Clayton Kershaw vs Dylan Cease

Kershaw returned from the IL last Thursday and displayed glimpses of his old self, throwing 72 pitches over four innings in a 6-4 victory over San Francisco. The three-time Cy Young winner gave up two runs on six hits and struck out six, making his first start since Oct. 7, 2023, following shoulder surgery. His fastball averaged 90.6 mph and topped out at 91.8.

Expect his workload to increase.

The Padres counter with Cease, who no-hit the Nationals last Thursday in a 3-0 win. That extended his scoreless streak to 22 innings, during which he’s incredibly allowed only two hits. He’s struck out 43 batters over 32.2 innings in July and has a 2.48 ERA, with batters hitting only .191 against him on the season.

Though his ERA (3.50) is a bit high to win Cy Young, he’s seen his odds climb to +2200. He’s now a distant fourth on the board behind Atlanta’s Chris Sale (+150), Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler (+170) and Pittsburgh rookie Paul Skenes (+300).

For MLB expert predictions, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine


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