Padres vs Brewers Preview: San Diego Favored on Road

Milwaukee on First Two-Game Losing Streak of Season

The San Diego Padres visit the Milwaukee Brewers for the second game in their three-game series on Tuesday. The Padres won the opener 7-3 on the strength of a six-run fifth inning. Jackson Merrill’s two-out, two-run single was the key hit of the inning.

The Padres vs Brewers preview shows Dylan Cease taking the mound for San Diego against Milwaukee’s Wade Miley. The Padres are -125 and the total on the game is 8.5.

Padres logo San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Brewers logo

Day/Time:
Location: America Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Padres Chasing Dodgers in NL West

San Diego is 10-9 on the season, which puts them in second place in the division, one game behind the Dodgers. The Padres have been a better road team in the early going of 2024, going 5-3 away from home. That’s a bit of a change from last year, when the Padres were 38-43 on the road.

The Padres are averaging 5.42 runs per game and are 10-8-1 in totals this season.

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The Padres vs Brewers preview notes Cease has pitched well this season, although the bullpen hasn’t done him any favors. He’s allowed just four earned runs in 16 2/3 innings, but the Padres are 1-2 in his starts this season.

Cease started once against the Brewers last season, allowing two runs in seven innings. The White Sox were 16-17 in the games he started last season, allowing 4.79 runs in those games.

San Diego has fared well against left-handed starters lately. The Padres are 30-20 since the beginning of last year and 2-1 this season. San Diego has gone 10-5 as an away favorite against left-handed starters in that time, although this is the first time its in that role this season.

Brewers Off to Fast Start

Milwaukee is 10-5 on the season, which has it tied with Pirates for first place in the NL Central. The Brewers are hitting the ball well, averaging 6.26 runs per game. Milwaukee is No. 2 in team batting with a .290 average and tied for second with 24 home runs.

The Brewers are just 3-3 at home this season and 7-2 on the road. Milwaukee plays in a dome, so they won’t have to worry about the MLB weather today. Strong winds and showers are forecast during the day, but won’t affect the game.

Miley has been a solid starter with the Brewers. He missed some time at the start of the season with shoulder issues, but looked good in his season debut. Miley threw just 52 pitches, allowing one run in four innings against the Reds.

The Brewers are 16-8 when he starts dating back to last season, so he’s giving them a chance to win. Wade Miley threw seven shutout innings in his lone start against the Padres last season.

The Padres vs Brewers preview shows Milwaukee has scored more against right-handed pitchers the last two years. Left-handed starters have given the team some problems, although that won’t be an issue tonight. Milwaukee is 32-20 at home against right-handed starters after a loss since the start of last season.

The Brewers are 9-10 as a home underdog dating back to the start of last season, but have shown a slight profit against the MLB betting lines.

Looking For Value

Looking at the game, the Brewers appear to offer a little bit of value as home underdogs. The bullpen can be a little scary at times for Milwaukee and the team is likely to keep Miley’s pitch count down. That’s the down side, but the Brewers have been winning when Miley starts, which is hard to ignore here.

The total is a bit low considering how well the teams have hit the ball, but with two decent pitchers on the mound, it’s not out of the ordinary. The Brewers are 8-4 in totals this season when the number is less than 9. The Padres are 10-7-1, so the trends lean to the over a little bit.

It’s not strong enough to make one of your best MLB bets today, but the Brewers +115 is the side to be on here.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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