Phillies vs Orioles Trends: MLB Heavyweights Battle It Out
Philadelphia Visits Baltimore For Three-Game Series
Two of the better teams in Major League Baseball meet in Baltimore, as the Phillies (46-22) visit the Orioles (45-23) for three games starting Friday. Philadelphia is cruising in the NL East with a 9.0-game lead. Baltimore trails the New York Yankees by 2.5 games in the AL East. The teams don’t meet often, having just played three times since the 2022 season.
The Phillies vs Orioles trends show Baltimore is 20-8 when playing teams above .500. The Phillies are 8-4, so the Orioles are playing tougher teams. You can’t argue with Philadelphia’s record in those games, however, as both have been strong. Baltimore just has had many more games against better teams. Ranger Suarez and Kyle Bradish are the scheduled starters for Friday’s opener. Baltimore is -126 and the total is 8-under (-120).
The Phillies are No. 6 in team batting with a .254 average and score 5.1 runs per game. Philadelphia is tied for No. 6 in home runs and is No. 4 in stolen bases. The Phillies score 4.8 runs on the road.
Pitching has been a strength for the Phillies, who are No. 2 in team ERA. The bullpen has been pretty solid overall and has put up better numbers on the road.
The Orioles are No. 10 in team batting average at .248, but are No. 1 in home runs, so two of the MLB home run leaders will be slugging it out. Baltimore is also averaging 5.1 runs per game and is pretty consistent in home or away scoring.
The Orioles are No. 3 in team ERA, just behind the Phillies. Baltimore’s bullpen has been solid on the season and is pretty consistent between home or away performances. The Orioles have a couple more blown saves than you’d like, but the offense has generally turned those into victories.
Phillies vs Orioles 
📍Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
⏰Day/Time:
📺Streaming: MASN
Friday’s Game
Suarez has put it all together this season and is 10-1 with a 1.85 ERA. Philadelphia is 12-1 when Suarez starts and 5-1 when he starts on the road. He did have a rough outing at Colorado a few games back, but it’s hard to hold that against a pitcher. A lot of starters have had rough trips to the mound at Coors Field.
Bradish has been solid for the Orioles, going 2-0 with a 2.62 ERA. Baltimore is 6-1 when he starts, but he has pitched better on the road. The Rays roughed him up pretty good in his last home start, but he rebounded with six innings of one-hit ball at Tampa Bay his last start. His home numbers are a bit ugly due to that start against Tampa.
The Orioles are 14-5 when facing a left-handed starter this season, scoring 5.26 runs per game. They’ve won 12 of their last 13 tries vs LHP, which has helped the Baltimore Orioles standings. This is one of those games that appears it could go either way, so you have to look at the underdog here. and give the Phillies the slightest of leans.
Saturday’s Game
Taijuan Walker takes the mound for the Phillies in this one and he isn’t having the best of the seasons. The Philadelphia offense has bailed him out several times, so he’s 3-1 with a 5.40 ERA. The Phillies are just 4-4 when he starts and 6-2 in totals with him on the mound. Philadelphia has lost the last three games he’s started.
Grayson Rodriguez will get the ball for the Orioles and he’s pitched well. Rodriguez is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and Baltimore is 8-3 in the games he’s started. He has pitched better at home, although the Orioles are just 3-2 when he starts in front of the home fans.
The Phillies vs Orioles trends show that the Phillies have allowed 14 runs in Walker’s two starts as an underdog this season. Baltimore will be a decent-sized favorite in this game, but it is warranted in this case. You have to like the Orioles in this game and they should be used in your MLB picks and parlays.
Sunday’s Game
A pretty good pitching matchup is in store for the series finale, as Zack Wheeler and Corbin Burnes get the ball for their respective teams. Wheeler is 8-3 with a 2.16 ERA, although the Phillies have lost all three games he didn’t get a decision in. Philadelphia is 8-6 with Wheeler on the mound this year and 3-3 when he starts on the road.
Burnes has been pitching well this season, going 7-2 with a 2.18 ERA. Baltimore is 10-4 when he starts and has gone 5-3 when he starts at home. His home numbers are slightly better, but he’s been solid regardless of the location.
The Phillies vs Orioles stats show Baltimore is 4-0 when Burnes starts in the daytime, while the Phillies are 4-3 with Wheeler in the sunshine. Wheeler lost his only start as an underdog this season, so the Orioles are probably the right side in this game.
Phillies vs Orioles Odds
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