Pick Milwaukee as it Hosts Pitt in a Fun Matchup

The Pirates vs Brewers Betting Odds Favor the Host Brewers To Seal The Deal At Home

Wednesday’s Pitching Matchup of Young Hurlers Could Be Fun to Watch

The Milwaukee Brewers have a new manager, traded away their ace pitcher, and are leading the National League Central Division yet again with the Pittsburgh Pirates coming to Brewtown for a three-game series. The Pirates vs Brewers betting odds favor the host Brewers to win the series at -165.

The teams have split the last 14 meetings. When the teams played in Pittsburgh last month, the Pirates won the first two games with Milwaukee taking the final two matchups.

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Both teams scored 13 runs in the series. Six of the last nine games between the teams went under the total.

The MLB best bets today have the Brewers priced at -142 to win the series opener. There could be solid value to take Milwaukee at +150 to cover the -1.5 run line. The Pirates have +120 odds to win Monday’s game.

Milwaukee is fifth at +1600 in the odds of winning the National League pennant with the Pirates well back at +14000 in the championship odds.

Pirates logo Pirates vs Brewers Brewers logo

Records: Pittsburgh Pirates (18-23), Milwaukee Brewers (24-16)
Day/Time:

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Streaming: SportsNet Pittsburgh, Bally Sports Wisconsin

Pirates vs Brewers Probable Pitching Matchups

  • Monday: Mitch Keller (Pirates); Colin Rea (Brewers)
  • Tuesday: Martin Perez (Pirates); Joe Ross (Brewers)
  • Wednesday: Jared Jones (Pirates); Robert Gasser (Brewers)

A Tale of Two Seasons

It didn’t take long to figure out one trend for the 2024 Pittsburgh Pirates.

Each of the first four games of the Pittsburgh Pirates schedule had at least 10 runs scored. Each came on the road. The Pirates have had 12 games this season when the two teams scored at least 10 runs and nine of them came on the road. Keep that in mind when looking at the Pirates vs Brewers betting odds.

The Pirates have scored 12 more runs on the road than at home even though they have played one fewer road game. Maybe that will bode well heading into this series.

Four out of the last five MLB games for the Pirates went over the total.

Brewers Happy to Be Home

After a stretch with 13 of 16 games being played on the road as part of the Brewers’ schedule, Milwaukee had some catching up to do when it came to playing at home. By the end of this series, 13 of the previous 19 games will be played at home.

Milwaukee just won three of four games at home against the Cardinals to improve to 10-7 at American Family Field. They are 5-2 at home since allowing 15 runs in back-to-back home games against the New York Yankees.

Willy Adames is one of 11 MLB players with an on-base percentage over .400 and a slugging percentage higher than .600 at home this season. That could be a factor in the Pirates vs Brewers betting odds.

Five of Milwaukee’s last six games went over the total.

Who’s Hot

  • William Contreras, Milwaukee Brewers C: Contreras has reached base in 20 consecutive games. He is 10-for-22 with eight runs, four doubles, three RBIs, and five walks over his last six games.
  • Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates SS: Cruz is 10-for-23, seven runs, three doubles, three home runs, seven RBIs in seven games
  • Colin Holderman, Pittsburgh Pirates P: Holderman has allowed four hits and no runs with 13 strikeouts in 10.1 innings in his last 11 outings.
  • Hoby Milner, Milwaukee Brewers P: Milner hasn’t allowed a run in his last nine outings and he has struck out 12 hitters over nine innings during that stretch.

Who’s Not

  • Martin Perez, Pittsburgh Pirates P: Perez has given up 16 hits, seven runs, and two home runs in 10.1 innings over his last two games.
  • Blake Perkins, Milwaukee Brewers OF: Perkins is 0-for-21 with eight strikeouts in his last six games.
  • Jared Triolo, Pittsburgh Pirates 3B: Triolo is 2-for-19 with eight strikeouts in his last seven games
  • Thyago Vieira, Milwaukee Brewers P: Vieira has allowed five hits and three runs in 5.2 innings in his last five appearances.

Pirates vs Brewers Injury Update

Pitchers Marco Gonzales, Ryan Borucki, and Carmen Mlodzinksi are on the MLB injured list.

For Milwaukee, outfielders Garrett Mitchell and Joey Wiemer are out as are pitchers Taylor Clarke and Jakob Junis.

Pirates vs Brewers Betting Preview

The series finale could be interesting with a pair of rising stars pitching when Jared Jones and Robert Gasser get the ball. There were plenty of MLB rumors about when Gasser would make his MLB debut.

The series’ first two games will see plenty of runs scored based on the pitching matchups.

Six of the last nine games between the MLB teams went under the total.

Milwaukee is 11-5 as a favorite this MLB season with Pittsburgh 10-8 as the underdog.

The Pirates have covered against the run line in 11 of the 20 road games.

One thing to keep an eye on is that Pittsburgh is 9-5 against left-handed starting pitchers and 9-17 against right-handed starters.

The retractable roof will be in use since there is more than a 60% chance of rain for the series opener.

Each of the last six road games for the Pirates went under the total. The total is at 8 runs for the series opener and it won’t be a surprise to see Monday’s game finish over that total.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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