Reds vs Mets Odds: Can The Mets Play Spoiler Versus The Surprising Reds?

Reds Eyeing Second Postseason Berth in 10 Seasons

Mets Go After Fourth Win in a Row when Cincinnati Comes to Town

When the season started, a September series between the Reds and Mets figured to have more meaning to the host team. That’s why they play the games. The visiting Reds are fighting for a playoff spot while the season can’t end quickly enough for the underachieving Mets. Keep that in mind when it comes to the Reds vs Mets odds.

Cincinnati won two of the three games when the teams met in May with the last two contests going over the total.

The Mets are priced at -109 to win the series opener.

When looking at the baseball scores, Cincinnati’s bid to sweep a series from Detroit ended with an 8-2 loss to the Tigers on Thursday. A quick peek at the MLB division standings shows that the Reds are third in the National League Central Division while the Mets are fourth in the National League East.

The Mets pulled off a bit of a surprise by taking the final three games from Arizona while outscoring the Diamondbacks 25-6.

The Reds made the playoffs during the 2020 season that was impacted by COVID-19. Before that, the last postseason appearance came in 2013. The Reds are tied with Arizona and San Francisco for the final playoff spot in the National League with 14 games remaining.

The Reds are priced at +12500 in the odds to win the World Series. Their odds to make the playoffs are currently set at +240.

Reds logo Reds vs Mets Mets logo

Date, time (TV):
Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Streaming: Friday (Bally Sports Ohio, SNY); Saturday (Bally Sports Ohio, SNY); Sunday (Bally Sports Ohio, WPIX).

Probable Starting Pitchers

  • Friday: Hunter Greene (Reds); David Peterson (Mets)
  • Saturday: Andrew Abbott (Reds); Tylor Megill (Mets)
  • Sunday: Brandon Williamson (Reds); Jose Quintana (Mets)

Pitching Faltering For the Reds

Cincinnati’s bid to secure a playoff spot has been a bumpy ride much like the 2023 season. Cincinnati’s 5.15 ERA in September is the fourth worst in the National League. That could come into play in the Reds vs Mets odds.

Getting the hard-throwing Greene back recently figures to help, but there is work that still needs to be done. Having just four save opportunities in 13 games hasn’t helped. However, a 5-1 record in one-run games during the month has the Reds vying for a playoff spot.

The Reds lead the majors with a 91-57 record against the run-line total.

All Hands on Deck For Mets

There are many reasons why a Mets team that came into the season tied for third in the odds to win the World Series is seven games out of the playoffs.

It doesn’t help that only Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso have played in more than 130 games.

Between injuries and trades, 24 different hitters who gotten into games for the Mets this MLB season.

The fact that the Mets are tied with Cleveland for the fewest games going over the total this season is an indication of how things have gone. Remember that when looking at the Reds vs Mets odds.

Who’s Hot

  • T.J. Friedl, Cincinnati Reds OF: Friedl is hitting .367 with eight runs, six extra-base hits and seven RBIs in his last 10 games.
  • Hunter Greene, Cincinnati Reds P: Greene has allowed four hits and two runs with 15 strikeouts over 11.1 innings in his last two starts.
  • Adam Ottavino, New York Mets P: Ottavino has surrendered four hits and one run in 11.2 innings during his last 11 games.
  • Jeff McNeil, New York Mets IF: McNeil has scored runs in six straight games and hit his ninth home run of the season the last time out.

Who’s Not

  • Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds IF: De La Cruz is 1-for-20 with five strikeouts in his last six games.
  • Drew Smith, New York Mets P: Smith has allowed six hits and five runs in 2.2 innings over his last three appearances.
  • Mark Vientos, New York Mets IF: Vientos is 4-for-22 with eight strikeouts in his last six games.
  • Brandon Williamson, Cincinnati Reds P: Williamson has given up 13 hits and 10 runs in 10 innings during his last two starts.

Reds vs Mets Injury Update

Relief pitcher Tejay Antone landed on the injury list with an elbow injury while pitcher Alex Young is on the COVID-19 list for the Reds. Infielder Matt McLain is sidelined with an oblique strain.

For the Mets, infielders Brett Baty and Ronnie Mauricio are questionable.

Reds vs Mets Betting Preview

The Mets have very quietly put together the fourth-best team ERA in the majors in September. Will that come into play against a Reds team looking for more from their pitching staff?

The Mets have won six of their last eight home games and are 5-2 at home in the last seven meetings with the Reds.

The total has gone under in five of Cincinnati’s last seven road games as well as in nine of the last 11 matchups against National League teams. The total of 7.5 is one of the lowest of the games scheduled for Friday.

When it comes to the MLB expert picks, bear in mind that the Reds and Mets are a combined 60-51 when listed as the favorite this season compared to a 70-97 record as the underdog.

The Reds are tied for the National League lead by covering in 47 road games this season. The Mets are just 33-38 ATS at home with just 23 of those games going over the total.

Also, keep in mind that the Reds are planning to start lefties Brandon Williamson and Andrew Abbott in the series and the Mets are just 14-30 versus left-handed starters this season.

For MLB betting news, odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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