Seattle Dominates The Pitching Matchups This Weekend

The Los Angeles Angels are headed to Seattle for a three-game series over the weekend. After losing Shohei Ohtani to the Dodgers, the Angels are currently 21-35 on the season. Meanwhile, the Angels have also played without Mike Trout, who isn’t even close to a return.

Meanwhile, the Mariners lead the AL West with a 31-27 record. While the record isn’t spectacular, neither is the division. That said, Seattle’s pitching staff is ultimately why you’ll see the Seattle Mariners standings at the top of the division.

This weekend should be no different with Seattle’s pitching staff.

• The Mariners are currently -154 on the moneyline, with the total at just 7 against the Angels. Meanwhile, the Under has been juiced to -125 for this matchup.

Let’s break down the Angels vs Mariners betting preview for the three-game series over the weekend.

Angels Will Be Sellers Soon

The Los Angeles Angels are dead last in the AL West despite being in one of the worst divisions in baseball. They’re 21-35 heading into the series and ultimately have a worse record than the Oakland Athletics.

With Mike Trout’s return not even close, the Angels could sell off sooner rather than later.

Patrick Sandoval is the name to watch this deadline. He’s a left-handed pitcher with a 5.60 ERA on the season. However, his FIP is currently 3.90, which ultimately proves that he’s been a bit unlucky and is pitching much better than his ERA shows.

Has Julio Rodriguez Finally Arrived

Before May 11th, Julio Rodriguez had hit just one home run and had an OBP of just .300.

However, since then, Rodriguez has hit above .300 and has a .338 OBP with an ISO of .145, which includes three home runs. While he’s not putting up All-Star caliber numbers, he’s finally coming around.

Angels vs Mariners BettingOdds For Game 1:

RL: Mariners -1.5 (+135) ML: Mariners -154, O/U 7.5 +105/-125

The Angels will begin the series with Jose Soriano on the hill. He’s a right-handed pitcher with a 3.61 ERA despite a record of 2-5.

Soriano has earned 62.4% of ground balls and has limited teams to a .127 ISO and wOBA of .282. He’s even added over 23% of strikeouts and has held teams to 9.3% of walks. Soriano has pitched very well up to this point.

Meanwhile, he’ll face a Mariners projected lineup that has struck out 28.8% of the time against righties since last season. The lineup has some power towards the bottom against righties. Still, J.P. Crawford, Josh Rojas, and Julio Rodriguez have all struggled to find consistent power against righties over the last month.

On the other hand, Bryan Woo will make his fifth start of the season. The right-hander had a late start to the season due to injury, but he’s looked really good since returning.

Woo hasn’t earned a high rate of strikeouts. But he’s limited walks and has held opponents to a .053 ISO and wOBA of .171 after facing 79 batters this season.

He’ll likely face an Angels lineup that has only hit a .150 ISO and wOBA of .308 against righties in the last 30 days.

Therefore, our MLB predictions for today include the Under 7 (-125).

It’ll be lefty Reid Detmers on the mound for the Angels. Detmers has 26% of strikeouts and has given up only 8.9% of walks. But he’s also allowed a .183 ISO and wOBA of .345 with over 31% of fly balls.

That said, the Angels have much more power against left-handed pitching, including Crawford and Rodriguez, who have struggled against righties. Those two have hit ISO’s of above .250, along with Cal Raleigh and Dylan Moore.

Conversley, the Mariners will use Bryce Miller in Game 2. Miller has allowed some power to lefties, which he struggled with last year. But he’s still minimized walks and has pitched well enough to hold a 3.48 ERA on the season.

Ultimately, the lefties in Los Angeles’ lineup have hit a .121 ISO over the last 30 days. With no real threat against Miller, you can expect Miller to have a big night pitching.

We’d back the Mariners in Game 2 of this Angels vs Mariners betting preview.

In the finale of the series, Griffin Canning will start. He’s performed well against righties, but he’s not getting the same results against lefties. That’s why his ERA is stuck at 5.08 on the season.

Lefties have hit a .262 ISO and wOBA of .399 against Canning this year. Meanwhile, Canning has only earned 16.4% of strikeouts.

In the Seattle lineup, we’ll likely see the majority of the lineup batting from the left side.

Canning will duel it out with Luis Castillo in this one. Castillo has a 3.28 ERA but still allows a .176 ISO and wOBA of .312 to his first 295 batters.

Thanks to a high strikeout rate and low walk rate, he’s minimized damage, but he’s not getting ground balls at such a high rate anymore.

Don’t be surprised if the Angels’ offense comes alive against Castillo in the series’ final game. We’d take the Over in this one. Castillo has escaped trouble in many Seattle Mariners games. That won’t last forever. However, we’d also suggest the Mariners will still find a way to win this game at home.

For MLB predictions, betting analysis and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.

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