The Orioles Look To Stay Hot This Week

Blue Jays vs Orioles Preview: Baltimore Has The Potential To Sweep

The Baltimore Orioles will start the week with a home series against the Toronto Blue Jays, looking to continue their hot streak.

The Orioles lead the AL East by .5 games heading into the week. Despite Sunday’s loss, they’re also 7-3 in their last ten MLB games.

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On the other hand, Toronto is dead last in the AL East, with an 18-22 record. The Blue Jays are just 3-7 in their previous ten games and look like sellers as the middle of the MLB season gets closer.

The first game of the series should be exciting. It’ll be a matchup of aces. Toronto’s Jose Berrios will face off against Corbin Burnes of the Orioles. Therefore, the total for this game is currently at 8, with the Orioles currently -160 favorites.

Here’s our Blue Jays vs Orioles preview for this three-game AL East series.

Blue Jays logo Blue Jays vs Orioles Orioles logo

Day/Time:
Records: Blue Jays (18-22)/Orioles (26-13)
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Streaming: MASN, SN1, Sportsnet+

Alek Manoah Is Back!

While the Orioles won’t face Alek Manoah, the Blue Jays must be thrilled with his latest performance. Manoah and the Blue Jays lost despite Manoah’s seven innings pitched.

Manoah had struggled on the mound for a while due to MLB injuries and mental challenges. But it looks like he’s finally starting to get comfortable again.

Against the Twins, Manoah added seven innings with three runs (no earned), four hits, and six strikeouts. He also just walked one batter.

It was a vintage performance from Manoah, but like most of Toronto’s starters, he got little run support from the lineup. That’s been a theme all year and a major reason you’ll see the Toronto Blue Jays standings in last place.

Grayson Rodriguez Is Almost Back

Orioles starter Grayson Rodriguez has been on the injured list for weeks. But he’s making his return soon. He was just seen throwing a 30-pitch bullpen session on Sunday. When asked how he felt afterward, Rodriguez said he felt good.

He’d ultimately be eligible to be active on Wednesday, but that likely won’t happen. Still, there are promising signs that point to a return shortly.

Rodriguez will only be another major asset to this team as they climb the MLB power rankings.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Preview and Odds For Game 1:

RL: Orioles -1.5 (+130) ML: Orioles -160, O/U 8 -110/-110

âš¾ Game 1 âš¾

  • Monday, 6:35 pm ET
  • Jose Berrios vs. Corbin Burnes

Jose Berrios will get the ball for the first game of this series with Toronto. He’s 4-3 but has a 2.85 ERA on the season. While these stats sound good, analytically, he’s been worse. Berrios has allowed a .154 ISO to 192 batters. He’s also added only 19.8% of strikeouts throughout the season.

Meanwhile, the Orioles have hit a .192 ISO and wOBA of .319 with their projected lineup against righties this season. The strikeouts can get high, and the walks are usually low. But the power is there. Plus, Berrios isn’t a major strikeout pitcher to begin with.

Baltimore will counter with Corbin Burnes, who has struck out 25.1% of batters with an ISO of .132 and wOBA of .256. He’s struggled a little against righties but still has over 30% of strikeouts against righties.

The projected lineup for the Blue Jays has only hit a .125 ISO and wOBA of .297 against righties this season. Only Daulton Varsho has actually hit an ISO of above .145 this season against righties.

Therefore, the Orioles at -160 still have some value tonight as one of our top MLB picks.

âš¾ Game 2 âš¾

  • Tuesday, 6:35 pm ET
  • Chris Bassitt vs. Kyle Bradish

In Game 2, the Blue Jays are going with Chris Bassitt. Bassitt is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .243 ISO and wOBA of .429 to his first 89 lefties. Bassitt has been tremendous against righties but has really struggled against lefties this year.

In addition to the ISO and wOBA numbers, Bassitt has struck out only 16.9% of lefties while giving up 15.7% of walks.

Bassitt will duel it out against Kyle Bradish, who just recently returned to the mound for the Orioles. Bradish has struck out 32.6% of his first 43 batters and has added 56.5% of grounders. Last season, Bradish didn’t have many flaws, and it looks like it’ll be the same this season.

After reviewing this year’s MLB scores, the Orioles match up better in Game 2 of this series.

âš¾ Game 3 âš¾

  • Wednesday, 12:35 pm ET
  • Yusei Kikuchi vs. Cole Irvin

For the afternoon matchup, it’ll be left-handed Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi has been dominant. Not only does he have a 2.64 ERA, but his analytics are terrific.

Kikuchi has struck out more than 24% of batters and held MLB teams to a .101 ISO and wOBA of .263. He’s also walked only 4.7% of batters throughout the year. Ultimately, Kikuchi hasn’t struggled against either side of the plate this season.

While Kikuchi has been really good, the Orioles’ lineup against lefties usually destroys. They’ll probably have at least seven batters with an ISO of .195 or better against righties.

Again, strikeouts could get high against Kikuchi, but when the ball is in play, Kikuchi might see a slight regression.

Cole Irvin will be the other lefty pitcher in this game. Irvin has allowed a .106 ISO and wOBA of .273 despite just 17.5% of strikeouts. There will be ball hits into play against Irvin, but he’s still getting over 50% of ground balls.

The Blue Jays are at least better against lefties. The projected lineup has hit a .133 ISO and wOBA of .313 but has three batters hitting an ISO of at least .227 and four batters with at least a wOBA of .353 against lefties.

In addition, Toronto’s projected lineup has struck out below 17% and has walked more than 11% of the time against lefties.

If the Blue Jays are underdogs of +130 or more, you’d have to ride Toronto in Game 3 of our Blue Jays vs Orioles preview.

For MLB betting news, MLB odds analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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