The Twins or Nationals Will Finally End Long Losing Streak

Twins vs Nationals Odds: Minnesota's Pitching Is The X-Factor

For a while, it looked like the Washington Nationals would contend for a playoff spot in the NL East. While their chances certainly aren’t over yet, the Nationals have dug themselves into a hole, sitting five games under .500.

They’ll look to start the new week strong in a three-game series against the Minnesota Twins. The Twins have been a bit streaky this season. They’re currently 24-22, despite some really good starting pitching throughout the season.

That’ll be showcased throughout the three-game series, which is one reason why the Twins are expected to be favorites in every game. In Game 1 of the series, the Twins are -158 on the moneyline, with the total at 8. However, the Under is juiced to -117.

Let’s break down the Twins vs Nationals odds for the interleague series from Monday-Wednesday.

Twins logo Twins vs Nationals Nationals logo

Records: Twins (24-22)/Nationals (20-25)
Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Day/Time:
Television: MASN, Bally Sports North

Twins Swept By Guardians

Over the weekend, the Cleveland Guardians swept the Minnesota Twins in a three-game series. The Twins are 3-7 in their last ten games and have lost six straight.

The Minnesota Twins standings aren’t looking so good in the AL Central.

Uncover Exclusive Picks & Predictions From Our Experts.

Washington Also Swept

On the other hand, the Nationals were also swept over the weekend. Washington failed to beat the Phillies in a three-game series and has lost five consecutive games heading into this series.

At least one team will end the misery and win the series to begin the week. Ultimately, the pitching matchup favors the Twins. We’ll talk about that in our Twins vs Nationals odds preview below.

Twins vs Nationals odds For Game 1:

RL: Twins -1.5 (+100) ML: Blue Jays -158, O/U 8 -103/-117


âš¾ Game 1 âš¾

Monday, 6:45 pm ET
Pablo Lopez vs. Mitchell Parker

The Twins will send out Pablo Lopez for the series’ first game. Lopez is a right-handed pitcher, holding a 3.93 ERA this year. However, he’s still struck out 28.7% of batters and has limited walks to 4%. In addition, his first 202 batters have hit a below-average .295 wOBA against Lopez.

Lopez has struggled a little against right-handed batters this year, allowing a .216 ISO and wOBA of .330. But again, he’s dominated them with strikeouts and has kept walks down to limit damage.

The Nationals will face Lopez and two other right-handed pitchers in this series. That’s not ideal, knowing the projected lineup has only hit a .143 ISO and wOBA of .305 against righties since last season. Per the MLB teams stats, C.J. Abrams, Eddie Rosario, and Joey Gallo are the only three consistent hitters in the Washington lineup. The lineup has even struck out 22.3% of the time and has walked just 8.5% since last year.

On the other hand, Mitchell Parker will get the start. The rookie left-hander has been really good for Washington this season. He has a 3.09 ERA despite only adding 19.5% of strikeouts this season.

In addition, Parker has allowed 5.5% of walks and has given up just a .109 ISO and wOBA of .280 to his first 128 batters faced. Parker has added nearly 47% of ground balls and has kept fly balls down to 25%.

Parker will face a Twins projected lineup that has hit a .160 ISO and wOBA of .318 with 21.4% of strikeouts and 7.3% of walks. While the Twins have better numbers combined, there aren’t many areas to attack Parker. He’s dominant against righties and lefties. Therefore, we’d back the Under 8 (-117) in tonight’s battle.

âš¾ Game 2 âš¾

Tuesday, 6:45 pm ET
Joe Ryan vs. Patrick Corbin

Joe Ryan will get the ball for Game 2 with the Twins. The right-hander has a 3.57 ERA this year. He’s got nearly the same stats as Pablo Lopez.

Ryan has struck out 27.4% of batters and has kept walks to 3.3%. He’s also held teams to a .288 wOBA but has struggled against righties more, allowing a .248 ISO and wOBA of .321. Like Lopez, he can limit damage with his high strikeouts against righties, despite the low ground ball rate he’s earned against righties.

Again, the Nationals don’t have much potential against right-handed pitching, which will hurt them throughout the series.

On the other hand, Washington will send out left-hander Patrick Corbin. The veteran has been nothing like Parker. Corbin has allowed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .388 to his first 219 batters. He’s also struck out just 13.2% of batters this season.

After looking through the MLB stats, the Twins should have Game 2 of this series in the bag.

âš¾ Game 3 âš¾

Wednesday, 1:05 pm ET
Simeon Woods-Richardson vs. Jake Irvin

In the finale, Simeon Woods-Richardson will be penciled in for a start. Woods-Richardson has only struck out 20% of batters this season. But he’s held teams to 4.8% of walks with a .095 ISO and wOBA of .280. Woods-Richardson has cemented himself into the starting rotation for the Twins and likely won’t look back.

Woods-Richardson will face Jake Irvin of the Nationals. The right-hander has been pleasantly good this season, holding teams to a .293 wOBA to begin the year. Irvin has been terrific against righties but has struggled more against lefties. Yet, he’s still kept walks to 3.9% and has limited line drives below 23%.

Still, the Twins have some lefties that can do damage against Irvin. Over the last couple of seasons, Edouard Julien, Max Kepler, Alex Kirilloff, and Trevor Larnach are all left-handed hitters, hitting an above-average ISO and wOBA against righties. We’ll take the Twins in Game 3 as well.

Twins vs Nationals Odds

For MLB predictions today, betting analysis, and more, visit Point Spreads Sports Magazine.


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