Tuesday’s MLB Recap; Cubs and Braves Bettors Big Winners

Diamondbacks Feed Players' Bankroll With Another Win as Dog at Busch

Our MLB Tuesday recap shows another big day for the betting public with 11 wins in 15 decisions. The Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros moneyline was almost right now the middle, so that game was eliminated from the tally. Overall, the public added 488 units to their bankroll after grabbing plays money wins with the Arizona Diamondbacks (+146) and Detroit Tigers (+114).

A glance at MLB records shows the Tampa Bay Rays with the biggest divisional lead (4 games) over the Toronto Blue Jays after their 10-0 beatdown of the Cincinnati Reds. Let’s continue our MLB Tuesday recap by going deeper into games of betting significance, followed by Wednesday’s baseball betting stats.

Books Limit Damage With Brewers Win

There was no other game on Tuesday card that held a higher percentage of money wagered on the moneyline than the Seattle Mariners with 95% of the money wagered and 78% of the tickets written coming in on the M’s. Willy Adames’ groundout drove in Joey Weimer from third in the 11th and Bryse Wilson pitched two innings in relief, allowing just an unearned run in the 10th, to get the win.

Milwaukee has to rally after blowing an early 3-0 lead when they allowed four in the bottom of the third. The Brewers’ relief pitching was tremendous after starter Colin Rea left the game after five innings, allowing four earned runs.

After five Milwaukee relievers combined to shut down the Mariners with six strong innings, giving up just two hits, 4 walks, 8 K’s, and 0 earned runs. With the win, Milwaukee is 13-5 but has won straight $100 bettors $824, tops in baseball. Seattle falls to 8-10, -$433 (21st).

Pirates, Rockies Cash Unexpected Under

As usual, bettors were all over the total at Coors Field, especially after the Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies combined for 17 runs the night before. Bookmakers made a half-run adjustment of 12.5 to 13 from game one to two, the public still ate that up with 97% of the money coming in on the over behind 87% of the tickets.

Over bettors got off to a promising start with all eight runs coming in after just three and a half innings, but both Pirates and Rockies relievers combined for 7.1 innings of scoreless relief to cash an under 13 tickets, Pirates outfielder, Jack Suwinski, homered twice (4th), scored twice while driving in three.

Pittsburgh ran their record to 11-7, two games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the Central. The Bucs have produced 716 units of profit for $100 this season (3rd), while the Rockies fell six games off the National League West lead (-720 units, 28th). Let’s conclude by looking at some of the early-season baseball betting stats.

Run-Line Bettors Struggle to Find Success

We don’t talk much about run-line betting mostly because there isn’t a clear-cut trend early on to show whether it’s better to lay the run-line or take the extra insurance. To date, when $100 bettors have laid the run and half, bettors are 155-108 (.589) but that hasn’t been enough to put the public in the black (-1034 units), while taking the runs has produced the opposite record but a worse result (-1575 units).

From a team perspective, you can easily guess that the Tampa Rays have been the most productive run-line wager after winning 15 of their first 17 games by two runs or more. Behind the Rays are the Atlanta Braves (12-3 RL Record) +400, and the Milwaukee Brewers (6-1) +330. The worst teams to lay the run-line with to start the year are the San Francisco Giants (1-6, -539 units), Seattle Mariners (5-8, -529), and the Los Angeles Dodgers (9-9, -407).

There is a moneyline range that has produced results for bettors and it’s a big one. -155 to -180 when giving up 1 ½ runs, players are 45-16 (.738) +1114 units. The rest are just 110-89 (.553) -1848 units. We still think this is a tricky way to wager, perhaps stick with side and totals until a run-line trend can form.

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